Subscribe to Print Edition | Fri., September 15, 2006 Elul 22, 5766 | | Israel Time: 08:27 (EST+7)
Haaretz israel news English
Search site 
  Back to Homepage
Print Edition
Diplomacy
Defense Opinion National Arts & Leisure Anglo File Sports Travel  
Magazine Week's End
Q&A
Business Underground Jewish World Real Estate
Shopping
 
Bookmark to del.icio.us
Last update - 07:48 15/09/2006
IMF predicts growth, low inflation, high unemployment for Israel
By Nehemia Shtrasler, Haaretz Correspondent

SINGAPORE - The 2007 budget approved by the cabinet on Tuesday is basically a good one, Bank of Israel Governor Stanley Fischer told TheMarker in an interview this week, shortly before leaving for the annual International Monetary Fund conference, which opens Friday in Singapore.

Israel will be represented at the conference by Fischer and Finance Minister Abraham Hirchson. The latter will address the conference next Tuesday, and will focus on the state of Israel's economy following the recent Lebanon war.

Senior Israeli bankers are also attending the conference, in order to hold business meetings with their counterparts from around the world.

Advertisement

In the interview, Fischer said that despite his overall satisfaction with the 2007 budget, he would have been happier had the cabinet decided to raise the value-added tax, as this "would add NIS 3.5 billion to the budget."

He also said that he is worried by two developments: the slowdown in the American economy, which is liable to negatively affect Israel's growth rate, and the ease with which ministers and Knesset members vote to increase government outlays.

"If we start to say that the size of the deficit doesn't matter and that it's possible to increase government spending," he said, "we will pay in terms of a decline in investments in Israel and a drop in the shekel's stability, price stability and the stability of the financial markets. Growth will decline and unemployment will rise."

The IMF's annual World Economic Outlook report, issued in honor of the conference, predicts average growth of 4.9 percent worldwide in 2007 - lower than this year's projected rate of 5.1 percent. The main reason for the downturn is the expected decline in the American economy's growth rate, from 3.4 percent this year to 2.9 percent next year.

For Israel, in contrast, the IMF predicts 4.4 percent growth next year, up from 4.1 percent this year. It also predicts that inflation will be low, at 2 percent.

In terms of unemployment, however, the report paints a grim picture of Israel: Only Greece, among all the countries in its category, has a higher unemployment rate. The report predicts that Israel's unemployment rate next year will be 8.5 percent.

Most of this year's IMF conference will be devoted to Asia, including the need for reforms of the financial sector in China and India; Asia's ties with the Middle East, particularly with regard to the oil industry; and the problem of poverty in southern Asia.

Asia will also be the focus of the most interesting fight at the conference: China and India, whose economies have both grown enormously in recent years, are seeking increased voting rights in the IMF to correspond with their increased economic weight. China, with an expected growth of 10 percent in both 2006 and 2007, is currently the world's fastest-growing economy.

However, Singapore's government has already moved to forestall one possible source of friction: In defiance of the IMF's request, it denied entry permits to several social activists, for fear that they would hold violent demonstrations during the conference.

Moti Bassok contributed to this report.

Bookmark to del.icio.us
Faith and fear
Interfaith convention attendees fear mounting inter-religious and inter-ethnic tension.
Budding rabbis
A trio of students ordained as rabbis in Germany for the first time since the Holocaust.
  1.   Fischer incorrect read of USA economy. 06:49  |  Joseph E . 15/09/06
 Today Online
Editorial: Decision to drop cluster bombs was flawed
Responses: 191
Amnesty International says Hezbollah guilty of war crimes
Responses: 346
Ex-army chief: Soldiers died for spin
Responses: 106
Aluf Benn: Israel is saying 'no' to every Palestinian initiative
Responses: 104
Rosner's Domain
* DC Notes: Livni, Abbas, Obama and Bronfman
* New poll: Should Israel negotiate with Syria?
* Mid-term diary: "Islamic Fascists", a label that doesn't make any sense
* Send a question to Charles Bronfman


More Headlines
07:42 Abbas: Shalit release must be dealt with before formation of unity gov't
07:22 AG approves panel members for governmental probe of war
07:23 Senior U.S. official: Lebanon developments are 'positive'
07:24 Hamas says letter from Gilad Shalit handed to Egypt
08:15 Israeli air strike targets Rafah arms tunnel; Qassam hits Negev
07:44 Former IDF chief's criticism of war raises public storm
07:48 IMF predicts growth, low inflation, high unemployment for Israel
07:47 Ten air force men get 21-42 days in jail for having sex with minor
07:46 Jerusalem's Jewish population declining due to 'exodus'
07:46 Haaretz.com senior editor Bradley Burston wins award for Mideast journalism
Previous Editions
Special Offers
Advertisement
Nahal Haredi
Defending Israel's homeland. Help support our troops
EZER MIZION
Help those that need it most!
One year MBA in Israel
Taught entirely in English
LEUMI
During your visit in Israel Bank Only With the Leader
JOIN FREE AT JDate.com
The most popular online Jewish dating community in the world! Explore the possibilities! Click Here!
ISRAEL-SHOPS ONLINE STORE
Gifts from Israel + FREE ISRAELI FLAG ON EVERY PURCHASE OVER $50
Isrotel Chain
Eleven quality hotels in Israel's best locations
Learn Hebrew Online
Learn Hebrew from the best teachers in Israel live over the Internet
FREE REGISTRATION at JLove.com
Join The Fastest Growing Jewish Singles Community Now! Click Here!
Babylon 6
Text Translation at a single click, from any desktop application. Try it Now
HAARETZ SMS
Register Now to receive your daily news by SMS
Home| Print Edition| Diplomacy| Opinion| Arts & Leisure| Sports| Jewish World| Underground| Site rules|
© Copyright  Haaretz. All rights reserved