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Defense or offense?
By Moshe Arens

The Second Lebanon War seems to have thrown almost everybody into a state of confusion. All of a sudden we realize that the home front is vulnerable and insufficiently protected. There is talk of spending billions on shelters for all and exotic missile systems to intercept incoming missiles. A vision is being propagated that someday all Israelis will be fully protected - shelter over their heads and an umbrella of missile interceptors that will knock down anything coming at us.

Conferences are being held on how the home front will be sheltered and who will be protected and how all this will be paid for. Orders have already been placed for the development of horrendously expensive missile interceptors. The Meridor committee, charged with examining Israel's defense doctrine, is calling for new strategic thinking, and the addition of a fourth element - defense - to the conventional Israeli strategic triad of early warning, deterrence and decisive victory. While all this is happening, Sderot keeps getting its daily dose of Qassams, and its residents are being told that there is no magic solution to their troubles. In other words, they better get used to it. Hezbollah has not only handed Israel a defeat on the battlefield, it has also totally confused us, giving birth to mistaken thinking, which if adopted, may very well lead to another defeat in the next round. Another victory for Hezbollah.

So what's new here? That civilians might be at risk during a war was fully appreciated by David Ben-Gurion many years ago. He would not begin the Sinai Campaign 50 years ago until arrangements had been made for the French Air Force to keep the skies over Israel clear of Egyptian aircraft. It appears that today's Israeli politicians and the "new strategists" have forgotten Ben-Gurion's credo - that the civilian population must first be protected.

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Rockets that can be fired from a distance at civilian targets are also nothing new. Toward the end of the Second World War, the Germans fired V2 rockets into London, causing considerable damage. The British knew that the only way to put a stop to these attacks was for Montgomery's army to reach the V2 launching sites. And Soviet missiles were aimed at American cities during the Cold War, and it was clear that the answer was not to throw the entire U.S. population into shelters, but rather, to deter Soviet leaders from launching these missiles in the first place.

Hezbollah has had a large arsenal of rockets in its possession for years and it was clear that a massive blow at Hezbollah targets in Lebanon would unleash a rain of rockets on Israel. Now Hamas is launching rockets into Sderot. Is there really no answer to these threats other than placing everybody in shelters? That in itself would constitute a victory for them. How about doing the obvious thing and sending ground troops to the launching sites, where they can put the rockets out of range. This was not done during the Second Lebanon War, and why is it not being done now in the South?

Israel is not, and should not, be preparing for a long war of attrition. Our enemies have to be deterred, or if deterrence fails, quickly crushed. Preparations for long wars of attrition are simply a waste of resources and play into the hands of our enemies. Deterring our enemies is the best of all alternatives. There is good reason to believe that considering Israel's massive capabilities, which can stand additional reinforcement, Syria might well be deterred from any aggressive adventures in the North. And if deterrence nevertheless fails, Syria would be dealt a crushing defeat. In the face of Syrian threats, Olmert's talk of turning the Golan Heights over to the Syrians only weakens the image of our deterrent capability in Syrian eyes, and is counterproductive.

Terrorist organizations like Hezbollah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Al-Qaida cannot be deterred. They thrive on injury to their civilian supporters. There is only one option here: these organizations must be defeated. And in Operation Defensive Shield, Israel proved this can be done. But on the verge of a decisive victory against Palestinian terrorism, the disengagement reversed what was about to be a crushing Israeli victory, and provided renewed encouragement to the terrorists.

