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Neck-and-neck in trouble
By Zvi Bar'el

There seems to be a moment when any strong country, not to mention a world power, begins to choke on its own might. It is so strong, so armed to the teeth, and yet so helpless in the face of much smaller, almost primitive forces that frustration and disappointment alone feed its continued warfare, not strategy, not goals, and not prestige. Only stupefying inertia.

Two sister countries are now locked in such choke holds. The United States in Iraq, and Israel in the territories. Washington has ostensibly achieved everything it set out to in Iraq: Saddam Hussein was toppled, a new government was established by democratic elections, Iraq is no longer the strategic threat it was. And the result: total destruction. Because under the "new order" that has been set up, there is no country. It is as if someone planned its destruction so that it would, in any case, no longer be a threat.

Hundreds of thousands of civilians have been killed, millions have fled, and there is no education, legal or welfare system to speak of. The arms market is flourishing and no one can count the number of gangs, militias and terror cells freely operating there. Even Iran has been called in to help. The Americans are now talking to the heads of the militias, those terrorists who continue to cut down their victims indiscriminately. The only remaining goal in this war is to get out quickly. After more than 2,000 U.S. soldiers have been killed, they are seeking the volunteer who will be willing to take over responsibility for the turf.

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About 1,000 kilometers west of Bagdhad, Israel is stuck in a matching choke hold. Here, too, ostensibly, there have been achievements: the Hamas government is not functioning, the world boycotted it, as Israel wanted, there is no dialogue with terror and no pressure to jump-start a diplomatic process. But the Israel Defense Forces computer is already on overload from the names of the operations the army is raining down on a few dozen square kilometers and a million and a half people in Gaza. They talk about the "widespread action" that is planned, and which is already being carried out. Hundreds of "senior wanted men" have been killed. Border crossings are blocked. Civilians, activists or armed men are being killed every day. It is as if the battles against the IDF and among the gangs and the organizations have been copied from Iraq.

The education and welfare systems have collapsed, and the economy is a theoretical term.

Here, too, like Iraq, they are talking about the need to find someone, a terrorist or a mafioso, who will take responsibility for Gaza. Avigdor Lieberman's proposal over the weekend did sound unrealistic: He suggested doing in Gaza what Russia did in Chechnya - finding a local hero and cutting a deal with him. It might not be long before his idea suddenly starts seeming logical.

What keeps the U.S. and Israel choking on their own power? Whirling in that centrifuge as if there was no other way? Ostensibly, it is that same need to achieve the victory, and get out. The strategic goals have been forgotten, the original conflict has been dwarfed into a gang war, and the most important question is what individual high up on the wanted list will be taken out tomorrow. Just like the head count of the Al-Qaida activists killed in Afghanistan or the number of terrorists killed in Iraq.

There is a solution to the sorry situation of the two countries. But it is a terrible one from a political point of view. In Iraq it would mean a full American withdrawal, a full confession of failure, maybe even a Republican loss in the elections, Iraq's coming under the direct influence of Iran and the division of its territory into federated districts. Perhaps it will also mean a change in policy toward Iran, to ensure that Iraq will not once again become a strategic threat.

In Israel it means returning to the convergence plan, dialogue with the Hamas government, the realization that it will not recognize Israel and making do with a truce more or less of some years' duration. In both cases it means giving up principles that seemed reasonable before the war, but are now a stumbling block to ending it.

The question now is only when the sense of choking generated by these principles will be translated into a logical policy. The U.S. has started turning blue. Israel still does not understand how tight the noose is getting.

