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Shmuel Rosner Chief U.S. Correspondent www.haaretz.com/rosner Biography | Email me
Posted: January 20, 2008

Why is Nevada's Jewish community supporting Clinton?

1.

The sample is small, but look at these numbers from Nevada:

5% of the voters were Jewish.

Of these 5%, 67% voted for Hillary Clinton and only 25% for Barack Obama.

In this entrance poll there were 1098 respondents. This means that it had 55 Jewish respondents, 37 or 38 of them voted for Clinton, 13 to 14 voted for Obama, 2 or 3 for John Edwards.

2.

A small sample, but a very large margin, or as one of Hillary Clinton's fanatics wrote to me: "if the sample was too small, they wouldn't report it". The 55 Jewish respondents represent a Jewish community that is growing rapidly. According to a study from last year, in Las Vegas alone there are some 89,000 persons who live in 42,000 Jewish households. Of the 89,000 persons in Jewish households, 67,500 persons (76%) are Jewish.

3.

In the 2004 election cycle Jews were 4% of respondents to the exit polls. 35% of them voted for Bush rather than John Kerry. One possible conclusion: Jews in Nevada are generally more conservative than the national Jewish average (the Jewish national number for Bush was 25%), and that is why they have voted for Clinton rather than Obama.

On the other hand: the conservative Jews could have voted in the Republican caucuses.

Yet again: The conservative are usually the more traditional Jews, and these could not have voted on a Saturday.

4.

The Nevada Jewish establishment - namely, Rep. Shelley Berkley - supported Clinton. But the Jewish political (Democratic) establishment is now very busy as it makes an effort to refute the continuing attacks on the character and the beliefs of Senator Obama.

Following a letter by Jewish organization leaders on the same topic, now seven Jewish senators - all of whom have not endorsed a candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination - sent a letter to the community condemning the anonymous mass emails attacking Obama (Carl Levin, Barbara Boxer, Ben. Cardin, Russ Feingold, Frank Lautenberg, Bernie Sanders, and Ron Wyden): "We find it particularly abhorrent that these attacks arc apparently being sent specifically to the Jewish Community. Jews, who have historically been the target of such attacks, should be the first to reject these tactics", they write.

But make no mistake: The American Jewish establishment feels much more comfortable with a Clinton candidacy than it is with an Obama candidacy (Having said that, it is not just the "Jewish establishment" but the establishment in general).

5.

Just search "Obama" and "Israel" or "Obama" and "Muslim" on Google, and you'll find these attacks on Obama quite easily.

Many are just using what Jewish organization leaders called "falsehood and innuendo", some have more substance, and some contain both. Like this one from the American Thinker blog (that uses, among other things material from The Israel Factor).

I read this post following a conversation with a Democratic operative who complained specifically about it.

Here is the problem I see with it, as with many other such posts:

While it raises some legitimate questions about the candidate?s positions on things related to Israel, it fails to give him any credit for actions and statements that should be considered pro-Israeli.

One example: Obama co-sponsored legislation that will make divesting from Iran easier and safer. Good or bad? According to this blog I read, Obama does not deserve recognition for this move: "I suspect that Obama signed on as a co-sponsor for protective coloration", the author writes.

In short, one gets the feeling that Obama is trapped: if he does wrong, they'll hammer him, if he does right, they'll still hammer him. This is a dangerous approach: It removes from the agenda any political incentive to do right.

Related articles:

  • Clinton, Romney win Nevada caucuses
  • Israel Factor experts on the latest Republican debate


