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Last update - 09:22 23/10/2007
If war breaks out
By Reuven Pedatzur
Tags: syria

The next war with Syria, if there is one, will be different from every other war we have known. Granted, there might be tank battles on the Golan Heights, as in the past, but it is doubtful that the war will take place solely at the front, while the civilian rear stays out of it.

If, as expected, the fighting expands to include the home front, residents of Haifa, Hadera and Tel Aviv will be targets for the Syrian army's rockets and missiles. Anyone who wants to imagine what is liable to happen in the streets of our cities if war breaks out with Syria and degenerates into mutual attacks on the civilian rear need not look far. The 4,000 rockets Hezbollah launched during the Second Lebanon War, which paralyzed the lives of some one million residents of the North, provide an example of an attack on Israel's home front.

The Syrian army has about 1,000 ballistic missiles of the Scud B, C and D models, whose ranges are between 300 and 700 kilometers. These missiles can reach anyplace in Israel (the distance from the southern Golan Heights to Tel Aviv is some 150 kilometers). The Syrian missiles are armed with chemical warheads, and Syria is also thought to have experimented with biological weapons. To these must be added Syria's SS-21 missiles, which have a shorter range (about 80 kilometers), but are much more accurate. The Ramat David airfield, for instance, is within range of these missiles. And, having learned a lesson from the Second Lebanon War, the Syrians have protected their missiles by putting them into concrete bunkers.
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Even more problematic, from the Israel Defense Forces' perspective, is the Syrian army's store of rockets. Faced with thousands of rockets, both 220mm (whose range is about 70 kilometers) and 302mm (with a range of 90 kilometers), the IDF has no real answer - just as it had no answer to the thousands of rockets launched by Hezbollah. And to these must be added Hezbollah's approximately 20,000 rockets, which the organization will almost certainly use if war breaks out: Cooperation between Syria and Hezbollah has grown even closer since the war.

The Israel Air Force will try to destroy the ballistic missiles and their launchers (the launchers number no more than a few dozen), but it will be powerless in the face of thousands of rockets.

Over the last decade, the Syrian army has gradually become less armored and less mechanized; it is more and more based on infantry, commando units and antitank weapons. The idea behind this structural change is that Syrian forces will wage a defensive war on the Golan Heights and thereby bleed the IDF. The plan is to let the IDF attack and then engage in "close combat," during which they will wear out the attacking forces via numerous antitank missiles borne by infantry troops, including the advanced Metis and Kornet models.

In addition, the Syrian army has positioned tens of thousands of BM-21 rockets, which have a range of about 20 kilometers, at the front. These are liable to exact an extremely heavy price from the IDF.

In recent years, many villages, containing thousands of houses, have been built on the Syrian heights. If the IDF advances toward Damascus, it will have to fight in a built-up area. The residents will be evacuated as soon as the fighting begins, and they will be replaced by Syrian commandos, who will lie in wait for the IDF's tanks and armored personnel carriers. Numerous irrigation channels, dug in order to water the local fields and orchards, will also constitute a barrier against the IDF's tanks.

Therefore, every possible scenario for a war with Syria indicates that the price paid by the IDF, and almost certainly by the civilian rear as well, will be extremely high. Those who failed in a war against a guerrilla organization numbering only a few hundred fighters ought to be very cautious about going to war against a regular army that has learned the lessons of the Lebanon war and intends to exploit every Israeli weakness that it revealed.
