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Flip-flopping toward Damascus
By Uzi Benziman
tags: Israel, Syria

Israeli politicians have two beat-up old rabbits in their hat when they want to mock citizens harboring hopes for peace: Secret negotiations with Syria and new possibilities for an agreement with the Palestinians.

Every time they reach a dead end in one track, they pull out of their hat the dove of the other channel. At the end of the performance they stuff the two handkerchiefs back in the hat - until the next show.

Ehud Barak's exploits as prime minister proved wonderfully how the method works. Immediately after his election in May 1999, he took his first trip to the U.S., bringing with him great tidings: He intended to reach a permanent settlement with the Palestinians as soon as possible, and at the same time to arrive at an agreement with the Syrians.
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In September of that year, Barak signed the Sharm al-Sheikh agreement with the Palestinian Authority, which was meant to implement the Wye Agreement signed by his predecessor, Benjamin Netanyahu. That agreement established an outline for intensive negotiations intended to lead to a framework agreement within five months, which would in turn lead to a permanent settlement within a year.

In short time, the negotiations over the permanent settlement ran into serious problems, but amazingly a new hope appeared: negotiations with the Syrians.

Barak showered praise on Hafez Assad, and at the beginning of January 2000, the prime minister went to Shepherdstown, West Virginia, to meet with Farouk Shara, then Syria's foreign minister, in talks held under the auspices of president Bill Clinton.

Those negotiations produced no practical results, even though a draft agreement was drawn up. As the chances for an agreement faded away, Barak reincarnated and then accelerated the talks with the Palestinians, which culminated in his meeting with Yasser Arafat at Camp David in July 2000. This move also failed, and Barak disappeared from the political center stage.

So when Barak once again calls for talks with the Syrians, it is as if he is declaring that the upcoming Annapolis summit is fated to end with little in the way of practical results.

The loud and clear signal to Damascus, only two months after Israel's air force attacked Syria, can only be interpreted as a sleight of hand - offered as an alternative to the diplomatic process now underway with the Palestinians; or as a distraction for the public from its anticipated failure. And when Prime Minister Ehud Olmert picks up Barak's chorus, it's as if he is giving his official approval to the forecast that nothing will come out of Annapolis.

After all, only a few months ago, Olmert refused calls to give in to Assad's attempts at courtship, dismissing them with the observation that they were only intended to end American pressure on the Syrian leader.

A tendency to zigzag is not the exclusive property of our present prime minister. Since the Madrid Conference in 1991, Israel and Syria have a number of times exchanged messages intended to ascertain the chances of their reaching an agreement that would put at end to the state of war between them. Prime ministers Yitzhak Shamir, Yitzhak Rabin, Shimon Peres, Benjamin Netanyahu, Ehud Barak and Ariel Sharon all did it. Rabin even handed the U.S. government his agreement to a full pullback from the Golan Heights, and both Netanyahu and Barak also agreed to returning the territory.

This potential was never translated into an agreement for various reasons, but the root cause was the failure of the Israeli leadership, in its various incarnations, to achieve internal agreement within Israel on a withdrawal from the Golan.

During the tenures of Rabin, Netanyahu and Barak, the flip-flopping back and forth, from the Palestinian to the Syrian channel, and back again, was obvious and out in the open. It was based, on the hand, on serious political considerations - Rabin thought that it was impossible to offer the public two peace plans at the same time; and in the case of Netanyahu and Barak, it stemmed from public relations considerations.

The present attempt to tango with Assad, Jr., if it is serious at all, is also doomed to fail.

Either it is a tactic addressed to the Palestinian Authority, whose purpose is to improve Israel's bargaining position; or it is a public relations gambit meant to distract the Israeli public. Or perhaps it is actually a trial balloon whose address is Assad himself, in which case it is likely to be popped by the winds blowing from America.

