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Analysis: Wave of democracy pits Israel against 'Arab street'
By Aluf Benn, Haaretz Correspondent

The Palestinian Authority election marks the beginning of a new period in the region that could be termed "the era of the masses." Henceforth Israel will have to factor into its foreign policy something it has always ignored - Arab public opinion.

Israel has always based its regional policy on arrangements and terror-balances with the Arab dictators. They understood force and Israel could do business with them. Their authority was seen as a barrier protecting Israel from the rage of the hostile rabble in the "Arab street." That was the basis of the peace agreements with Egypt and Jordan, Yasser Arafat and his heirs and the game rules vis-a-vis Syria and Lebanon.

But those days are over. The democratization process that U.S. President George Bush has triggered and the open debate promoted by Arab satellite networks are causing the old frameworks to crumble. The mass demonstrations that led to the Syrians being driven from Lebanon, the elections in Iraq and those in the territories are merely the beginning. As far as Israel is concerned, the worst stage will come when the democratic wave washes over Jordan, its strategic ally; Egypt with its modern army and F-16 squadrons, and Syria and its Scud and chemical warhead stores.

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In the past year millions of Arab citizens have had their say. So did hundreds of thousands of demonstrators in the center of Beirut last March and the voters in the Palestinian Authority, who changed their regime democratically.

Granted, Hamas is an armed terror organization. But the international community agreed to its participation in the elections and respects its results.

Israel saw in Bush's democratization initiative a pretension of naive Americans who had no idea of the reality in the region. Israel still remembers the Shah of Iran, who fell from power after America reprimanded him for the infringement of human rights, and was replaced by a hostile regime seeking to annihilate Zionism and make atom bombs.

The Israelis warned the Americans that that unsupervised Arab democracy will bring the Muslim Brotherhood to power, not pro-Western liberals. But Washington refused to listen and insisted on holding the elections on schedule. The new reality requires both Washington and Jerusalem to reevaluate the situation, before the Hamas effect hits Amman and Cairo. In any case, it will be hard to turn back democratic change and resume the comfortable relations with the old dictatorships.

