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Campaign activists for Ehud Barak awaiting updated poll results from the Labor primaries in Tel Aviv on Monday night. (Photo: Alon Ron, Haaretz)
Last update - 05:35 29/05/2007
With all votes counted, Barak wins Labor primary round 1
By Mazal Mualem, Haaretz Correspondent, Haaretz Service and Agencies

With 87 percent of votes counted, it became clear on Tuesday that former Prime Minister Ehud Barak had won the first round of the Labor primaries, and would face rival Ami Ayalon in a second round of polls to decide the party's new leader.

As the final votes were counted, the margin between Ayalon and Barak widened slightly, with Barak emerging as the leader.

Small margins separated the two candidates as during counting throughout the night, with the final result unclear until 87 percent had been processed. Barak finished with 34.2 percent of votes to Ayalon's 31.7 percent.

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Current Labor Party leader Amir Peretz trailed throughout the poll, finishing with 21.8 percent of votes, while Ophir Pines-Paz had 7.9 percent.

Ami Ayalon surged ahead of his main rival for the leadership of the Labor Party when 46 percent of the votes had been counted early Tuesday, winning 37.3 percent to Ehud Barak's 30.3 percent.

Ayalon was ahead in Jerusalem, Tel Aviv and the kibbutzim, while Barak was leading the race in Dimona, Holon and the Druze village Beit Jan. The current party chairman, Defense Minister Amir Peretz, was in the lead in Lod, Bat Yam and Eilat.

Exit polls by two of Israel's major television channels predicted different outcomes in the primary Monday, with Channel 1 giving Barak a narrow lead over main rival Ayalon, and Channel 2 saying that Ayalon had forged far ahead of Barak.

The exit poll conducted by Channel 1 television gave Barak 38 percent of the vote and Ayalon 36 percent. Trailing far behind them were Peretz with 17 percent, Ophir Pines-Paz with 7 percent and Danny Yatom with 2 percent.

Channel 2 television's exit poll gave Ayalon the lead with 39 percent, Barak got 33 percent, Peretz recieved 19 percent, Pines-Paz made out with 7 percent and Yatom got 2 percent.

A strong voter turnout was recorded in the primary throughout the day, which analysts believed would help Ayalon and Barak, and could bring one of them the 40 percent of the vote needed to declare a clear winner in the first round, thus negating the need for a second round.

The polls in the Labor Party primaries opened at 8:30 A.M. Monday morning. 65.5 percent of the 103,498 party members turned out to vote for their preferred candidate by the time the polls closed at 9:00 P.M.

Activists campaigning for Ayalon on Monday estimated that the support for their candidate may reach the 40 percent needed to determine Ayalon the definitive winner in the first round. Should he fail to achieve 40 percent of the vote, the two candidates with the highest vote in the first round will go head to head in a second round. A second round would take place on June 12.

The activists believe that Ayalon will receive only a few votes more than his rival Barak, and that the need for a second round will hinge on a difference of a handful of votes.

When asked where the champagne bottles would be opened should he win, Ayalon replied "even when we win, we don't drink champagne, we drink herbal tea."

This election could have far-reaching effects for the government. Ayalon has said that he would not remain in the coalition under Prime Minister Ehud Olmert if he is elected party chief.

Some senior Labor officials oppose a pullout from the ruling coalition. But should the 19-member Labor faction bolt, Olmert could be forced to seek support from religious or far-right parties. It could also renew pressure on Olmert to resign.

Members of both camps said they think they can win in the first round, but many observers expect the vote to be so split among the five candidates running that none of them will get the minimum 40 percent for victory, making a second round necessary.

Earlier polls showed that Barak, a former prime minister, and Ayalon, a former Shin Bet security chief, were running nearly neck and neck, with neither reaching the 40-percent threshold.

Peretz, voting Monday in his hometown of Sderot, said that the thing he loves most after his wife is the analyzing polls.

"Every ballot that goes to Amir Peretz is one step closer to the Finance Ministry and progress in the social revolution," he said, referring to the platform upon which he was elected as party chair 18 months ago. Peretz has said he will leave the post of defense minister, in the wake of the fierce criticism leveled at him over the handling of the Second Lebanon War.

Peretz said Monday he believes "in the vote party members will prove that what they want is stability."

Barak, voting in Kfar Sava, echoed Monday his previous warning that only he can emerge victorious from a face-off with Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu.

"I am telling the voters two things today: Think hard about who you want more in times of war. Only I, at the head of this large beehive of a party, can beat Netanyahu. I have a very good feeling this morning."

In the last few days, Barak and Ayalon have been targeting the kibbutz vote and the Arab vote, which are expected to determine the elections. Ayalon is seen as having a slight lead over Barak among kibbutz members, which has led Barak to focus his last-minute efforts in this sector.

Barak emphasized his two messages: "Think about who you want more in a time of war" and "Only I will beat Bibi" - a reference to Netanyahu.

Ayalon has been telling Labor members that they should vote for him because Labor under his leadership would win more seats if a national election was held than it would under Barak.

