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Abbas' only chance
By Danny Rubinstein

For a moment this past weekend, it seemed Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas was getting stronger, while Hamas and its leadership were in a slump. The prisoners' release was presented to the public as a success for Abbas, who was very keen to point out - to avoid finding himself in hot water - that Israel alone prepared the list of the released, without him or his aides knowing anything about it. Ismail Haniyeh, Hamas' leader in the Gaza Strip, had to welcome the release, but he immediately added that one must be wary of the traps being laid by Israel, which is paying the PA what amounts to political bribes to divide the Palestinian people by releasing Fatah prisoners only. An Arabic- language daily in London said openly what was heard on the street corners of East Jerusalem: The release of 250 prisoners out of a total of nearly 11,000 is humiliating; an insult to Abbas.

To a certain degree it was surprising to hear that Hamas' leader in Damascus, Khaled Meshal, before his meeting with Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad last week, had apologized for the mistakes made during Hamas' takeover of the Gaza Strip. Of course, he stressed that he did not apologize to anyone - only before Allah - but this could also be interpreted as a sign of weakness. Add to this some of the more vociferous attacks against Hamas by Fatah leaders still in the Gaza Strip, like Zacharia al-Ara, who said Hamas behaved worse than the Israeli occupier, and it is fair to say that Abbas and his Fatah supporters sense a weakening Hamas.

They rallied, and their campaign against what they call the "bloody Hamas overthrow in the Gaza Strip" is becoming more focused and determined. The insults and accusations that Abbas used against "the person known as" Khaled Meshal and "the person known as" Ismail Haniyeh during his speech at the PLO Central Committee meeting in Ramallah have destroyed any possibility for dialogue and compromise. The use of the expression "the person known as" is reserved in Palestinian parlance to describe the most despicable criminals and collaborators.

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Late last week I sat with the delegates of the PLO Central Committee in Ramallah to get a taste of the atmosphere and hear what was being said. Abbas' presentation was neither theatrical nor electrifying like those of Yasser Arafat. That was to be expected. The applause he received was also weak. Many of the approximately 100 members who came to the deliberations of the central committee - an intermediate body between the 700 members of the PLO National Council and the Executive Committee, which is similar to a PLO government - wore suits and ties. Thirty delegates who came from Amman were particularly prominent in their formal attire. It appears that for them this was a festive occasion.

I saw people who in the recent and distant past held key positions in Palestinian political life. From the distant past there was Mohammed Milhem, former mayor of Halhul, expelled in 1980 and a former member of the Executive Committee. There was also Abed al-Jawad Salah, another former mayor who had been expelled. From the recent past, Intisar al-Wazir (Umm Jihad), who moved to Ramallah from the Gaza Strip along with dozens of Fatah leaders who decided they could not live there. An acquaintance, a journalist, drew my attention to the fact that nearly all those present except the guests from abroad reside in Ramallah. He could not remember the last time Abbas visited Nablus, Hebron or Jenin, and decided that the PA chairman has not made such a visit since his election in 2005.

It was hard to shake the feeling that this was a show of heroes from the Palestinian past. The present and future belong to those who were not there, regardless of whether this means Hamas or opposition within Fatah. Such an opposition does exist, not only abroad but also in the territories, and among its spokesmen are Hani al-Hassan and Jibril Rajoub, and possibly Marwan Barghouti. They are asking to hold a dialogue with Hamas, not just fight against it. Abbas' success is greatly dependent on the political steps of the Israeli government, which is, more than anyone, responsible for his weakness. Nonetheless, Abbas must make order in Fatah, hold a general conference and internal elections. Otherwise, he stands no chance of success.

