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Last update - 00:00 25/03/2007
Analysis: Iranian President Ahmadinejad sends a signal
By Yossi Melman, Haaretz Correspondent
Tags: Yossi Melman

Click here for more articles by Yossi Melman

The border between Iraq and Iran on the Shatt al-Arab waterway has been in dispute for decades. Thus, the possibility that British Royal Marines were inside Iranian territorial waters when they were abducted should not be entirely discounted. But it would be naive to think that the incident in the Persian Gulf was coincidental - especially in view of its timing.

The incident occurred a day before the United Nations Security Council convened to decide on further sanctions in view of Tehran's refusal to heed the international demand it cease its nuclear enrichment program. In response, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad canceled his appearance before the Security Council, where he was supposed to present Iran's position.
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The cancellation may also be the result of excessive caution on the part of Iran's rulers, particularly in view of the disappearance from Turkey of Ali Askari, former head of the Al-Quds Brigade, the elite unit of the Revolutionary Guard. Askari most likely defected to the West about six weeks ago. The Iranians say he was kidnapped.

Several months earlier, an elite U.S. unit raided the Iranian consulate in Irbil, northern Iraq, and arrested five Iranians, possibly intelligence agents. Iran maintains that they enjoyed diplomatic immunity.

Iran has attributed various subversive activities, carried out by opposition and separatist groups, to the CIA and MI6 agents. Above all hovers the possibility of a U.S. attack against Iran's nuclear installations.

Following the disappearance of Askari, Iranian analysts with ties to the regime wrote that Iran could respond with abductions of its own. It is possible that the arrest of the British troops is Iran's countermove. Such action against U.S. troops would have been unlikely because of concerns of a severe American response. From Iran's point of view, the British are a 'soft' target, and a convenient way to signal it will respond to any assault on its sovereignty.

If the British Marines are not released in a few days, as happened in a similar incident in 2004, the crisis my take a sharp turn for the worst
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  1.   newest bunker busters 03:41  |  Josh 25/03/07
  2.   Iran/British showdown 04:15  |  Domingo 25/03/07
  3.   The message.It is the Persian Gulf.Shia rules.Death to infidels 04:39  |  PETER.SM 25/03/07
  4.   Loud Messages 04:40  |  ATLAS 25/03/07
  5.   Ransom Demanded? 04:59  |  J of Hollywood 25/03/07
  6.   Iran`s Ruler Is Desperate 05:20  |  Felix 25/03/07
  7.   They haven`t done anything that the Americans are not also doing 05:23  |  Fhard 25/03/07
  8.   Ahmadinejad-IRAN is playing games with British Lion! UK shouldn`t 05:23  |  Vittorio 25/03/07
  9.   Let`s make a deal: the marines for Amira Haas and Gideon Levi 05:43  |  Observer 25/03/07
  10.   Sharp turn for the best 05:53  |  Yosef 25/03/07
  11.   Ahmed the Upholsterer says.... 06:23  |  Jimmy 25/03/07