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  1.   Israel, get rid of your ideological ballast, and make peace.... 09:37  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  2.   time to talk peace with Syria 09:41  |  gus # 2 23/10/07
  3.   If War Breaks out , Syria will be turned into a Kurd State 09:47  |  Joseph E . 23/10/07
  4.   too stressfull 09:48  |  a.k. 23/10/07
  5.   Clear skys 09:53  |  Dr David I. Gross 23/10/07
  6.   Sounds Like A Job For 1 Kiloton Nukes 10:07  |  SM 23/10/07
  7.   So Buy Black Parachutes 10:10  |  Rivka 23/10/07
  8.   The distance Syrian rockets have to travel is the same by return. 10:26  |  PETER SM 23/10/07
  9.   That is why we have nukes 10:43  |  FOX 23/10/07
  10.   3 points 10:51  |  Amos 23/10/07
  11.   Unfortunately many still think the old way 11:17  |  Mark B. 23/10/07
  12.   If War Breaks Out 11:24  |  Mike 23/10/07
  13.   Thanks for freaking us out 11:25  |  Kevin 23/10/07
  14.   Syrian rockets 11:28  |  Sheikh Rattle & Roll 23/10/07
  15.   It is suicidal for Syria to launch a solo attack upon Israel 11:31  |  Natallie Durson 23/10/07
  16.   Major flaws in Pedzatur reasoning,designed to scare Israel into 11:34  |  Absolute Sweden 23/10/07
  17.   Cold war mentality 11:42  |  Dr David I. Gross 23/10/07
  18.   When there is a war with Syria 11:59  |  Chris Linthwaite 23/10/07
  19.   But, but, but....the IDF is invincible, surely everyone knows.... 12:03  |  Clickfool 23/10/07
  20.   We Have Much More 12:05  |  dyinglikeflies 23/10/07
  21.   A true story 12:06  |  Yonatan 23/10/07
  22.   Until the Golan Heights are liberated.... 12:11  |  Wise Syrian 23/10/07
  23.   Syrian missiles can hit everywhere except military targets 12:19  |  Dr. L. Brnd 23/10/07
  24.   So Israel is going to walk into the trap laid by Syria 12:20  |  PETER S .M. 23/10/07
  25.   #20 Let`s hope the IDF learnt more than you did last year 12:24  |  Johnboy 23/10/07
  26.   C.FOOL. Only Royal marines are invincible. 12:27  |  PETER S.M. 23/10/07
  27.   Asad should visit Israel and make peace like Sadat 12:32  |  Tamir Palestine 23/10/07
  28.   Very, very interesting 12:34  |  Axel 23/10/07
  29.   Many Good Reasons to Avoid War 12:34  |  Mark of Lewiston 23/10/07
  30.   # 18 Chris Linthwaite 12:40  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  31.   #22 Wise Syrian - If that`s wisdom 12:53  |  Yonatan 23/10/07
  32.   #28 Tamir Palestine (formerly Tamir Gaza ?) 12:56  |  Yonatan 23/10/07
  33.   #29 Axle 12:57  |  Yonatan 23/10/07
  34.   THIS WILL BECOME A DIFFERENT WAR 12:57  |  indrajaya 23/10/07
  35.   We have the ultimate weapon-Haaretz editorial staph 12:57  |  Herbert Kaine 23/10/07
  36.   We have the ultimate weapon-Haaretz editorial staph 12:57  |  Herbert Kaine 23/10/07
  37.   Clickfool 13:01  |  Sarah 23/10/07
  38.   # Little completion to my # 31 13:04  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  39.   # 1 Swisss 13:11  |  Lynn 23/10/07
  40.   # 22 Wise Syrian 13:13  |  Lynn 23/10/07
  41.   Message #22 of Wise Syrian 13:26  |  Yitzhak 23/10/07
  42.   Chemical or Bio attack by Syria 13:37  |  SystemF 23/10/07
  43.   SYRIA WILL FIGHT w/IMMORAL RULES & ISRAEL WILL FIGHT MORALLY. 13:41  |  Mitch Iginer 23/10/07
  44.   22Wise Syrian,agree with your general sentiment,but a Palestinian 13:58  |  lakshmi 23/10/07
  45.   #1 DINO -" we (the International community) will "take 14:03  |  17 23/10/07
