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Budgetary discipline
By Ami Ginsburg
Tags: budget

The achievements of the Israeli economy in 2003-2007 signify a genuine turning point. After nearly 30 years of slow growth, interspersed with brief spurts, beginning with the Yom Kippur War of 1973, in recent years the economy has returned to rapid growth of 5 percent per annum.

Many reasons combined to produce this change: the global surge, a worldwide fall in interest rates, rapid growth in the developing countries and the natural swing of the pendulum following the rough recessionary period at the beginning of the decade.

But along with the external and cyclical factors for the new growth we must also point out the decisive contribution of the uncompromising budgetary policy and cuts in government expenditures. This policy was launched during the second term of prime minister Ariel Sharon, under the leadership of then finance minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and is continuing.
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Under Netanyahu's leadership, and with the assent of the Histadrut labor federation, the government in 2003 succeeded for the first time in reducing public sector salaries. At the same time, it was able to implement pension reform and raise the retirement age, thereby reducing its long-term commitments. These measures restored the business sector's trust in the government's ability to meet its undertaking to stabilize the economy. Netanyahu likened his plan to a diet undertaken by a "fat man" (government expenses), to enable the "thin man" (the business sector) to carry it more easily.

The budget cuts continued in the years that followed. Surprisingly, this time pressures against budgetary restraint failed. The tight budgetary discipline was reflected in the rapid decline of the government deficit: In 2003 the deficit was still 7 percent of GDP, but by 2007 it had fallen to just 0.8 percent. The decline in the deficit stemmed from the larger than expected increase in tax revenues (due to the economic growth) and from the fact that the government did not stray from its original budget framework.

The surplus tax payments were channeled into reducing the public debt, which at the end of 2007 had fallen to 81 percent of the GDP - its lowest rate since the 1960s. The low debt and budgetary discipline helped reduce the weight of the government in Israel's overall GDP and freed resources for the business sector. Diminishing the government debt helped stabilize the economy and scored points for Israel with foreign investors.

The budgetary discipline made it possible for the government to take occasional measures that encouraged growth, notably tax cuts. Thus, the past few years have seen reductions in income tax, company tax and VAT. In addition, the government needed to raise less capital, a situation which helped lower interest rates and freed resources for the business sector. As a result, the business sector was able to hire more workers, invest more and in the end to enjoy rapid, healthy growth.

One effect of this policy is the strengthening of the Israeli shekel against foreign currencies (especially the U.S. dollar). Between June 2002 and April 2008 the shekel gained 33 percent, falling from NIS 5 to the dollar to NIS 3.5 to the dollar. No similar strengthening of the shekel against the dollar had been recorded previously in Israel's history.

The budgetary discipline also has a price. The Bank of Israel Report notes that part of the decline in the deficit stems from substandard performance of civilian investments. The abstention from necessary civilian investments in education, health and transportation is hurting Israel's more disadvantaged populations, at least in the short term. Overall, though, the budgetary discipline of recent years is an important, essential accomplishment, which lays a good foundation for the hope that the cycle of positive economic growth will continue in the years ahead as well.
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