  12.   Iran 06:27  |  Bill Stephens 25/03/07
  13.   Iran= Teflon Nation 06:35  |  me 25/03/07
  14.   UK is not lion, it is a lamb! 06:36  |  Guss 25/03/07
  15.   Ahmadinejad... 06:40  |  Michael Steiner 25/03/07
  16.   Mahmoud Ahmadinejad 06:45  |  Australit 25/03/07
  17.   Escaped or Kidnapped, with family? 06:46  |  Cheryl 25/03/07
  18.   let them try something like this with american soliders 06:48  |  vik 25/03/07
  19.   Yossi has it right! 07:17  |  Blogowitz 25/03/07
  20.   # 7 Fhard 07:38  |  Zuriel 25/03/07
  21.   Iran says they were in Iranian Waters 08:03  |  Stan 25/03/07
  22.   Iraq Successes 08:09  |  Stan 25/03/07
  23.   The UK usualy does the dirty work for the USA 08:09  |  Israli Arab 25/03/07
  24.   Iran has every right 08:15  |  Swiss 25/03/07
  25.   With people like Clickfool 08:20  |  Yonatan 25/03/07
  26.   To # 3 , Peter 08:25  |  Jan 25/03/07
  27.   Counter "signal" to Ahmadinejad 08:29  |  Somchai 25/03/07
  28.   The British Sailors 09:08  |  Edifice 25/03/07
  29.   MUSLIM GAMES FROM TIME IMMEMORIAL 09:19  |  paul harris 25/03/07
  30.   to "Swiss" 09:21  |  Isreali 25/03/07
  31.   To # 27 09:23  |  Lebanon 25/03/07
  32.   Trigger happy 09:26  |  Otto Rand 25/03/07
  33.   Ahmadinejad`s Iran is gradually weakening 09:30  |  Fortuna Benmayor 25/03/07
  34.   #24, Swiss, i believe not 09:31  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 25/03/07
  35.   IRANIANS TO TRY BRITISH SOLDIERS 09:32  |  d.dor 25/03/07
  36.   to swiss 09:40  |  Arie 25/03/07
  37.   Iran victorious 09:41  |  shappero 25/03/07
  38.   The case is weak, the strong ones are left aside. 09:42  |  Wolfgang Schiele 25/03/07
  39.   UK weak like all EU countries, USofA tough on AhMADinejad 09:50  |  Sara 25/03/07
  40.   Dino (#24????) 10:04  |  S 25/03/07
  41.   Jan. I`am quoting. I`am a "descendent of pigs and monkeys". 10:06  |  PETER SM 25/03/07
  42.   The answer is quiet, patient diplomacy 10:09  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  43.   ISRAELI Arab Hamas and Hisbala do the dirty work for Iran 10:09  |  PETER SM 25/03/07
  44.   ballistic the persians were also slave traders 10:12  |  barry goldwater 25/03/07
  45.   A prediction 10:13  |  S 25/03/07
  46.   To Vik #18 10:14  |  An Arab Neighbor 25/03/07
  47.   ballistic the marines will be returned 10:15  |  barry goldwater 25/03/07
  48.   Think on this 10:19  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  49.   # 32 S Not so, my friend..... 10:34  |  Swiss (Dino) 25/03/07
  50.   34 Swiss Dino 10:42  |  Swiss 25/03/07
  51.   Iran caught us with our pants down 10:43  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  52.   #48, think on this 11:01  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 25/03/07
  53.   # 51 Swiss 11:02  |  Swiss (Dino) 25/03/07
  54.   For Harzion. let out early today # 50 11:04  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  55.   # no genius there. 11:05  |  Zuriel 25/03/07
  56.   To Clickfool 11:21  |  David Nigel Braham 25/03/07
  57.   Iran digging their own grave 11:22  |  ScotGuy 25/03/07
  58.   For Cipora, who likes the Olmert approach # 53 11:25  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  59.   #45, S 11:25  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 25/03/07