  46.   Dr Strangelove Lives 14:06  |  LB The Jew 23/10/07
  47.   Mark B 14:11  |  Walid 23/10/07
  48.   Isarel and winning wars 14:11  |  Truth 23/10/07
  49.   No problem, we have shelters for the leaders 14:13  |  Aron 23/10/07
  50.   Peace? 14:14  |  Walid 23/10/07
  51.   Peter and daydreams 14:15  |  Truths 23/10/07
  52.   Swiss(Dino) 14:17  |  Walid 23/10/07
  53.   USA and Israel`s ACCURATE Nuclear Missles 14:24  |  HonestAbe 23/10/07
  54.   NO, NO, NO, THE WAR WON`T EVER BREAKS OUT 14:24  |  indrajaya 23/10/07
  55.   Response to Axel 14:30  |  Ehud 23/10/07
  56.   Reading Pedatzur`s nonsense... 14:31  |  Ehud 23/10/07
  57.   # 33 17 14:34  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  58.   Message #32 of Lakshmi 14:36  |  Yitzhak 23/10/07
  59.   War will be more coordinated 14:36  |  iKeltin 23/10/07
  60.   Truths 14:46  |  Walid 23/10/07
  61.   War with Syria - for Hannah 14:47  |  Michael Martin-Smith 23/10/07
  62.   # 31 Lynn, you made my Tues(day)...... 14:49  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  63.   No 23. Dr. Brnd and your PhD Thesis! 14:53  |  Sohel Saheen 23/10/07
  64.   1..dino...if israel had wisdom 14:54  |  ravi 23/10/07
  65.   Walid 14:54  |  Gabriel 23/10/07
  66.   # 41 Walid 14:58  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  67.   Dr.Brnd from San Diego`s interesting post 14:59  |  Shalom Freedman 23/10/07
  68.   Bunkers 15:01  |  Eli Israeli 23/10/07
  69.   Swiss(Dino) 15:02  |  Walid 23/10/07
  70.   A Syrian defensive posture that does not threaten Israel 15:04  |  Nick Ferriman 23/10/07
  71.   #35 Hear, hear 15:12  |  Outsider 23/10/07
  72.   To Walid 15:14  |  Aziz el Hijazi 23/10/07
  73.   Gabriel 15:16  |  Walid 23/10/07
  74.   # 64 ravi 15:17  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  75.   # 60, WALID 15:23  |  indrajaya 23/10/07
  76.   The unnecessary war with Syria 15:28  |  Tosefta 23/10/07
  77.   Olmert is in UK today 15:34  |  Chris Linthwaite 23/10/07
  78.   to Tamir Palestine 15:54  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  79.   Johnboy Watched a Different War 15:57  |  dyinglikeflies 23/10/07
  80.   we will lose if we become frightened syria must fear us more 16:03  |  ralph 23/10/07
  81.   To Haaretz staff & moderators/censors. 16:11  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  82.   for Hannah & swiss(Dino) 16:17  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  83.   deterrent are in place 16:21  |  peter 23/10/07
  84.   Syrain FM Jafar, give Tossi a raise #76 16:22  |  FOX 23/10/07
  85.   to Everybody... 16:30  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  86.   Pre Emtive wars before paid up handsomely but 16:42  |  23/10/07
  87.   #9.fox. IF you would still be around to discuss it? 16:51  |  Garry Thomlinson 23/10/07
  88.   Will there be war with Syria? 16:55  |  Tosefta 23/10/07
  89.   # 82 Judah N. Wenkel 16:58  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  90.   58Yitzak,Hamas has changed a lot since its Charter of 1988,and 17:04  |  lakshmi 23/10/07
  91.   Tosefta #76 Good ideas-but out of step. 17:08  |  Hubal 23/10/07
  92.   The Neighbourhood Bully 17:11  |  Larry 23/10/07
  93.   The Neighbourhood Bully Part 2 17:16  |  Larry 23/10/07
  94.   Problem Right Now With Open Window 17:18  |  Yosemite 23/10/07
  95.   security with peaceful relations 17:31  |  montyrosen 23/10/07