  •   1.   Why did Nevada Jews vote for Clinton? 06:01  |  bobbie Wickham 20/01/08
      2.   Sen. Sanders is not a Democrat 06:26  |  Charles B. Hall 20/01/08
      3.   what a stupid question! 07:29  |  Simah 20/01/08
      4.   Nevada Jewish Vote? 07:46  |  Shlomo 20/01/08
      5.   No Orthodox Jews polled 07:50  |  Susan 20/01/08
      6.   Shlomo do YOUR homework 08:19  |  ATLAS 20/01/08
      7.   Flawed analysis. Of course he would act this way! 08:25  |  redmike 20/01/08
      8.   Mr. Rosner is confused 08:34  |  Jackson Dyer 20/01/08
      9.   "bankrupt countries Canada and Britain" ? 08:34  |  redmike 20/01/08
      10.   Americans 1st 08:56  |  Denise 20/01/08
      11.   Gimme a Break, Shmuel 08:57  |  Mark of Lewiston 20/01/08
      12.   Nevada Jews Have short memory of Clinton & Arafat Hugging 09:38  |  Kipperraes 20/01/08
      13.   Susan - What`s the Orthodox pupolation of America`s Sodom? 09:49  |  Mark of Lewiston 20/01/08
      14.   Redmike - No Risk 09:53  |  Mark of Lewiston 20/01/08
      15.   The answer to that question is very easy...... 10:14  |  Swiss (Dino) 20/01/08
      16.   #14 - smear = slander, defamation 10:19  |  redmike 20/01/08
      17.   THE LAST FOR HILLARY 10:33  |  indrajaya 20/01/08
      18.   Why? 11:08  |  Clickfool 20/01/08
      19.   redmike, glad u dont live in US 11:34  |  Yadu 20/01/08
      20.   And the Swiss would have neither Clinton nor Obama 11:36  |  Iz Ray Leigh 20/01/08
      21.   no no no, rosner! THINK! you`ve missed it completely! 11:36  |  eric 20/01/08
      22.   Mark of Lewiston 11:38  |  Iz Ray Leigh 20/01/08
      23.   One condi was enough for Israel 11:53  |  Judith, Haifa 20/01/08
      24.   Mark of Lewiston -- not a fan of reading the article itself? 11:57  |  bbl 20/01/08
      25.   nevada jews suooort clinton 11:59  |  elliot 20/01/08
      26.   To #13 Mark of Lewiston 12:05  |  Susan 20/01/08
      27.   #19 - I am American and understand the process well! 12:06  |  redmike 20/01/08
      28.   Indrajaya, why do you bother? 12:09  |  bbl 20/01/08
      29.   Why is Nevada`s Jewish community 12:12  |  Franco 20/01/08
      30.   # 20 Iz Ray Leigh, just for your information...... 12:23  |  Swiss (Dino) 20/01/08
      31.   #21 eric in occupied new mexico and dreams 12:23  |  v hardman 20/01/08
      32.   eric #21 -- got news for you 12:25  |  bbl 20/01/08
      33.   U.S. Democrats and Israeli voters seem to have one thing....... 12:29  |  Swiss (Dino) 20/01/08
      34.   Maybe the "free world" should start collecting money..... 13:22  |  Swiss (Dino) 20/01/08
      35.   we have no law against it Dino 13:26  |  Iz Ray Leigh 20/01/08
      36.   # 28, BBL 13:30  |  indrajaya 20/01/08
      37.   Simah #37 - hillary, as Bush-light will help republicans 13:33  |  dana 20/01/08
      38.   # 29 Franko, Roma 14:57  |  Gerald Zang 20/01/08
      39.   take dana`s word for it: PLEASE 15:04  |  Iz Ray Leigh 20/01/08
      40.   # 32 to bbl, i think i like you... 15:10  |  eric 20/01/08
      41.   Indraya and BBL 15:14  |  Yadu 20/01/08
      42.   To Shlomo 15:24  |  Roberta Wickham 20/01/08
      43.   It is the Economy that matters most 16:00  |  Brod 20/01/08
      44.   16 Redmike - The Smear by Implication 16:43  |  Mark of Lewiston 20/01/08
      45.   #43 - the curtain is closing on the American Empire 16:55  |  redmike 20/01/08
      46.   Iz, Ray, bbl, Susan - It`s a Caucus 16:55  |  Mark of Lewiston 20/01/08
      47.   Maybe they think she is good for ISRAEL 16:59  |  Bass 20/01/08
      48.   Caucus on Shabbat 17:15  |  Susan 20/01/08
      49.   #38 Gerald Zang 17:18  |  Franco 20/01/08
      50.   Nevada Jews support Clinton 17:46  |  Muriel 20/01/08
      51.   #44 - I liked your reply Pt2 17:52  |  redmike 20/01/08
      52.   racist towards Jews and Blacks 18:05  |  Paul 20/01/08
      53.   caucus on shabbat 18:38  |  motti 20/01/08
      54.   america is making a big mistake if they vote 18:45  |  maria 20/01/08
      55.   American Jews Attracted to Marxism 18:46  |  Tont Anthony 20/01/08
      56.   the people who voted for clinton or obama were they us citizens 18:55  |  mmm 20/01/08
      57.   #4, Shlomo, How can you be so ill-informed? 19:15  |  Sidney 20/01/08
      58.   Tony Anthony 19:19  |  Danite 20/01/08
      59.   It really is very simple 19:35  |  Paul Wood 20/01/08
      60.   Simple.... 19:56  |  William 20/01/08
      61.   American politics is bankrupt 20:40  |  jake 20/01/08
      62.   #1,Totally Silly Reasoning 20:50  |  Gary 20/01/08
      63.   #3 Well Simah 21:38  |  ballistic 20/01/08
      64.   REspond TONANY ANOTHONY 23:18  |  TOBIA 20/01/08
      65.   Indrajaya -- reading things that aren`t there 00:37  |  bbl 21/01/08
      66.   Eric #32-- Thanx for the sanity 00:46  |  bbl 21/01/08
      67.   Yadu -- I was referring to... 00:55  |  bbl 21/01/08
      68.   Maybe because they live in Nevada 01:55  |  Edith 21/01/08
      69.   Obama and Louis Farrakhan 04:42  |  Mike 21/01/08
      70.   Nothing will change 06:36  |  Johnf 21/01/08
      71.   Reply to Tony Anthony in Houston (Post No. 55) 06:53  |  Johnny Weintraub 21/01/08
      72.   Obama campaign is dead in the water...No VP for him either 16:04  |  The Equalizer 21/01/08
      73.   # 55 Marxist? LOL What a hoot! 16:24  |  Petra 21/01/08
      74.   # 61 We are bankrupt due to Bush 16:28  |  Petra 21/01/08
      75.   if obama wins,this country[the usa] will become a muslim country, 16:30  |  maria 21/01/08
      76.   # 69 Mike you put your finger on the problematic issue. 16:32  |  Petra 21/01/08
      77.   # 64 Tobias EXCELLENT REPLY!!! 16:36  |  Petra 21/01/08
      78.   petra....it`s not due to bush why america is bankcrupt. 17:07  |  maria 21/01/08
      79.   Because they`re stupid? Blind? Don`t realize they`d be putting a 23:35  |  Radical Muslim as VP 21/01/08
      80.   Let`s just hope the "Black" Christian voters are aware of Obama`s 23:40  |  history and 21/01/08
      81.   Clinton and McCain not the Answer 20:56  |  Gary 23/01/08
      82.   She is good for Israel 03:27  |  Larry Schwartz 24/01/08
      83.   Simah 09:21  |  Elwood 24/01/08
      84.   Bernie Sanders 09:29  |  Jake Stein 24/01/08


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