  60.   # 40 S Mea Culpa 12:04  |  Swiss (Dino) 25/03/07
  61.   Has the Brits lost their guts?.... 12:32  |  Willy 25/03/07
  62.   #42 CLIKKY CAUGHT WITH HIS PANTS DOWN 12:57  |  paul harris 25/03/07
  63.   For Cipora # 52, who likes the Olmert approach (Second attempt) 12:59  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  64.   Another fan of the Olmert approach # 55 13:04  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  65.   editor this is fair"how can 15 soldiers be caught 13:08  |  harzion 25/03/07
  66.   For Paul "Mr Caps" Harris 13:10  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  67.   The fate of the British Sailors 13:10  |  Chris Linthwaite 25/03/07
  68.   this is not the first time 13:11  |  harzion 25/03/07
  69.   #56 You are so brave Paul Harris. 13:11  |  Maureen Ann 25/03/07
  70.   when the argentines invaded the falklands the 13:13  |  harzion 25/03/07
  71.   LOST AT THE VERY BEGINNING 13:18  |  indrajaya 25/03/07
  72.   click 60 13:19  |  living in reality 25/03/07
  73.   #66 WITH YOU CLIKKY ITS TOO EASY !! 13:27  |  paul harris 25/03/07
  74.   30 To Israeli 13:29  |  Swiss 25/03/07
  75.   #69 MO BARMIER THAN EVER GETS SOMEONE ELSES TICKET 13:29  |  paul harris 25/03/07
  76.   Btitish Ship Surrounded By Iranian War Ships 13:30  |  Cheryl 25/03/07
  77.   #3 PETER SM discerns a message in all this 13:30  |  Johnboy 25/03/07
  78.   to Observer 13:50  |  goldenberg 25/03/07
  79.   to Israeli arab 13:53  |  goldenberg 25/03/07
  80.   Honestly, I was similarly worried about the truce in Lebanon... 13:57  |  christoph 25/03/07
  81.   Clickfool and Harris` charge of hypocrisy 14:00  |  io 25/03/07
  82.   PROVOCATIONS/WAR 14:07  |  SJ 25/03/07
  83.   clickfool i would have thought after the incident 14:08  |  harzion 25/03/07
  84.   Abduction reduction 14:26  |  Chaim Gorenstein 25/03/07
  85.   the financial times loves zionists 14:28  |  pinkun 25/03/07
  86.   NA-NA-NA-NA HE-HE-HEY GOODBYE -- IRAN 14:29  |  WORLD BETTER 25/03/07
  87.   Iran is playing with fire 14:32  |  Devin Leonard 25/03/07
  88.   For Cheryl # 76 14:35  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  89.   the letter written by one E WAYNE MERRY 14:35  |  pinkun 25/03/07
  90.   #82, SJ 14:36  |  indrajaya 25/03/07
  91.   that e wayne murray should choose to write about 14:38  |  pinkun 25/03/07
  92.   For Io and hypocrisy # 81 14:38  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  93.   For Harzion - # 83 14:41  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  94.   another letter followed the first in the ft 14:41  |  pinkun 25/03/07
  95.   i have often joked about the reporting of the financial times 14:44  |  pinkun 25/03/07
  96.   OTTO RAND 32 14:45  |  JON FEIGENBAUM 25/03/07
  97.   EU weak to Iranian Imperialism 14:48  |  David 25/03/07
  98.   Iran`s Clerical Courts: Judge, Jury, & Executioner! 14:49  |  Lavi 25/03/07
  99.   In general I don`t make forecasts 14:51  |  christoph 25/03/07
  100.   have the jewish columnists in the ft nothing to say? 14:55  |  pinkun 25/03/07
  101.   clickfool were the squaddies carrying handbags? 14:57  |  harzion 25/03/07
  102.   #7 FHART 14:57  |  JON FEIGENBAUM 25/03/07
