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Last update - 09:42 12/06/2007
UN envoy warns Mideast faces possibility of 'full-scale war'
By Associated Press

UN envoy Terje Roed-Larsen raised an alarm about the situation in the Middle East, warning that the region faces the possibilities of full-scale war, a fresh effort to contain the current violence, or energetic diplomacy to try to bring lasting peace.

The picture which emerges is very dark, and apparently getting darker, he told reporters on Monday, adding there are reasons for real concerns in the international community.

Roed-Larsen, the current UN envoy for Lebanon-Syria issues who for many years was the top UN Mideast envoy, said the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East has changed fundamentally over a few years.

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"A few years ago, as it had been over many, many decades, the center of gravity for all the conflicts were the Israeli-Arab conflicts," he said.

"Now, there seems to be four epicenters of conflict in the region with their own dynamics, the Iraqi issues, the Iranian issues, the Syrian-Lebanese issues, and of course the heart of hearts, the traditional conflict, the Palestinian-Israeli issue."

"The new phenomenon seems to be that all these conflicts are now completely intertwined so that it is very difficult, maybe impossible, to find a solution to one of them without finding a soltion to all of them," Roed-Larsen told reporters after briefing the UN Security Council.

Roed-Larsen called the current situation alarming and said there are three alternatives.

"One is that we continue on the path of violence - the kind of mildest one being that we continue on the slippery slope of violence that we've seen not only in Lebanon but also in Gaza, West Bank, Iraq and elsewhere in the region," he said.

"The other one is that it leads to a full confrontation, and worst case to a regional confrontation with arms."

"The second option is energetic diplomacy by the international community to address the underlying problems," he said.

Roed-Larsen said this is extremely difficult today because the four conflicts in the Mideast are separate, but have become entwined.

"Hopefully there is still a possibility to address this diplomatically and with peaceful means," he said. However, that this will happen in the very foreseeable future is not that likely.

The third option, he said, is a vigorous containment policy which stems the slide on the slippery slope and moves to address broader regional tensions.

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  1.   If the Arabs want to kill each other its none of Israels business 10:14  |  PETER SM 12/06/07
  2.   Roach-Larsen, just say the world is better off without Israel 11:19  |  Michael 12/06/07
  3.   The Problem lays at your feet. 11:51  |  Ali 12/06/07
  4.   REPLY : UN envoy warns Mideast faces possibility of `full-scale w 11:59  |  Ali 12/06/07
  5.   Last wake-up call for Israel to make peace with neighbors 12:07  |  Ivar 12/06/07
  6.   LARSEN IS AFRAID TO SAY THE TRUTH 12:10  |  indrajaya 12/06/07
  7.   excuses, excuses 12:23  |  Daniel 12/06/07
  8.   Ivar, so let´s think about WWIII...#5 12:48  |  Karl 12/06/07
  9.   IVAR.The Arabs are not mindless pieces of flammable material 12:53  |  PETER SM 12/06/07
  10.   Misplaced priorties 12:56  |  Natallie Durson 12/06/07
  11.   # 7, DANIEL 12:57  |  indrajaya 12/06/07
  12.   one common denominator to conflicts 14:06  |  Michel 12/06/07
  13.   All of this can be stopped easily 15:16  |  Ken 12/06/07
  14.   Finger-pointing at Islamic extremists is no Israeli excuse 15:17  |  Ivar 12/06/07
  15.   U,N.ENVOY WARNS. 15:19  |  Jack 12/06/07
  16.   #14 Ivar 16:46  |  Michel 12/06/07
  17.   Ivarian Delusions 18:10  |  Francois 12/06/07
  18.   Ivar, Al Qaida is your baby 18:37  |  infidel 12/06/07
  19.   Ivar,and for the rest of your post.... 18:54  |  infidel 12/06/07
  20.   May 15 Prophecy foreshadow all this 20:02  |  Leon Davis 12/06/07
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