In any case, Olmert is not a stronger leader than his predecessors were, in his supposed readiness to negotiate over the future of the Golan. This fact should be our starting point as we attempt to draw conclusions about the seriousness of reports on a new dawn on the Israeli-Syrian horizon.
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  1.   Syria wants the Golan and makes no gestures 11:03  |  Sam 14/11/07
  2.   uzi and how to build a home from rice grains ? 11:15  |  victor hardman 14/11/07
  3.   WHO SHOULD ISRAEL WANT PEACE? 11:23  |  indrajaya 14/11/07
  4.   Syria has much to offer 11:30  |  Natallie Durson 14/11/07
  5.   method in the seeming madness 11:36  |  simple 14/11/07
  6.   US underwriting of Israeli belligerency recipe for WWIII 11:38  |  Ivar 14/11/07
  7.   Syrian promise to stop violence is as dependable as that of Pals 11:49  |  Sam 14/11/07
  8.   WHY SHOULD ISRAEL WANT PEACE? 11:58  |  indrajaya 14/11/07
  9.   Mistake To Make Peace Now 12:04  |  Khaled 14/11/07
  10.   Khaled, your description of untrustworthiness fits Israel 12:27  |  Ivar 14/11/07
  11.   EU supporting Estlan`s belligerency a recipe for a war in Europe 12:56  |  Absolute Sweden 14/11/07
  12.   Ofcourse, Israel is also to blame for the sinking of the titanic 13:19  |  Kobi 14/11/07
  13.   # 12, KOBI 13:34  |  indrajaya 14/11/07
  14.   #10 ivars global theat to peace from 0.001% of the globe 13:43  |  victor hardman 14/11/07
  15.   Response To No. 10 13:54  |  Khaled 14/11/07
  16.   Damascus and its atrocities 14:32  |  Brod 14/11/07
  17.   #5 Simple,I have a simple question for you 14:32  |  Hastaroth 14/11/07
  18.   #13 indrajaya 14:39  |  Kobi 14/11/07
  19.   #10 Ivar 14:44  |  Kobi 14/11/07
  20.   # 18, KOBI 15:09  |  indrajaya 14/11/07
  21.   #5simple and the road to oblivion right conclusion wrong solution 15:09  |  victor hardman 14/11/07
  22.   The Subject is You 15:16  |  JK 14/11/07
  23.   Why Would Indrayagaga Want Answers? 16:01  |  Tex 14/11/07
  24.   Yes, Natallie Durson, Syria has much more to offer 16:36  |  Velvl Shmerlson 14/11/07
  25.   hastarot/hardman 16:42  |  simple 14/11/07
  26.   This is not a case of flip-flopping 17:01  |  Michael N 14/11/07
  27.   people are afraid of peace..and feel secure in war.stupid 17:07  |  kay 14/11/07
  28.   MichaelN- enough of Palestinian babbling 17:18  |  Sam 14/11/07
  29.   #20 indrajaya 17:37  |  Kobi 14/11/07
  30.   # 23, TEX 17:38  |  indrajaya 14/11/07
  31.   Durson barking up the wrong tree, as usual 18:15  |  Judah N. Wenkel 14/11/07
  32.   Khaled #9 - excellent post 18:45  |  Polybios 14/11/07
  33.   to Khaled # 15 -Good, post ! Yes, 18:47  |  Judah N. Wenkel 14/11/07
  34.   Neither Khaled nor Kobi are fit to be neighbors 19:12  |  Ivar 14/11/07
  35.   # 4 In other words, Fatmah, Syria wants a piece of Israel... 19:12  |  Misha 14/11/07
  36.   to Michael N. # 26, -YOU are disingenious &......... 19:18  |  Judah N. Wenkel 14/11/07
  37.   Uzi Benzimon`s analysis is false & off-track, 19:22  |  Judah N. Wenkel 14/11/07
  38.   The Turks were Moslems 19:38  |  Sam 14/11/07
  39.   PEACE WITH SYRIA 19:38  |  patrick hammel 14/11/07
  40.   The threat of peace 19:40  |  Mark Lincoln 14/11/07
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