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  1.   THE SAME ONLY CHANCE LIKE BEFORE 11:09  |  indrajaya 23/07/07
  2.   DANNY JESTS !HE NEVER HAD A CHANCE !! 11:12  |  paul harris 23/07/07
  3.   Israel 11:12  |  Hannah 23/07/07
  4.   The PA could never be viable & Abbas could never succeed, never! 12:09  |  Uzi 23/07/07
  5.   He Never Had A Chance .... 12:19  |  Terry 23/07/07
  6.   Abbas needs to act as president of All Palestinians. 12:19  |  El-Birawi 23/07/07
  7.   Abbasingya 12:26  |  Ronnie Wolman 23/07/07
  8.   No question that Abbas established an illegal government,in not 12:56  |  lakshmi 23/07/07
  9.   Abbas lost what little dignity he had 13:07  |  Natallie Durson 23/07/07
  10.   Hamas = PFLP = DFLP = Jihad = Al-Aksa Martyrs = Tanzim = Amalek! 13:18  |  Uzi 23/07/07
  11.   Destroying all terrorists would promote peace and help everybody, 13:31  |  Uzi 23/07/07
  12.   The only chance for Israel but not for Pals. 13:32  |  Philistine 23/07/07
  13.   Israel must stop undermining Abbas; stop settlement construction 13:36  |  A Bethlehemite 23/07/07
  14.   El-Birawi: Palestinian Visions 13:37  |  Ronnie Wolman 23/07/07
  15.   14/Ronnie Wolman: Palestinian or Israeli vision 14:38  |  Philistine 23/07/07
  16.   Philistine: 14:53  |  Ronnie Wolman 23/07/07
  17.   Has Abbas or any other Palestinian leader recognize the right of 15:03  |  Yael 23/07/07
  18.   you deaf dumb and stupid....? 15:21  |  ravi 23/07/07
  19.   a Bethelemite- "What is Israel`s intent?" 15:27  |  Sam 23/07/07
  20.   # 1 not the same, surely 15:28  |  Tawfik MUsharraf 23/07/07
  21.   16/Ronnie Wolman 15:45  |  Philistine 23/07/07
  22.   El Birawi 16:12  |  Larry 23/07/07
  23.   Uzi, the conflict is about land and freedom. 16:25  |  Ibrahim 23/07/07
  24.   Israel has a choice... 16:29  |  Ibrahim 23/07/07
  25.   Uzi 16:29  |  A.M. 23/07/07
  26.   Oh, no! The prisoner release was "humiliating" 16:34  |  McQueen 23/07/07
  27.   It`s obvious: The pals do not want Abbas 16:40  |  Walter 23/07/07
  28.   Greater Israel vs. Greater Palestine 16:46  |  Sam 23/07/07
  29.   Correction to post 8,typo,what is left for abbas to do? Take off 16:57  |  lakshmi 23/07/07
  30.   Sam, can you offer some references? 17:16  |  Ibrahim 23/07/07
  31.   Ronnie Wolman 17:17  |  Larry 23/07/07
  32.   Ronnie Wolman 2 17:20  |  Larry 23/07/07
  33.   No, Ibrahim, terrorism is not the root cause of the problem, the 17:29  |  Amit 23/07/07
  34.   Jordan = (Arab) Palestine would give Arabs both land and freedom. 17:36  |  Uzi 23/07/07
  35.   Ibrahim 18:05  |  Sam 23/07/07
  36.   Abbas has a terrific chance to suceed 18:15  |  Shepherd 23/07/07
  37.   #28 who is we ? i think you havent got it at all 18:25  |  victor hardman 23/07/07
  38.   Abbas and Hamas 18:29  |  P. J. Casey 23/07/07
  39.   #36 what odds will you give shepherd ? 18:30  |  victor hardman 23/07/07
  40.   Their days are probably numbered............ 18:31  |  Just Curious 23/07/07
  41.   QUESTION TO ANYONE? 18:41  |  Just Curious 23/07/07
  42.   What Abbas has to offer 18:41  |  Tosefta 23/07/07
  43.   34/Uzi: British occupation was on Palestine not Israel 18:48  |  Philistine 23/07/07
  44.   Victor Hardman 18:52  |  Sam 23/07/07
  45.   #13 Bethlehemite............Precisely! 19:15  |  Just Curious 23/07/07
  46.   FALSE HANNAH ALERT! #3 19:45  |  Hannah 23/07/07
  47.   Sam...cakes and eating it too... 19:53  |  Ibrahim 23/07/07
  48.   Amit.... 19:55  |  Ibrahim 23/07/07
  49.   Hannah, for all who wish to know, is not a 19:58  |  Leah 23/07/07
  50.   illusions 19:59  |  sami 23/07/07
  51.   Philistine, congratulations on your most appropriate pen name. 20:04  |  Uzi 23/07/07
  52.   Yet, Ibrahim, you don`t even have the intellectual honesty to 20:19  |  Amit 23/07/07
  53.   #8, Lakshmi 20:45  |  Hannah 23/07/07
  54.   Ibrahim 20:48  |  Sam 23/07/07
  55.   #17, Yael 20:53  |  Hannah 23/07/07
  56.   Amit on Roots and Causes... 21:04  |  Ibrahim 23/07/07
  57.   Sam, how convenient of you... 21:06  |  Ibrahim 23/07/07
  58.   Ibrahim 21:46  |  Sam 23/07/07
  59.   FALSE HANNAH ALERT #53, #55 22:18  |  Hannah 23/07/07
  60.   Hannah (fake I think), Abbas was elected by more people who voted 23:14  |  Yael 23/07/07
  61.   # 56. Ibrahim, there is no such thing as "the root cause now is". 23:21  |  Ruti Efrati 23/07/07
  62.   # 57 How can you say this ? 23:54  |  Yosef ben Mansour 23/07/07
  63.   # 58 Ibrahim 23:55  |  Abushanab 23/07/07
  64.   Jordan is Palestine, redux 00:44  |  john 24/07/07
  65.   ibrahim 00:45  |  Jonathan 24/07/07
  66.   Yousef ben Mansour 01:04  |  Sam 24/07/07
  67.   Why Abbas will fail 01:29  |  Fed Up 24/07/07
  68.   Philistine and Larry: Same Old Same Old and vita...Same Old. 02:18  |  Ronnie Wolman 24/07/07
  69.   Tosefta - it seemed like a good idea at the time 02:26  |  Mark Lincoln 24/07/07
  70.   Tosefta - define "one state solution"? 02:29  |  Mark Lincoln 24/07/07
  71.   IBRAHIM: A PLEA FOR ENLIGHTENMENT 04:18  |  Brant 24/07/07
  72.   The Oslo background (Mark Lincoln #69) 05:00  |  Tosefta 24/07/07
  73.   #69the critical mistake was in believing arafat 06:05  |  victor hardman 24/07/07
  74.   i don`t get it 07:52  |  jake 24/07/07
  75.   Tosefta - back channels and Jim Baker 07:55  |  Mark Lincoln 24/07/07
  76.   Is there anyone out there that does not understand? 08:01  |  Mark Lincoln 24/07/07
  77.   hey Brandt #71 08:03  |  jake 24/07/07
  78.   #74 Two very good questions, jake 09:33  |  Johnboy 24/07/07
  79.   For Jake # 74 11:14  |  Andrew Watson 24/07/07
  80.   41`s QUESTION TO ANYONE 15:33  |  J.M.Jordan 24/07/07
  81.   #8, lakshmi: Wait and see 16:10  |  J.M.Jordan 24/07/07
  82.   Abbas only chance 17:30  |  luke weyland 24/07/07
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