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Last update - 02:46 03/10/2006
ANALYSIS / Hamas lost the war for Palestinian public opinion
By Avi Issacharoff, Haaretz Correspondent

At the end of "Black Sunday," as the day of clashes between Palestinian factions in the Gaza Strip was described in the Palestinian media, Hamas succumbed to public opinion and withdrew its gunmen first, even though they may have scored greater victories against Fatah fighters.

Already on Saturday night, everyone knew that fighting was expected the next day in the Gaza Strip. The announcement made by the Palestinian Authority's Interior Ministry that the Hamas security force would be deployed Sunday to disperse the demonstrating members of the Palestinian security forces (the Fatah fighters), was tantamount to a call for a rumble.

Hamas wanted a confrontation for two reasons. First, it wanted to send a message that the Hamas-controlled government would no longer accept unruliness on the part of the security forces in the Gaza Strip, which undermined its government and created the impression that Hamas has lost its power. Second, it was a way of pressuring Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas to resume negotiations for a government of national unity - because if the Hamas government falls, there will be a bloodbath in the Gaza Strip.

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However, the Fatah gunmen were in no rush to clash with Hamas. For their part, the Hamas gunmen solved the problem and carried out a direct assault against the home of one of the Preventive Security officers and targeted a number of policemen identified with Fatah in Khan Yunis. Once that happened, there were no holds barred: automatic gunfire, grenades and RPGs were used, killing nine and injuring more than 110.

A senior Fatah official in the Gaza Strip, Sufiyan Abu Zaydeh, told Haaretz on Friday that if a government of national unity is not set up, the "internal Palestinian clash will be inevitable." He said that this clash would not happen in a single instance, but in a series of violent incidents that will bring about the collapse of authority in the Gaza Strip.

The Hamas victory on the tactical battlefield came at a public - but also a military - price, which is in Fatah's favor in the West Bank. A few hours after the outbreak of fighting, the prime minister's offices in Ramallah, as well as Hamas offices throughout the West Bank were set ablaze; Hamas officials were shot at and beaten. Fatah's supremacy in the West Bank proved to be overwhelming.

On the public front, Hamas emerged the greater loser. As Palestinians finished their meals after a day of Ramadan fast, they turned on their televisions and saw scenes that reminded them of 1996 and clashes between armed Palestinian security officers and unarmed protesters. Except this time it was Hamas gunmen attacking unarmed protesters, killing a few bystanders, including a 15-year-old. Recognizing the negative impact of his order to confront the Fatah demonstrators, Interior Minister Saeed Seyam ordered Hamas fighters off the streets.

The overall feeling is that this was merely a dress rehearsal for the real thing. A senior adviser to Abbas said Monday that the chairman is considering his options, including an emergency government and/or a referendum for early elections. These are unlikely options as polls suggest that Hamas' Ismail Haniyeh enjoys greater popularity than Abbas. But the incidents of fighting may force both sides to make concessions on the way to a unity government.

