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Last update - 08:13 12/03/2007
ANALYSIS: The Saudi plan will advance the peace process
By Aluf Benn, Haaretz Correspondent

After months of stagnation and hesitation, in which Prime Minister Ehud Olmert lost almost all public support in his leadership, he revealed a new political agenda on Sunday.

Olmert began the weekly cabinet meeting with a positive statement about the Saudi plan for a comprehensive peace between Israel and the Arab states, and hinted that if changes were made to it, it would be capable of serving as the basis for a renewed political process with the Palestinians.

Olmert's statement also hinted at contact taking place between Saudi Arabia, Israel and the United States, in anticipation of the Arab summit scheduled for Riyadh at the end of the month. At the core of these contacts lies the shared interest in curbing Iran's increasing power and the desire to form a regional "axis of moderates" around a renewed peace process.

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Everyone recognizes that the Palestinians' unstable situation makes it difficult for them to contribute their part to a political process or an agreement, and the Saudi involvement is meant to provide them with patronage.

Only Saudi Arabia can grant Israel regional recognition and legitimacy, in exchange for its withdrawal from the territories.

From Olmert's perspective, the Saudi plan is the only alternative that allows him to demonstrate initiative and political action. The Syrian channel is blocked and the talks with Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas aren't going anywhere, eliciting little more than a yawn from the Israeli public.

But if a pan-Arab proposal for comprehensive peace were to emerge from Riyadh, especially if accompanied by summit meetings involving Olmert and Arab leaders, it could elicit new hope among the public.

Olmert desperately needs a political initiative that will provide him with some political oxygen. He knows he won't be able to continue in his post much longer, what with his negligible public support, the criticism over the second Lebanon war, the waves of scandals and the absence of an agenda. The Saudi initiative gives Olmert a chance to recover, if he can manage to demonstrate political progress. He doesn't have a lot to lose.

Above all, the magic of the Saudi initiative stems from its being merely a declaration of principles rather than a detailed plan.

Thus it is possible to speak in slogans, negotiate over the wording, and defer paying the domestic price that withdrawal from the West Bank and the Golan Heights entails.

But make no mistake: If Israel accepts the Saudi initiative, even only as the basis for negotiations, it will be taking a huge step toward the end of its control over the territories - one that even Olmert's successors will have difficulty renouncing.

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  1.   Mr. Aluf Benn has it backwards 04:01  |  naphtali 12/03/07
  2.   Riyadh Summit. 04:53  |  sandra chitayat 12/03/07
  3.   Benn - Always Wrong, Often Dangerously 05:09  |  Tod Zuckerman 12/03/07
  4.   Putting faith in Olmert`s leadership 05:16  |  * BEN JABO 12/03/07
  5.   more suicidal deaming by a suicidal dreamer 05:35  |  bob 12/03/07
  6.   Finally the madness will be over 05:53  |  Joseph 12/03/07
  7.   Thank you people for destroying Israel 05:57  |  Gili 12/03/07
  8.   #1 Benn thinks Olmert needs Saudi support 06:29  |  keith 12/03/07
  9.   end muslims abuse ,occupation and theft of Israel lands 06:44  |  Joseph E . 12/03/07
  10.   Total Madness 07:02  |  Daniel 12/03/07
  11.   This article was paid for by Saudi government 07:05  |  Eliezer 12/03/07
  12.   grab it 07:16  |  ravi 12/03/07
  13.   The Prime Minister`s Ticket to Ride ! 07:23  |  Dutch 12/03/07
  14.   another Olmert scandal 07:28  |  Sammy 12/03/07
  15.   another thingh bob... 07:36  |  ravi 12/03/07
  16.   Unrealistic plans without a guarantor 07:39  |  Fernando 12/03/07
  17.   5 million refugees back, 100% of Jerusalem and WB = peace 07:54  |  KA 12/03/07
  18.   And what of the Half a million Palestinians in Saudi Arabia? 07:55  |  David G 12/03/07
  19.   Joseph....The days of the occupation are numbered 07:56  |  KA 12/03/07
  20.   "oxygen for Olmert`s career", paid for with Israel`s future 07:58  |  Dr. L. Brnd 12/03/07
  21.   #15, KA 08:23  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 12/03/07
  22.   Chance for peace 08:55  |  Esther 12/03/07
  23.   Saudi Plan: Recipe for Peace and Prosperity 09:19  |  Hani 12/03/07
  24.   Saudi plans and Olmert`s political lifespan 09:21  |  Allan Leibler 12/03/07
  25.   Hani 20:52  |  inigo montoya 13/03/07
  26.   #6 Joseph - not quite so 23:47  |  * BEN JABO 13/03/07
  27.   #17 KA - Rape of women at checkpoints? 23:51  |  * BEN JABO 13/03/07
  28.   #26 02:33  |  Joseph 14/03/07
  29.   #28 Joseph FL 17:31  |  * BEN JABO 14/03/07
  30.   #17 KA - You`re a great 01:22  |  * BEN JABO 15/03/07
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