Palestine papers hardly likely to spur a revolution
It is entirely possible that the dramatic leak may have a boomerang effect that will see increased support for Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, who is being portrayed as wrongfully persecuted.
Despite initial fears, it's likely that the release of the Palestine papers by Al-Jazeera and The Guardian will not bring about a political earthquake in the Palestinian Authority - or even a power struggle within Fatah.
Top PA authorities chose to spend the 12 hours immediately following the leak focusing solely on Al-Jazeera's role, and have successfully created the impression that the entire debacle was part of a plot orchestrated by the Arab news network together with its brethren in the Muslim world - Iran, Syria, Hamas and Hezbollah - against the Palestinian Authority.
Al-Jazeera may have even incriminated itself - the media agency's releases seem simultaneously contrived and premeditated yet unprofessional, making it appear as though the network published only basic, inaccurate and even fabricated information.
In fact, it is entirely possible that the dramatic leak may have a boomerang effect that will see increased support for Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, who is being portrayed as wrongfully persecuted.
More than a few Palestinian pundits not associated with Fatah have pointed out inconsistencies in the Al-Jazeera campaign. According to these commentators, the Palestinians are close to achieving a diplomatic coup at the UN Security Council regarding settlement construction, and Al-Jazeera and its foreign allies are torpedoing this process.
Another conclusion rising from the leaked documents is that they really do not say anything new. Almost every detail has been publicized in the past. In fact, the Palestinian Authority did not even make any effort to hide some of the details that have been made public.
Nevertheless, the leaks are expected to cause some embarrassment to the PA in the international arena.
While the Palestinian negotiators furiously attack Israel for building apartments in the Jerusalem areas of Pisgat Zeev and Gilo, the paper reveal that they had already agreed for these areas to remain in Israeli hands in a final settlement.
Ramallah seemed as quiet as ever on Monday, a day following the big leak. There weren't any rowdy demonstrations, nor even any modest protests. Whoever wanted to crush Abbas will be disappointed to find that the Al-Jazeera failed in their efforts to frame the Palestinian offers as "excessive concessions on the part of the PA."
For the time being, it would seem that in the West Bank, the Tunisia Effect hasn't hit yet.