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  1.   IDF in Hamas outfits look bad 03:25  |  watcher X 03/10/06
  2.   This is a wrong conclusion 03:51  |  Khalid 03/10/06
  3.   # 1 watcher X , sell your cheap conspiracy spined theory 04:38  |  Joseph E . 03/10/06
  4.   watcher x is really the mossad 04:48  |  Lindsey 03/10/06
  5.   All Wrong 04:54  |  Joel Levine 03/10/06
  6.   OLMERT LOST THE WAR BECAUSE HE IS A LEFTIST DEFEATIST 05:05  |  DAN ROSENTHAL 03/10/06
  7.   Violence begets violence 05:10  |  George Jochnowitz 03/10/06
  8.   Khalid 05:36  |  Ernie 03/10/06
  9.   joel! 05:46  |  isaac 03/10/06
  10.   Moderate Palestinians need to express themselves 06:05  |  Said 03/10/06
  11.   ANALYSIS or projection ? 07:40  |  Alex 03/10/06
  12.   Palestians in Gaza 07:42  |  Thomas 03/10/06
  13.   #2 - that`s what the article says .. 07:54  |  Michael 03/10/06
  14.   Suicide and murder are related like cause and effect 07:57  |  Brigitte Meier 03/10/06
  15.   Said 08:15  |  Gina 03/10/06
  16.   #1 -Watcher X 08:22  |  * BEN J ABO 03/10/06
  17.   the beginning or the end 08:38  |  logic 03/10/06
  18.   HAMAS TELLS THE TRUTH, FATAH TELLS LIES 08:57  |  PAUL HARRIS 03/10/06
  19.   #5 Joel Levine 09:03  |  Barbara 03/10/06
  20.   #2 Khalid 09:04  |  Willy 03/10/06
  21.   brigitte, MA... 09:11  |  EC 03/10/06
  22.   Brigitte Meier - Any idea what they teach in their schools 09:14  |  Jabadini 03/10/06
  23.   WATCHER X sadly your mentality prevents normal negotiations. 09:28  |  PETER SM 03/10/06
  24.   Khalid-#2-Hamas is part of the problem not part of the solution 09:37  |  Daniel Leopold 03/10/06
  25.   Brigitte -- isn`t it amazing? 09:41  |  Gretch 03/10/06
  26.   Hamas emerged the greater loser 10:10  |  mike 03/10/06
  27.   Brigitte studied psychology, sociology and politics at Harvard 10:16  |  IdgetBrigitte 03/10/06
  28.   Paul Harris post No 18 11:58  |  Partsaklos 03/10/06
  29.   Ernie 12:00  |  Khalid 03/10/06
  30.   Willy 12:03  |  Khalid 03/10/06
  31.   Daniel: I disagree with you 12:08  |  Khalid 03/10/06
  32.   PARTSAKLOS.Why is he in Tel Aviv.Because unlike Greeks 12:46  |  PETER SM 03/10/06
  33.   Brigitte Meir # 14 12:57  |  ChanahS 03/10/06
  34.   Jabadini, you tripped yourself up 13:21  |  Maral 03/10/06
  35.   May they both win the shooting war against each other 13:25  |  Yaakov K. 03/10/06
  36.   More guns than brains in Gaza 13:38  |  Le Maudit Anglais 03/10/06
  37.   The Godfather Aspect 13:46  |  Ronnie Wolman 03/10/06
  38.   34: Wrong, Maral 14:06  |  David Teich 03/10/06
  39.   Wolman, ignoring the elephant in the room 14:11  |  p 03/10/06
  40.   A solution for the Palestinian problem 14:13  |  Tzil 03/10/06
  41.   Hamas - The Biggest Mistake of All 14:35  |  Jane 03/10/06
  42.   #28 BEWARE OF GREEKS BEARING GIFTS 14:47  |  PAUL HARRIS 03/10/06
  43.   # 38 - David 14:58  |  Tzil 03/10/06
  44.   Daniel, spare us the machismo...it`s unbecoming of you. 15:04  |  Ibrahim 03/10/06
  45.   But what about the weapons pouring into Gaza 15:10  |  Geoff 03/10/06
  46.   Maral # 34 15:16  |  ChanahS 03/10/06
  47.   Khalid 15:19  |  Ernie 03/10/06
  48.   Khaled and Spoils 15:22  |  ChanahS 03/10/06
  49.   Regime change by severe sanctions 15:30  |  Pssd Off American 03/10/06
  50.   p: Comparing Tribes with a Democratic Society 15:38  |  Ronnie Wolman 03/10/06
  51.   Tribes and Society II 15:48  |  Ronnie Wolman 03/10/06
  52.   the price of rice 16:08  |  the third man 03/10/06
  53.   Jane refers to human beings as "monkeys" 16:10  |  Ibrahim 03/10/06
  54.   Non-starters and arabist apologists 16:15  |  peter 03/10/06
  55.   Hamas better hire a public relations firm.... 16:34  |  Klaudia 03/10/06
  56.   no more "democracy" in Gaza 17:09  |  hollingsworth 03/10/06
  57.   Response to 40 17:34  |  Bruriah Sarah 03/10/06
  58.   #53 Ibrahim-maybe a monkey would deduce that she said that ... 17:42  |  Buncha Kooks 03/10/06
  59.   ibrahim in this case you are right 18:40  |  zadok the priest 03/10/06
  60.   #50 Wolman 18:50  |  p 03/10/06
  61.   I Did Not Call Hamas Monkeys 18:57  |  Jane 03/10/06
  62.   Minding our own business 18:59  |  Shalom Freedman 03/10/06
  63.   50 Wolman, part 2 19:00  |  p 03/10/06
  64.   p and national palestinian identity 19:34  |  peter 03/10/06
  65.   Jane and Buncha Kookaloo handwaving 19:49  |  Ibrahim 03/10/06
  66.   Ibrahim grasping at strawman arguement 20:17  |  peter 03/10/06
  67.   Haaretz should ask itself why it attracts the lowest of the low 20:48  |  Jake 03/10/06
  68.   Brigitte Meier , what utter nonsense 20:53  |  Jake 03/10/06
  69.   Jane and Simians 21:34  |  Danite 03/10/06
  70.   Brigitte Meier 22:32  |  krystal 03/10/06
  71.   # 44 Ibrahim.. f you were smart.. 22:54  |  Daniel 03/10/06
  72.   More... 23:02  |  Daniel 03/10/06
  73.   Why Peter? The answer is so obvious. 23:27  |  p 03/10/06
  74.   Jane 23:32  |  Gina 03/10/06
  75.   Gina - Isn`t It Just Beyond Belief ? 00:35  |  Jane 04/10/06
  76.   Ibrahim-#44-Try common sense for a change 01:49  |  Daniel Leopold 04/10/06
  77.   hollingworth-##56-democracy or peace 01:55  |  Daniel Leopold 04/10/06
  78.   p: On Lumping the Arabs together 02:05  |  Ronnie Wolman 04/10/06
  79.   To the other Daniel 02:39  |  Daniel 04/10/06
  80.   p, your revisionism is so blatantly obvious 02:49  |  peter 04/10/06
  81.   Jane 03:07  |  Gina 04/10/06
  82.   Daniel-#79-About Hollingworth[less] 03:34  |  Daniel Leopold 04/10/06
  83.   Khalid-#31-Hamas disagrees with you too 04:39  |  Daniel Leopold 04/10/06
  84.   Hey P, how do u differentiate between an Arab 08:41  |  PP 04/10/06
  85.   Ronnie Woman and "mutual hate" 21:23  |  hollingsworth 04/10/06
  86.   Daniel Leopold 23:38  |  hollingsworth 04/10/06
  87.   Holling`s unworthy 12:41  |  Margie in Tel Aviv 17/10/06
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