  103.   what is it with the ft and paul wolfowitz 15:00  |  pinkun 25/03/07
  104.   #37 "shappero" 15:02  |  Yonatan 25/03/07
  105.   i dont believe for a moment that the ft meant anything by 15:05  |  pinkun 25/03/07
  106.   #42 Clickfool 15:06  |  Yonatan 25/03/07
  107.   #48 Clickfool - the opposite is true 15:10  |  Yonatan 25/03/07
  108.   Shalit, Lebanon, Iraq 15:31  |  BHI 25/03/07
  109.   # 46 Arab 15:33  |  Lynn 25/03/07
  110.   to clickfool - british are paper tiger! They cant defend theirsel 15:42  |  mb 25/03/07
  111.   # 95 media and culpability 15:42  |  Lynn 25/03/07
  112.   The Uk should change its anthem 15:44  |  Yonatan 25/03/07
  113.   Iran loves taking hostages 15:45  |  Jason 25/03/07
  114.   #108 BHI - get real! 15:48  |  Yonatan 25/03/07
  115.   clcikfool you have a slavish relationship with iran. 15:51  |  harzion 25/03/07
  116.   clickfool slobbers all over iran 15:54  |  harzion 25/03/07
  117.   The Politics of Humiliation 16:12  |  Klaudia 25/03/07
  118.   too many double-standards 16:16  |  citizen zero 25/03/07
  119.   Revolutionary Guard is the fault 16:20  |  Anonymous 25/03/07
  120.   Ahmadinejad needs a good spanking. Should not be sending signals 16:20  |  Toronto`s Finest 25/03/07
  121.   Please read Sazegara.net to learn about Iranian Guard 16:25  |  Anonymous 25/03/07
  122.   Iran must defend itself 16:29  |  Al 25/03/07
  123.   to 122 that is why they are going to UNSC..... 16:46  |  mb 25/03/07
  124.   US will have to release its Iranian prisoners 16:49  |  Tosefta 25/03/07
  125.   To Al # 122 16:51  |  Klaudia 25/03/07
  126.   Of Clickfool`s Quite Diplomacy 16:57  |  Neil 25/03/07
  127.   #3 17:10  |  Kat 25/03/07
  128.   Klaudia`s delusions and lies 17:22  |  Al 25/03/07
  129.   Al, You Are Incoherent (re: Klaudia) 17:44  |  CHGODMK 25/03/07
  130.   Cipora #59 (second time) 17:48  |  S 25/03/07
  131.   Response to CHGODMK 18:10  |  Al 25/03/07
  132.   Al in DC 18:44  |  CHGODMK 25/03/07
  133.   #74 18:45  |  G 25/03/07
  134.   It`s a Touchy Situation 18:47  |  Jeff Northridge 25/03/07
  135.   Response to CHGODMK 19:02  |  Al 25/03/07
  136.   Al in DC: Shifting Time Tenses Again 19:18  |  CHGODMK 25/03/07
  137.   #48 19:34  |  Moshe 25/03/07
  138.   Time to start listening. Unless you want war 19:35  |  David Sacks 25/03/07
  139.   Who are you to limit the debate? 19:39  |  Al 25/03/07
  140.   Touching war (Jeff Northridge #134) 19:52  |  Tosefta 25/03/07
  141.   We Already Know Iranians Are Good At Hostage Taking But... 19:52  |  Yosemite 25/03/07
  142.   Poor Al in DC 19:54  |  CHGODMK 25/03/07
  143.   #118, citizen zero 20:06  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 25/03/07
  144.   #63, clickfool 20:23  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 25/03/07
  145.   Keep up the red herrings, CHGODMK 20:24  |  Al 25/03/07
  146.   From talks to smoke signals , the difference is Iran can`t win 20:34  |  Joseph E . 25/03/07
  147.   #143 Hey Cipora, relax, have tea 20:48  |  ballistic 25/03/07
  148.   Al 20:50  |  Sarah 25/03/07
  149.   Al in DC: More Sorry Than Before 20:50  |  CHGODMK 25/03/07
  150.   #47 Hey Barry 20:51  |  ballistic 25/03/07
  151.   For mb # 110 20:56  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  152.   To Al 21:03  |  Dubya Neighbor 25/03/07