So let us go back to the old and tried Israeli defense doctrine, so successful in past years. In war, first priority must be given to protecting the civilian population and taking the war immediately into enemy territory. There is no substitute for the strategic triad - deterrence, early warning and victory. The best defense is offense.
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  1.   THERE IS NO ANSWER TO MOSHE HE IS RIGHT 10:42  |  paul harris 17/07/07
  2.   Moshe Stay Home 10:45  |  Yosemite 17/07/07
  3.   Moshe Arens -- puppet of Council on Foreign Relations 10:47  |  Dan 17/07/07
  4.   My conclusion is trite but true 10:47  |  Natallie Durson 17/07/07
  5.   The equation has changed 10:50  |  brit4palestine 17/07/07
  6.   Excellent assessment..many have been saying this for a long time 10:59  |  GrossedOut 17/07/07
  7.   # 2, YOSEMITE 11:12  |  indrajaya 17/07/07
  8.   NO WAR - NO PEACE 11:13  |  Kooky Dennt 17/07/07
  9.   you just forget that 11:19  |  cool 17/07/07
  10.   #9 PEACE WITH MUSLIMS IS IMPOSSIBLE 11:28  |  paul harris 17/07/07
  11.   Indrajaya Try Menudo Sometime! 11:32  |  Yosemite 17/07/07
  12.   It would be a lot better if... 11:32  |  Edith 17/07/07
  13.   N.Durson.The Pals through rejection and hatred created this mess 11:42  |  Peter SM 17/07/07
  14.   Re: Paul Harris No Peace With Muslims? 11:50  |  Yosemite 17/07/07
  15.   Preemptive Military Action Is Best Defense. 11:50  |  Terry 17/07/07
  16.   #4 Natallie Dur-d`oreille...... 12:26  |  Hastaroth 17/07/07
  17.   # 14, YOSEMITE 12:36  |  indrajaya 17/07/07
  18.   #14 YOU SAID THE RIGHT WORD YOSEMITE JESUS 12:57  |  paul harris 17/07/07
  19.   the bliss of ignorance 14:01  |  michael cohen 17/07/07
  20.   On and On and On and On 14:08  |  Ronnie Wolman 17/07/07
  21.   you must return to politic activity 14:12  |  Haaron 17/07/07
  22.   With Hesballa rearming & digging in beyond the Litani 14:16  |  PETER SM 17/07/07
  23.   Aren`s FALSE PREMISE 14:37  |  abram 17/07/07
  24.   Amen, Moshe Arens 14:53  |  leon 17/07/07
  25.   YOU DO NOT NEGOTIATE WITH YOUR ENEMIES, YOU DEFEAT YOUR ENEMIES. 15:10  |  common sense 17/07/07
  26.   #4 Today the goal is to stop the rockets. Tomorrow it will be som 15:13  |  17 17/07/07
  27.   But Olmert and Livni do not want to win 15:20  |  Jonathan S 17/07/07
  28.   Brilliant Assessment 15:28  |  Brod 17/07/07
  29.   dont know about moshe being right.... 15:30  |  ravi 17/07/07
  30.   BEGINNING OF THE END 15:52  |  Double Click 17/07/07
  31.   I Agree with Ahrens 16:06  |  Ron 17/07/07
  32.   Arens starts with a bang and ends with a wimper 16:10  |  Boris 17/07/07
  33.   Arens starts with a bang and ends with a wimper 16:10  |  Boris 17/07/07
  34.   Leon, What I read HAARETZ (Post 22) 16:49  |  Johnny Weintraub 17/07/07
  35.   Arens correct- passive measures never stop the threat 17:04  |  Chick 17/07/07
  36.   #27 RAVI AND ELEPHANT GOD 17:10  |  paul harris 17/07/07
  37.   Moshe can`t imagine the idea of pursuing peace. 17:22  |  Ibrahim 17/07/07
  38.   Of course there`s an answer to Arens 17:59  |  newageblues 17/07/07
  39.   Absolutely right! Peace through overwhelming Israeli victory. 18:25  |  Chaim 17/07/07
  40.   30...paul harris.. 18:26  |  ravi 17/07/07
  41.   A few questions 19:08  |  Shalom Freedman 17/07/07
  42.   Ibrahim 19:18  |  Gina 17/07/07
  43.   #31 Ibrahim 19:20  |  17 17/07/07
  44.   Unfinished business 19:30  |  Dr David I. Gross 17/07/07
  45.   PLEASE fire Olmert a.s.a.p. 19:40  |  Polybios 17/07/07
  46.   hey haaretz... 20:04  |  ravi 17/07/07
  47.   You are right, but...... 20:38  |  Shalom 17/07/07
  48.   # 4 Fatma, that top US general is a fiction.... 20:51  |  Misha 17/07/07
  49.   17 from nyc??? 20:53  |  Ibrahim 17/07/07
  50.   Gina... 20:55  |  Ibrahim 17/07/07
  51.   Remember, kids.... 21:19  |  Webster 17/07/07
  52.   Peace umbrella 21:25  |  Baz Mann 17/07/07
  53.   #12 edith 21:34  |  Larry 17/07/07
  54.   The best defense is offense 21:41  |  Joseph E . 17/07/07
  55.   The best defense is offense. 21:52  |  Ah 17/07/07
  56.   42 Ibrahim 21:53  |  17 17/07/07
  57.   17 from NYC on accidental killings... 22:06  |  Ibrahim 17/07/07
  58.   `35` Gina 22:11  |  Labhras 17/07/07
  59.   NO OPTION 22:18  |  LIAMMOR 17/07/07
  60.   Common Sense Unknown to Israeli Leadership 22:45  |  Yoram 17/07/07
  61.   ibrahim you demanded the right of return 22:47  |  bev 17/07/07
  62.   War & peace 22:54  |  Baz Mann 17/07/07
  63.   The pleasures of occasional realities discussion 22:57  |  TonyL 17/07/07
  64.   Correction..... 22:58  |  Moe 17/07/07
  65.   #57, Labhras... 23:04  |  Silvienne 17/07/07
  66.   #56 Ibrahim 23:05  |  17 17/07/07
  67.   #56, Ibrahim 23:07  |  Silvienne 17/07/07
  68.   CONCESSIONS TO DICTATORS LIKE WINGS ON A WATER BUFFALO! 23:07  |  Ambrose 17/07/07
  69.   Arens is right. Restraint in war does not work 23:10  |  bernard ross 17/07/07
  70.   Ibrahim 23:12  |  Michael 17/07/07
  71.   Moshe Arens 23:18  |  Connie 17/07/07
  72.   17, agreeed... 23:24  |  Ibrahim 17/07/07
  73.   Michael, on Gaza... 23:26  |  Ibrahim 17/07/07
  74.   #15, Terry 23:31  |  Silvienne 17/07/07
  75.   # 72 Ibrahim 23:42  |  17 17/07/07
  76.   17, now you are being silly... 23:57  |  Ibrahim 17/07/07
  77.   Forever War! 00:11  |  dan 18/07/07
  78.   # 76 Ibrahim 00:14  |  17 18/07/07
  79.   To Ibrahim #37....We all want peace, Ibrahim..even Moshe Arens 00:14  |  SLAVO 18/07/07
  80.   `65" Silvienne 00:30  |  Labhras 18/07/07
  81.   #76 Ibrahim 00:34  |  17 18/07/07
  82.   Ibrahim #73 re: Michael 00:41  |  TonyL