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Last update - 16:57 31/01/2008
ANALYSIS: Was Lebanon War necessary? Report doesn't say
By Tom Segev, Haaretz Correspondent
Tags: analysis, winograd, israel 

In the introduction to their final report, Eliyahu Winograd and his fellow committee members quote from the poem "When" by Rachel, including its preface: "Only the dead don't die." Rachel dedicated these words to a person she identified only by three initials: Y.S.K.

This was the writer and poet Yaakov Shalom Katznelbogen. Regardless as to whether or not the committee checked his identity, there is no more fitting person to be at the top of such a report, because Katznelbogen was a deserter: He ran away from the Russian army.

In the verbal tsunami on television and radio preceding the report's publication, it was repeatedly said that not many people will read the full report, and that everything will rise and fall on the analysis of the 10 pages that Winograd will read out at the press conference.
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The public relying on the post-Winograd flood of analysis should also remember that none of these commentators have closely read the whole report. The most important thing one can write this morning is that the report is on the Internet and can be read in full.

The central question that faced the committee was why Israel did not win the war. Like many Israelis, the committee thinks this was a missed opportunity. But the main question that should have been the focus of discussion was whether this war was essential. If it was not essential, then it was superfluous. There are no other types of war.

The committee did not engage much with this question. Somewhere near the end of the report, however, there is a refreshing thought: "The claim that it was necessary to do almost everything to return the kidnapped soldiers - despite its emotional power - does not stand up to scrutiny," because it creates unnecessary risks for the security of both soldiers and civilians. In other words, even if the government thought the two soldiers were still alive, the decision to go to war was not justified.

The committee avoided this question. The decision to go to war was "pivotal," it wrote. But was it essential? The committee ducks the issue. It was a "fateful" decision. But was it justified? The committee produces the following convoluted sentence: "We do not determine, and have not determined, that the decision to go to war following the kidnapping was unjustified." This is not good enough.

The committee also did not contribute any useful understanding to the second question that should have been at the focus of the discussions following the war: To what extent have 40 years of occupation affected the ability of the Israel Defense Forces to protect the country? Or, in other words, does the IDF train its soldiers to fight - or does it mainly teach them to oppress the Palestinian population?

It seems that the committee saw this question as only an operational detail. In this context, it adopted the army's concept of "ongoing security tasks."

The advantage the committee members have, as Winograd himself said, is that they know more about the war than most other Israelis; but in their opinion, their judgment is not worthier than those of others. The value of this report will therefore be measured in terms of the extent to which it reveals information that has not already appeared in investigative reports and books written by journalists. Here's something to do for the weekend.
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  1.   was PM Barak unilateral pullout from S. Lebanon in May 2000, 06:37  |  avigdor 31/01/08
  2.   Segev - No War In Necessary Unless Sheinkin Street Is Invaded 08:25  |  Tod Zuckerman 31/01/08
  3.   thus far, the north is quiet 09:10  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 31/01/08
  4.   Was it necessary? 09:31  |  Esther 31/01/08
  5.   thank you Tom Segev 10:56  |  Sean 31/01/08
  6.   what "war "? 11:02  |  whoopsie 31/01/08
  7.   War was not a failure 12:09  |  Ben Rosenfeld 31/01/08
  8.   Poor Segev, as confused as usual 12:13  |  David Teich 31/01/08
  9.   definitions please 12:42  |  danny 31/01/08
  10.   "The first war for survival" was common 13:59  |  Fritz T. 31/01/08
  11.   on David Teich #8 15:09  |  zeev 31/01/08
  12.   this questions is an absurd! 15:48  |  kaled 31/01/08
  13.   on Tod Zuckerman #2 15:50  |  zeev 31/01/08
  14.   Winograd served an important purpose 16:10  |  Natallie Durson 31/01/08
  15.   The side-effects.. 16:19  |  Buzaglow 31/01/08
  16.   #8 David Teich, confused as usual 00:56  |  Johnboy 01/02/08
  17.   Zeev, you never can stop lying, can you? p1 16:59  |  David Teich 01/02/08
  18.   Zeev, you never can stop lying, can you? p2 16:59  |  David Teich 01/02/08
  19.   to David Teich #17 05:27  |  zeev 03/02/08
  20.   #18 David Teich, confused as usual - cont. 07:14  |  zeev 03/02/08
  21.   16: Poor JB, reading comprehension issues again (2nd try) 22:34  |  David Teich 03/02/08
  22.   Poor Zeev, still avoiding reality 22:35  |  David Teich 03/02/08
  23.   to David Teich #22 00:20  |  zeev 04/02/08
  24.   #21 David Teich the one-trick pony 06:01  |  Johnboy 04/02/08
  25.   23: Zeev, I notice that you don`t address any point 13:09  |  David Teich 04/02/08
  26.   to David Teich #25 14:23  |  zeev 04/02/08
  27.   JB: At least I still have a horse (2nd try) 14:52  |  David Teich 06/02/08
  28.   26: Zeev, you`re even funnier when you try, p1 15:04  |  David Teich 06/02/08
  29.   26: Zeev, you`re even funnier when you try, p2 15:10  |  David Teich 06/02/08
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