  96.   to swiss(Dino) 17:35  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  97.   Aziz al Hijazi 17:36  |  Walid 23/10/07
  98.   Mitch Ignier 17:39  |  Nick Ferriman 23/10/07
  99.   al aguerre comme ala guerre 17:41  |  khairi janbek 23/10/07
  100.   Syria`s goal 17:43  |  Danite 23/10/07
  101.   Why fight with tanks 17:48  |  Modern Warrior 23/10/07
  102.   to Larry of Toronto & EVERYONE ! 17:52  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  103.   Mitch Iginer 17:54  |  Walid 23/10/07
  104.   # 76 tosefta 17:56  |  Axel 23/10/07
  105.   to Larry of Toronto & EVERYONE ! (part 2) 18:04  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  106.   Israel options exist, stop fighting like us, a hand tied in the b 18:06  |  US General 23/10/07
  107.   Message #90 of Lakshmi 18:08  |  Yitzhak 23/10/07
  108.   If war breaks out 18:09  |  s.margolis 23/10/07
  109.   # 96 Judah N. Wenkel 18:13  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  110.   For Sarah # 37 18:34  |  Clickfool 23/10/07
  111.   Good chuckle from Mitch Iginer # 43 18:37  |  Clickfool 23/10/07
  112.   My compliments to LB the Jew # 46 18:39  |  Clickfool 23/10/07
  113.   For Judah N.Wenkel # 81 18:41  |  Clickfool 23/10/07
  114.   Israel always looking for another war. 19:08  |  Deborah 23/10/07
  115.   Natallie Durson`s wet dream # 15 19:08  |  Fortuna Benmayor 23/10/07
  116.   with "friends" like dino 19:09  |  peter 23/10/07
  117.   War with Syria? 19:11  |  Bill 23/10/07
  118.   to Rivka # 7 19:15  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  119.   massada vs. karbala 19:31  |  shia 4 ever 23/10/07
  120.   # 116 peter, again be a REAL man !! 19:34  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  121.   #98Nick,103Wal,111Click-WERE CHURCHILL & ROOSEVELT WAR CRIMINALS? 19:40  |  Mitch Iginer 23/10/07
  122.   GO.GO..SYRIA 19:48  |  Otto 23/10/07
  123.   Bashar Al Wahsh-The Beast (changed not long ago to Al Assad-Lion) 19:49  |  Genuine Tosefta 23/10/07
  124.   Sounds like a good reason for Israel to make peace 19:53  |  Steve 23/10/07
  125.   #120 dino the tiny dancer 20:00  |  peter 23/10/07
  126.   #76, "the Syrians have already...caused two wars in Lebanon" 20:17  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 23/10/07
  127.   otto trying too hard 20:24  |  little israel 23/10/07
  128.   to swiss(Dino) -my 2nd try- 20:25  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  129.   # 125 To everybody who wants to see how "credible" peter is..... 20:39  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  130.   Otto 122 20:54  |  Bill H. 23/10/07
  131.   War with Syria 21:04  |  P. J. Casey 23/10/07
  132.   #100 21:05  |  joki 23/10/07
  133.   # 100 danite 21:09  |  Axel 23/10/07
  134.   This is too simplistic a scenario 21:14  |  B 23/10/07
  135.   ALL THIS PROPA GANDA FROM ARABS HERE 21:17  |  LEVI 23/10/07
  136.   # 128 Judah N. Wenkel 21:18  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  137.   Really Johnboy, the Israelis won the 2nd Lebanon war with both 21:19  |  Jack 23/10/07
  138.   107Yitzak,does israel have any other choice! 21:23  |  lakshmi 23/10/07
  139.   If war breaks out 21:23  |  Aziz el Hijazi 23/10/07
  140.   there will be a different outcome what if 21:27  |  teflon moslem 23/10/07
  141.   Israel can strike anywhere in Syria too 21:35  |  Abu Yusuf 23/10/07
  142.   to Clickfool of Sussex # 113 (3rd try) 21:38  |  Judah N. Wenkel 23/10/07