"I think many people understand that we are, in fact, not just voting on the future of the Labor Party but to a very large extent on the future leadership of the state of Israel," he said at the northern Israel polling station where he cast his vote.

The Prime Minister's Office is keeping an eye on the primaries because the results are expected to affect the fate of the Olmert government, since the Labor Party, under its new leadership, will have to decide whether to stay in the government.

Barak aides said Monday that if he wins, he will work to bring together the other candidates: Ayalon, Pines-Paz, Yatom and Peretz.

Former prime minister Barak, who has the support of cabinet ministers from Labor Benjamin Ben-Eliezer, Isaac Herzog and Shalom Simhon made dozens of calls Sunday to try to convince Labor members to vote for him.

Ayalon also spent much of Sunday on the phone, repeating his message that he does not plan to sit in a government led by Ehud Olmert.

Peretz said he was optimistic he would again emerge victorious in the primaries. "There are some who want to take away from us the social revolution we began," Peretz said in a recorded message to his supporters. "When we win once again we will demand the Finance Ministry and, from there, continue the social revolution we're dreaming of."

Peretz's tenure as party chairman has been overshadowed by his role as the defense minister during the Second Lebanon War. However, Peretz insisted that his supporters will give him a surprise victory and lashed out against Barak: "We all know the truth, that Ehud Barak was not a successful defense minister.

"He set mistaken concepts for which we paid a price: the unilateral withdrawal from Lebanon and a small and smart army."

As the candidates and their staff were immersed in campaigning, reports circulated about attempts to buy votes. The Ayalon camp said on Sunday it had been offered Arab-sector votes for money, but no official complaint has been filed. Yatom vehemently denied a rumor that he received an offer to have his campaign costs covered if he were to withdraw his candidacy.

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  1.   Mr Peretz the big looser 06:41  |  SJ 28/05/07
  2.   Peretz deserves political oblivion 08:42  |  Nora 28/05/07
  3.   Barak vs. Ayalon in Labor 10:18  |  Reid 28/05/07
  4.   The Labor Party is irrelavant 11:34  |  Idan 28/05/07
  5.   Idan in TA Has It Right. Labour Is No Longer Relevant. 13:31  |  Terry 28/05/07
  6.   Think who will be a better loser ???? 13:36  |  Sal 28/05/07
  7.   revolution 13:49  |  Ethan 28/05/07
  8.   Only Labors future effect on Olmert is important ! 14:24  |  redmike 28/05/07
  9.   Ayalon To Dethrone Olmert 15:07  |  AARON LUBLING 28/05/07
  10.   Support Ayalon..... 15:12  |  Willy 28/05/07
  11.   Only Labor`s future effect on Olmert is important! 15:53  |  John 28/05/07
  12.   Time for the Labor to fold 16:37  |  David T. 28/05/07
  13.   think hard who you want more 17:18  |  sandu 28/05/07
  14.   Labour has shown they cannot lead the country 17:40  |  Marwan مروان خوري 28/05/07
  15.   peretz - barak(deja vu) 18:13  |  jean marie 28/05/07
  16.   Social revolution 18:34  |  Yitzhak 28/05/07
  17.   Peretz needs to resign not run for office 18:46  |  kipperraes 28/05/07
  18.   Think hard about who you want more in times of war. Only I... 19:11  |  Lemmings Hotline 28/05/07
  19.   vot e for yossi 21:03  |  shane 28/05/07
  20.   Leave it to Loser Labor 21:43  |  Danite 28/05/07
  21.   #9 - I voted for Lieberman and am disappointed ! 21:48  |  redmike 28/05/07
  22.   #19 - I thought for one horrible moment you meant Beilin ! :-) 21:51  |  redmike 28/05/07
  23.   #12 - it is important that Labor exits the coalition ! 21:52  |  ree 28/05/07
  24.   #12 - it is important that Labor exits the coalition ! 21:53  |  redmike 28/05/07
  25.   This is a choice... 22:41  |  Yakov 28/05/07
  26.   Barak 23:23  |  Joseph (lebanese) 28/05/07
  27.   The result is completely irrelevant 23:43  |  Jonathan S 28/05/07
  28.   As a Jew... 02:01  |  Joseph 29/05/07
  29.   Barak or Ayalon 03:05  |  Dr. David 29/05/07
  30.   My Life is not Important 03:57  |  Gustavo 29/05/07
  31.   Kadima,Labor Olmert need to go New real elections are needed 04:43  |  kipperraes 29/05/07
  32.   Haaretz erred in its prediction 04:51  |  Jake 29/05/07
  33.   Sad commentary on Labor that 66% voted for 2 proven disasters 06:11  |  Dr. L. Brnd 29/05/07
  34.   Two gone one more to go!!!!! 06:48  |  Willy 29/05/07
  35.   Bibi is your MAN for the job Israelis! 07:14  |  American 29/05/07
  36.   Peretz must go! Olmert must go! 07:27  |  David 29/05/07
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