  153.   For Cipora # 144 21:20  |  Clickfool 25/03/07
  154.   Tosefta # 140 Information 21:27  |  Jeff Northridge 25/03/07
  155.   Al in DC: Sad Boy Indeed! 21:27  |  CHGODMK 25/03/07
  156.   Haaretz.I ONLY SENT ONE POST.AND YOU MEANLY DID NOT 21:33  |  Kath` 25/03/07
  157.   #134, Jeff Northridge 21:38  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 25/03/07
  158.   #147, ballistic 21:41  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 25/03/07
  159.   To anyone who defends irans actions 21:56  |  TAZ 25/03/07
  160.   The shrinking Iran threat (Jeff Northridge #154) 21:58  |  Tosefta 25/03/07
  161.   I wonder when 22:08  |  Yonatan 25/03/07
  162.   DETAILS NEEDED 22:14  |  Arik Silverman 25/03/07
  163.   ballistic # 150 Confused? 22:25  |  Jeff Northridge 25/03/07
  164.   #159, Tosefta 22:41  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 25/03/07
  165.   sending messages to whom? 23:07  |  Nick 25/03/07
  166.   To Dubya Neighbor 23:15  |  CHGODMK 25/03/07
  167.   What 72hr. ultimatum (yonaton 23:22  |  John Mackie 25/03/07
  168.   #90 23:28  |  SJ 25/03/07
  169.   dogs bark but the elephant moves on 23:29  |  GIRISH 25/03/07
  170.   # 146 JosephE. HOW RIGHT YOU ARE... 23:46  |  Kath` 25/03/07
  171.   # 134 Jeff Northridge. re:Tosefta. HEY JEFF,ARE YOU BOWING DOWN , 23:57  |  Kath` 25/03/07
  172.   When CHDGODMK Speaks, CHDGODMK Lies 00:03  |  Al 26/03/07
  173.   # 124 Tosefta.WHY SHOULD THE U.S INTERFERE? 00:12  |  Kath` 26/03/07
  174.   #75 Paul Harris What I said was... 00:21  |  Maureen Ann 26/03/07
  175.   #156 Kath 00:30  |  Labhras 26/03/07
  176.   #156 Kath It is called... 00:34  |  Maureen Ann 26/03/07
  177.   A lesson for Brits 00:40  |  ScotGuy 26/03/07
  178.   Clickfool #48 00:40  |  schafe82 26/03/07
  179.   #152 Dubya neighbour re Al 00:41  |  Labhras 26/03/07
  180.   The UK, a proud warrior nation with a few 00:47  |  Ed 26/03/07
  181.   Release UK Sailors..or we nuke Tehran 00:57  |  Ian 26/03/07
  182.   Vittorio Gassmann 01:35  |  P. Ganz 26/03/07
  183.   #128 02:07  |  Moshe #1 26/03/07
  184.   Comprehension (Bird from Outerspace#164) 02:11  |  Tosefta 26/03/07
  185.   #128 02:14  |  Moshe#2 26/03/07
  186.   Arik Silverman # 162 Very Close 02:21  |  Jeff Northridge 26/03/07
  187.   #58 02:25  |  Moshe 26/03/07
  188.   to 151 - Israel was stopped your countrymen! 02:37  |  mb 26/03/07
  189.   clickfool 151 - Israel accorded with UNSC - stopped - return sold 02:44  |  mb 26/03/07
  190.   to ian - 165 - what england will do: nothing! 02:52  |  mb 26/03/07
  191.   Dubya Neighbor 02:54  |  CHGODMK 26/03/07
  192.   to bad it was not 15 Israelies 02:56  |  george 26/03/07
  193.   Brits won`t do anything... 03:06  |  Kevin 26/03/07
  194.   When Al Speaks, He Constantly Dodges the Real Issues 03:47  |  CHGODMK 26/03/07
  195.   Josh # 1 03:51  |  Daniel 26/03/07
  196.   #163Jeff Northridge. Speaking of USS Liberty. 04:01  |  Maureen Ann 26/03/07
  197.   #182, Tosefta 04:08  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 26/03/07
  198.   CHGODMK`s fantasies 05:48  |  Al 26/03/07
  199.   # 62 have a nut, paul harris... 05:49  |  eric 26/03/07
  200.   #163 Hey Jeff; no I am not confused 05:51  |  ballistic 26/03/07