  143.   THIS WILL BECOME A DIFFERENT WAR 21:41  |  sdg 23/10/07
  144.   IF WAR BREAKS OUT -WE WILL STILL BE HERE AND NOT RUN AWAY . 21:53  |  Jordan 23/10/07
  145.   use the nukes!!! 22:00  |  mario 23/10/07
  146.   Hey Reuven Where Will You Be When This Scenario Occurs? 22:04  |  Kathy 23/10/07
  147.   # 18 Chris Linthwaite.IF PUSH COMES TO SHOVE,WHAT DO YOU THINK? 22:09  |  Kathy 23/10/07
  148.   # 106 US General ABSOLUTELY SPOT ON.... 22:24  |  Kathy 23/10/07
  149.   syrian/israeli war is not imminent 22:25  |  jimbo 23/10/07
  150.   "TRUTHS".@51Paratroops hold long enough for regulars to arrive 22:40  |  PETER S .M. 23/10/07
  151.   #28 Axel - let me take you by the hand & explain 22:43  |  * BEN JABO 23/10/07
  152.   Why Iran wants to end Israel`s nuc deterent. 22:44  |  HonestAbe 23/10/07
  153.   SYRIAN civillians will NOT be evacuated.They need dead civillians 22:46  |  PETER S .M. 23/10/07
  154.   # 120 Dino (Swiss)re:Peter. 22:47  |  Kathy 23/10/07
  155.   #18 Linthwaite - I`ll let you in on an open secreat 22:47  |  * BEN JABO 23/10/07
  156.   dont worry 22:49  |  the syrian 23/10/07
  157.   Dino are you a man or a mummy? 22:53  |  little Israel 23/10/07
  158.   Preemption Shoot down big missiles small missiles are not serious 23:04  |  Efox 23/10/07
  159.   Otto 122 23:09  |  Bill H. 23/10/07
  160.   Yanatan and Judah N. Wenkel, I`m glad to hear this 23:20  |  Tamir Palestine 23/10/07
  161.   # 134 Kathy, I know it`s difficult to understand, but try...... 23:26  |  Swiss (Dino) 23/10/07
  162.   This is a mental masturbation article-Nonsense. 23:31  |  Alan 23/10/07
  163.   #124-Steve on Syrian diplomacy 23:34  |  peter 23/10/07
  164.   War equals more aid 23:35  |  Palestinian Prince 23/10/07
  165.   A true story 23:39  |  Mike 23/10/07
  166.   Read "An `infidel` in Israel" with Nonie Darwish in JP today 23:40  |  Genuine Tosefta 23/10/07
  167.   Arabs in Israel 23:47  |  Kristian 23/10/07
  168.   # 120 DINO 23:51  |  17 23/10/07
  169.   So Why Have They Not Attacked? 23:59  |  Yoram 23/10/07
  170.   Ghastly Impostor #76, 88 will wait outside for the Syrian missile 00:08  |  Genuine Tosefta 24/10/07
  171.   #135 Ben Jabo---Yep, and that is why Israel 00:09  |  tad 24/10/07
  172.   To all pundits, armchair generals and crystal ball gazers... 00:10  |  bat yam 24/10/07
  173.   # 137 little Israel ( I like your name....:) 00:15  |  Swiss (Dino) 24/10/07
  174.   Surprise, surprise Israel will not attack in Damascus direction 00:15  |  Genuine Tosefta 24/10/07
  175.   Is Syria so stupid? I do not think so 00:25  |  TOMY 24/10/07
  176.   Sauce for the Goose 00:35  |  Yaela Katz 24/10/07
  177.   #79 Dyinglikeflies is reading a different article 00:48  |  Johnboy 24/10/07
  178.   # 138 17 01:05  |  Swiss (Dino) 24/10/07
  179.   Writing Arab history with Jewish blood.Part 1 01:05  |  e.m 24/10/07
  180.   Writing Arab history with Jewish blood.Part 2 01:06  |  e.m 24/10/07
  181.   Writing Arab history with Jewish blood.Part 3 01:07  |  e.m 24/10/07
  182.   hysterical 01:09  |  jorge grosz 24/10/07
  183.   Swiss (Dino) # 1 01:17  |  Philippe 24/10/07
  184.   Swiss (Dino) # 30 01:30  |  Philippe 24/10/07
  185.   Swiss (Dino) # 62 01:33  |  Philippe 24/10/07
  186.   Home Fromt - this article doesnt scare me!! 01:46  |  Dakkar 24/10/07
  187.   WOW, my predictions right again 02:05  |  VIPER 24/10/07
