you have a right to a logical opinion, which it is, there are many more factors regarding my theory, but as you said, israel was once quiet, but was it? after following the M.E saga over 15 years, i have learned one thing, israel will do what i predict, i don't state a time, because israel keeps that a big secret. here's another prediction jim, israel will hit lebanon before iran, 100%, they need the target practise.
Israeli teen lightly wounded from stone throwing in West Bank settlement of Kiryat Arba (Haaretz)
from the article: Putin: Russia opposes force, sanctions on Iran