  201.   !58 Hey Cipora 05:55  |  ballistic 26/03/07
  202.   #196 USS Liberty - Thanks Maureen Ann 05:57  |  Sir Castic 26/03/07
  203.   Al in DC: Lost in Your Misguided Thoughts (Again) 06:10  |  CHGODMK 26/03/07
  204.   ballistic 06:11  |  danite 26/03/07
  205.   Tick Tock Goes The Clock on Ahma d. 06:12  |  Astasheiks 26/03/07
  206.   british sailors 06:20  |  isaac 26/03/07
  207.   #202 Sir Castic "Forget about it." 06:30  |  Maureen Ann 26/03/07
  208.   lets take a break 07:17  |  surfer 26/03/07
  209.   #202 Maureen Ann "Forget about it." 07:24  |  Sir Castic 26/03/07
  210.   Iranian President sends a signal 07:58  |  Charles Mayson 26/03/07
  211.   Official Transcripts USS Liberty 07:58  |  Yosemite 26/03/07
  212.   For Ed # 180 08:02  |  Clickfool 26/03/07
  213.   Clickfool, The War Mongers in Israel 08:04  |  Dutch 26/03/07
  214.   For Kevin # 193 08:13  |  Clickfool 26/03/07
  215.   How to release the UK sailors and marines 08:25  |  Clickfool 26/03/07
  216.   #192: In George`s World The Sky is Purple & Kinda Hazy! 08:49  |  Lavi 26/03/07
  217.   74 Switzerland 09:14  |  Swiss 26/03/07
  218.   Here we go again... 09:15  |  RAB 26/03/07
  219.   #201, ballistic 09:25  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 26/03/07
  220.   #196 Moron-Ann now links ISRAEL via Ben Gurion 09:25  |  Ari ben Yisrael 26/03/07
  221.   #207 Moron-Ann..... What Nuclear Facilities??? 09:28  |  Joe Moer 26/03/07
  222.   clickfool 09:30  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 26/03/07
  223.   Moron-Ann, worst NAVEL attack by the Jews was on the Titanic 09:35  |  Ari ben Yisrael 26/03/07
  224.   #215 prickFOOL the yellow "release the prisoners" 09:51  |  Ari ben Yisrael 26/03/07
  225.   #58 - Clickfool you smug idiot 09:57  |  Chachmeister 26/03/07
  226.   Clickfool - we hardly knew ye 10:12  |  Chachmeister 26/03/07
  227.   #24, is this the same swiss dino ? 12:10  |  VIPER 26/03/07
  228.   #29, PAUL harris is STILL in denial 12:15  |  VIPER 26/03/07
  229.   #48, CLICKFOOL, i agree 12:20  |  VIPER 26/03/07
  230.   Why not swap UK Sailors for the England Football Team 12:28  |  Ian 26/03/07
  231.   Dense Bird from Outerspace #197 21:21  |  Tosefta 26/03/07
  232.   To CHGODMK 23:10  |  Dubya Neighbor 26/03/07
  233.   #204 Hey Danite 03:25  |  ballistic 27/03/07
  234.   #219 Well, there, Cipora, thank you 03:32  |  ballistic 27/03/07
  235.   #218 Hey Rab 03:34  |  ballistic 27/03/07
  236.   #218 Hey Rab 03:35  |  ballistic 27/03/07
  237.   Iran 03:59  |  Steve 27/03/07
  238.   Iranian President Ahmadinejad sends a signal 04:20  |  Davy de Verteuil 27/03/07
  239.   options and choices 00:04  |  from the 29/03/07
  240.   TO CIPORA. GOD BLESS YOU. 02:47  |  DANNY. 10/02/09
  241.   IRAN IGGING THEIR OWN GRAVE, AMEN AMEN. 02:49  |  DANNY. 10/02/09
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20:02 German police to seek Nazi 'Dr. Death' traces in Cairo
19:39 Survey: Only one in four Gazans supports Hamas
18:54 Rights group: Egypt police beat blogger who opposed Gaza offensive
18:32 World Jewish leaders tell Vatican Holocaust denial is a crime
16:52 Olmert allocates NIS 2.4b to rearm IDF after Gaza offensive
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