  188.   War and Peace 02:06  |  Abu Babu Al-Ladin 24/10/07
  189.   Otto G-d Bless America for defending Israel 02:17  |  Steve-NYC 24/10/07
  190.   There you go Swiss 02:39  |  Ding Dong 24/10/07
  191.   its awesome 03:42  |  yona loriner 24/10/07
  192.   Abu Babu Al-Ladin # 158 04:08  |  Philippe 24/10/07
  193.   Peter and holding 04:20  |  Truths 24/10/07
  194.   IF WAR BREAKS OUT... 04:46  |  Dick Fitzgerald 24/10/07
  195.   It`d be a lot worse for Syria 05:29  |  Bob 24/10/07
  196.   Syria is not the only country 06:17  |  Soccerball 24/10/07
  197.   What Works Best - 06:17  |  Gunter 24/10/07
  198.   Dick Fitz #187 06:21  |  Gunter 24/10/07
  199.   # 23 dear dr. l. brnd 07:31  |  eric 24/10/07
  200.   1 Kiloton Nukes? 07:35  |  Avi 24/10/07
  201.   THERE IS ONLY A NUCLEAR OPTION 07:48  |  W.Arhead 24/10/07
  202.   # 153 hey efox; let the lions rule! 07:50  |  eric 24/10/07
  203.   to swiss (Dino) 07:54  |  Judah N. Wenkel 24/10/07
  204.   $34 Indra 07:55  |  Billy Joe 24/10/07
  205.   to VIPER 6 Hannah 08:00  |  Judah N. Wenkel 24/10/07
  206.   #75 Indra 08:02  |  LTF 24/10/07
  207.   REMEMBER, DAMASCUS ..... 08:05  |  Benny Low 24/10/07
  208.   We`ll know in March or April 08:22  |  Stephen 24/10/07
  209.   Dino sour (get the pun?) 08:32  |  little Israel 24/10/07
  210.   For Steve in NYC # 185 08:50  |  Clickfool 24/10/07
  211.   A nation that has grown soft and flabby # 187 08:58  |  Clickfool 24/10/07
  212.   # 178 Philippe 10:05  |  Swiss (Dino) 24/10/07
  213.   re: Name: SM, from: Ramat Gan 10:18  |  aaron 24/10/07
  214.   # 185 Ding Dong 12:29  |  Swiss (Dino) 24/10/07
  215.   Clickfool #201 12:42  |  iKeltin 24/10/07
  216.   #205, JUDAH N. WANKER 13:26  |  VIPER 24/10/07
  217.   VIPER - THE RACETRACK TOUT 18:13  |  * BEN JABO 24/10/07
  218.   206 LTF about Indra 18:18  |  Bill H. 24/10/07
  219.   # 161 Dino(Swiss) TO HAMAS.DEBATING MY OWN WAY.A SHORT ONE.. 19:52  |  Kathy 24/10/07
  220.   #211 Clickfool - surely you`re talking about 20:52  |  * BEN JABO 24/10/07
  221.   # 216 VIPER,..IN DEFENCE OF JUDAH.IN MY OWN VERSION.. 20:55  |  Kathy 24/10/07
  222.   #221, KATH, says she doing the same 01:04  |  VIPER 25/10/07
  223.   Kristian 167. 11:48  |  Stephen 25/10/07
  224.   # 166 Genuine Tosefta. ON NONIE DARWISH 18:18  |  Kathy 25/10/07
  225.   #222 Viper - learn how to spell 06:43  |  * BEN JABO 26/10/07
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09:47 Olmert gives Abbas plan for Israeli pullout from 93% of West Bank
11:12 Barak in Golan: We're watching Hezbollah's strengthening closely
07:49 Bush: Russia's acts in Georgia jeopardize its U.S., Europe ties
07:27 Hamas says not interested in renewing Shalit negotiations
10:54 El Al plane sets off to evacuate 190 Israelis from Georgia
11:03 Israeli judoka Alice Schlezinger knocked out of Beijing Olympics
09:47 Is being kosher about the way you treat your workers as well what you eat?
08:14 Haaretz newsletter: All the news from Israel direct to your inbox
08:01 OPINION / How to ignore, or use, bad press about the economy
08:13 VIDEO / Russian-language media in Israel lean toward Georgia
10:43 VIDEO / Palestinian gardeners: Olmert's security guards beat us up
08:59 Israeli working women: Know your rights
05:35 Parole officers covertly tracking and filming released sex offenders
06:14 Mofaz attracting surprising level of support in Kadima
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