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  1.   Quite Right, Mr Bar`el 10:57  |  Rowan Berkeley 05/11/06
  2.   Israel is not Iraq 11:04  |  Nicole 05/11/06
  3.   zvi bar`el has no responsibility for israel 11:06  |  zadok the priest 05/11/06
  4.   Why choke in power? 11:19  |  George Goldman 05/11/06
  5.   What is chocking Israel is arab intansagence. 11:22  |  Dr David I Gross 05/11/06
  6.   What is chocking Israel is arab intansagence. 11:22  |  Dr David I Gross 05/11/06
  7.   yes, intransigence but zionist 11:38  |  Fiona 05/11/06
  8.   David Gross #1 11:39  |  Dave the Rave 05/11/06
  9.   Dr David Gross 12:23  |  Tony Price 05/11/06
  10.   Nice try Fiona BUT 12:28  |  Dr David I Gross 05/11/06
  11.   FIONA - try 2 12:52  |  Dr David I Gross 05/11/06
  12.   DAVE THE RAVE - TRY TWO 12:53  |  Dr David I Gross 05/11/06
  13.   What keeps choking Palestinian statehood? 13:34  |  Ariel 05/11/06
  14.   Neck and neck 13:34  |  john and the truth 2 05/11/06
  15.   David Gross and his frustration at Arab intransigence # 1 13:45  |  Clickfool 05/11/06
  16.   good story 13:45  |  ants 05/11/06
  17.   Choking on Their Own STUPIDITY is More Like it 13:45  |  Klaudia 05/11/06
  18.   good story 13:48  |  ants 05/11/06
  19.   NO ANSWER FOR TERRORISM 13:52  |  B 05/11/06
  20.   good story 13:54  |  ants 05/11/06
  21.   ARROGANCE AND SHEER STUPIDY... DOES KILL 13:57  |  Chris Rowley 05/11/06
  22.   local hero&strange intransigence 14:16  |  linerider 05/11/06
  23.   What strong countries? 14:37  |  Guess who 05/11/06
  24.   Does anyone believe we lack the power to destroy ou enemies? 15:02  |  Zuriel 05/11/06
  25.   Your View Is Simply Saying Give Up To Suicidal Terror 15:09  |  Joseph E . 05/11/06
  26.   END THE OCCUPATION, SIMPLE ANSWER 15:13  |  indrajaya 05/11/06
  27.   What sort of doctor is David Gross? 15:18  |  Marilyn 05/11/06
  28.   GA 15:19  |  cfs 05/11/06
  29.   Haaretz - why wont you print the truth - FIONA ATTEMPT #3 15:20  |  Dr David Gross 05/11/06
  30.   Brain Power vs Fire Power 15:25  |  George Goldman 05/11/06
  31.   Uhm, the War was with Hizbullah 15:31  |  Ovadiah ben Avraham 05/11/06
  32.   I saw this 10 years ago 15:38  |  SR 05/11/06
  33.   Fiona in Ottawa 16:51  |  rich 05/11/06
  34.   trouble 16:55  |  JOJO 05/11/06
  35.   Bar`el has it backwards 16:57  |  Colman 05/11/06
  36.   To Coleman #8: I agree with you 18:00  |  Jonathan S 05/11/06
  37.   Here is your answer 18:08  |  Natallie Durson 05/11/06
  38.   Hey SR from NYC 18:30  |  nehemia 05/11/06
  39.   Absolute power corrupts absolutely 18:36  |  Tosefta 05/11/06
  40.   ok, americans are "stupid"... israelis are supposed to be wise 18:46  |  ravi 05/11/06
  41.   For Colman # 8 18:47  |  Clickfool 05/11/06
  42.   For Jonathan S # 9 18:55  |  Clickfool 05/11/06
  43.   colman 19:10  |  A.M. 05/11/06
  44.   The Illusion of Central Position 19:11  |  David Hoffman 05/11/06
  45.   The frustrated David Gross # 1 19:48  |  Clickfool 05/11/06
  46.   #12 - Is that so ! 20:01  |  Domingo 05/11/06
  47.   Absolute Power - What Next 20:17  |  Bader Abu-Ghosh 05/11/06
  48.   "America has steadily slipped behind" 20:43  |  Statistician 05/11/06
  49.   DO ARAB NATIONS WANT PEACE( FIONA) 21:00  |  TOBIA 05/11/06
  50.   RAVI QUESS YOU HAD NOTHING ELSE TO SAY 21:15  |  TOBIA 05/11/06
  51.   #16 ant most Israeli jews come from Arab/Muslims countries 21:32  |  Jabadini 05/11/06
  52.   THEY ARE VERY EDUCATED ( CLICKFOOL) 21:35  |  TOBIA 05/11/06
  53.   Maryilyn until 1960`s arabs denied Palestinians were real 21:36  |  Jabadini 05/11/06
  54.   To ClickFOOL about the dimension of this conflict 21:41  |  Jonathan S 05/11/06
  55.   THANK YOU MARYLIN 21:52  |  TOBIA 05/11/06
  56.   Poor fool 22:04  |  Dr David Gross 05/11/06
  57.   The leadership problem 22:19  |  Mark Lincoln 05/11/06
  58.   tobia 22:25  |  michael 05/11/06
  59.   #52 Jonathon S - Cowardly Women? 22:52  |  Tony Price 05/11/06
  60.   and what would the brilliant Zvi suggest..? 23:05  |  Howard 05/11/06
  61.   "Even Iran has been called in to help." 00:25  |  Maureen Ann 06/11/06
  62.   choking on power 00:33  |  Brian S 06/11/06
  63.   #58 Howard just looooves Bush-speeches 01:42  |  Johnboy 06/11/06
  64.   Zvi Bar`el wonders why great powers choke on their own might 01:48  |  Johnboy 06/11/06
  65.   How true 02:36  |  Abe 06/11/06
  66.   Tony - Tony 03:50  |  Dr David I. Gross 06/11/06
  67.   The neat thing about being a great power is 03:51  |  Mark Lincoln 06/11/06
  68.   to haaretz 04:19  |  john and the truth 06/11/06
  69.   Abe & Johnboy pleading victimhood for the Pals 05:10  |  Howard 06/11/06
  70.   67 the other side is..... 05:21  |  John and the truth 06/11/06
  71.   David Hoffman 05:26  |  John Davies 06/11/06
  72.   67 the next great thing.... 05:53  |  John and the truth 06/11/06
  73.   Statistician, if only it were so! 06:11  |  Voice of Reason 06/11/06
  74.   67 the next best thing 06:13  |  John and the truth 06/11/06
  75.   THE WUSSY LEFT WINGERS THATS WHO! 06:20  |  JOHN 06/11/06
  76.   #69 Howard, put on your thinking cap for once. 06:57  |  Johnboy 06/11/06
  77.   johnboy we are more concerned with your hatred 08:44  |  zadok the priest 06/11/06
  78.   #77 zadok can only view my words thru his own hatred 09:59  |  Johnboy 06/11/06
  79.   rich and dr.dave 11:30  |  Fiona 06/11/06
  80.   dr.david re tony-tony 11:44  |  Fiona 06/11/06
  81.   What an idiotic comparison 09:39  |  Shalom Freedman 07/11/06
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