Israel will have to formulate a new foreign policy and strive for peace between nations, not merely with their rulers. And that will be much more complicated.
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  1.   Rabble in the street 05:19  |  Timothy L 29/01/06
  2.   Carter, Iran 79, Israel 2006 05:23  |  dave 29/01/06
  3.   Democracy vs. Demagoguecracy 05:28  |  Lavi 29/01/06
  4.   Condolleza Rice and Palestinian Democracy 05:35  |  lina 29/01/06
  5.   Bad loosers 06:29  |  Farah 29/01/06
  6.   The Lemmings Called Palestinians 06:30  |  Yoram 29/01/06
  7.   Israel "Ignored" Arab Public Opinion? 06:34  |  Andy 29/01/06
  8.   Reminder to Timothy L 06:39  |  Ray 29/01/06
  9.   Timothy L - Rabble 06:40  |  Ed 29/01/06
  10.   Not a cent more! 06:42  |  ATLAS 29/01/06
  11.   democracy 07:04  |  mohammed 29/01/06
  12.   Out of Touch 07:07  |  Thurman Reed 29/01/06
  13.   No More Illusions: There Never Was Any "Partner" 07:09  |  Abdul the Prophet 29/01/06
  14.   Carter, Iran 79 and Israel 07:11  |  Ziyad 29/01/06
  15.   call a spade a spade 07:12  |  Jonathan 29/01/06
  16.   Inimical Effects of Democracy in Israel 07:13  |  Thurman Reed 29/01/06
  17.   #10 not a cent more 07:25  |  hollingsworth 29/01/06
  18.   IT IS THE JEWS THAT BEHAVE LIKE LEMMINGS 07:28  |  MEIR WEINSTEIN 29/01/06
  19.   democracy and the street 07:41  |  J.P.L. 29/01/06
  20.   Yoram 07:51  |  Ann 29/01/06
  21.   Timothy L & Democracy 07:53  |  Zev 29/01/06
  22.   The Shah, The Tsar ... 07:55  |  Joan Stuchner 29/01/06
  23.   Timothy L. #1 07:56  |  charro 29/01/06
  24.   It`s not just the Arab street coming alive 08:13  |  MARK KLEIN, M.D. 29/01/06
  25.   RE:Democracy vs. Demagoguecracy 08:16  |  Roni 29/01/06
  26.   # 17 hollingsworth 08:24  |  ATLAS 29/01/06
  27.   Electricity also does not exist 08:28  |  Jeff 29/01/06
  28.   Ann 08:29  |  J.P.L. 29/01/06
  29.   Analysis: Wave of democracy pits Israel against `Arab street` 08:34  |  Jason 29/01/06
  30.   Ann 08:39  |  Jeff 29/01/06
  31.   # 20 Ann in Sydney 09:06  |  ATLAS 29/01/06
  32.   Roni Motek, Maybe King Abdullah Will Send Them A Son? 09:16  |  Lavi 29/01/06
  33.   Green Fields Democracy - Too Early? 09:26  |  E Goldstein 29/01/06
  34.   The Arab masses are backward,hate-filled incited 10:32  |  Shalom Freedman 29/01/06
  35.   What are you talking about? 10:33  |  Mohammed 29/01/06
  36.   # 35 Mohammed of Dubai 11:25  |  ATLAS 29/01/06
  37.   Democracy and fair laws 11:43  |  Bill 29/01/06
  38.   Re: arab masses are ignorant 11:51  |  Bill 29/01/06
  39.   RE:Electricity also does not exist 12:04  |  Bill 29/01/06
  40.   likud and hammas 12:15  |  jay 29/01/06
  41.   Palestine: the outline of a people`s democracy 12:19  |  Ben Alofs 29/01/06
  42.   Democracy as a delegitimiser 12:27  |  Niv 29/01/06
  43.   to ATLAS - NOT A CENT MORE 12:30  |  CESARE 29/01/06
  44.   To Lavi: re Bush election/no protests 12:42  |  David James Vickery 29/01/06
  45.   My Democracy or No Democracy 12:42  |  Meadowlark 29/01/06
  46.   Reality TV 12:45  |  Ronnie Wolman 29/01/06
  47.   The new reality-Democracies 12:55  |  JOHANES Franzen 29/01/06
  48.   Democracy: Missing the issues 13:04  |  Colin 29/01/06
  49.   Israel`s example 13:05  |  bruce 29/01/06
  50.   Daoud James Vickery 13:28  |  Tulip 29/01/06
  51.   a. benn 13:44  |  vladimir 29/01/06
  52.   70,000 terrorists in Jerusalem. From The Lubavitcher Rebbe 14:10  |  David 29/01/06
  53.   RE: Muhamed 14:17  |  Lawrence 29/01/06
  54.   DEMOCRACY 14:55  |  Ben Gurion 29/01/06
  55.   democracy 15:08  |  mm 29/01/06
  56.   Democracy at the polls- What about the street 15:45  |  Avrum 29/01/06
  57.   Arab dictators are the source of failures in the Arab world 15:48  |  El-Birawi 29/01/06
  58.   Arab Reality 15:56  |  Ronald 29/01/06
  59.   #5, farah 16:23  |  vladimir 29/01/06
  60.   #16 16:31  |  vladimir 29/01/06
  61.   #17, hollingworth 16:34  |  vladimir 29/01/06
  62.   One election, one time, limited choice 16:35  |  JJ Doyle 29/01/06
  63.   Free people, El-Birawi? 16:42  |  Tulip 29/01/06
  64.   Re: lawrence 16:42  |  Mohammed 29/01/06
  65.   El-Birawi The Palestinian people cant do it alone 16:48  |  Ronnie Wolman 29/01/06
  66.   #35, muhamed 16:51  |  vladimir 29/01/06
  67.   bill, #38 16:53  |  vladimir 29/01/06
  68.   #43, 16:59  |  vladimir 29/01/06
  69.   #57, el biravi 17:12  |  vladimir 29/01/06
  70.   sooner or later I srael has to 17:15  |  Ali 29/01/06
  71.   Why Hamas won 17:17  |  Elliot 29/01/06
  72.   Calling on DUBAI 17:41  |  Rhamira 29/01/06
  73.   Re: Corruption 18:04  |  Rhamira 29/01/06
  74.   hollingsworth 18:07  |  and if not 29/01/06
  75.   ben alofs the welsh dutchman 18:12  |  and if not 29/01/06
  76.   The myth of the "arab street" 18:14  |  pace306 29/01/06
  77.   Frantzen takes time off from his conference in Teheran... 18:15  |  KJJ 29/01/06
  78.   Its time for Israel to change course 1 18:24  |  Abu Firas Al Qudsi 29/01/06
  79.   Which opinion? 18:34  |  Dilip Nirody 29/01/06
  80.   Its time for Israel to change course 2 18:34  |  Abu Firas Al Qudsi 29/01/06
  81.   Yoram..you can start by educating yourself 18:37  |  Yossi Mahran 29/01/06
  82.   And what did any intelligent person expect? 18:38  |  Mark Lincoln 29/01/06
  83.   ISRAEL MUST WAKE UP TO THE TRUTH 19:13  |  Dr David Gross 29/01/06
  84.   To Farah and Vladimir 19:14  |  Dennis M. Starkman 29/01/06
  85.   ABCs Bob Woodruff - in serious condition 19:21  |  Dov 29/01/06
  86.   Who is afraid of democracy in Palestine 19:24  |  Ben Gurion 29/01/06
  87.   al qudsi and the elites 19:27  |  and if not 29/01/06
  88.   Post #54 written by an impostor 19:27  |  Ben Gurion 29/01/06
  89.   iranians wilfully will not wear ties. 19:32  |  and if not 29/01/06
  90.   Mohammed # 64 19:36  |  Avrum 29/01/06
  91.   Don`t hold your breath 19:43  |  JJ Doyle 29/01/06
  92.   not a cent more 19:52  |  john 29/01/06
  93.   ALUF ANALYSIS AGAIN CORRECT 19:54  |  abitbol 29/01/06
  94.   To Abu Firas Al Qudsi 19:58  |  Dennis M. Starkman 29/01/06
  95.   Abu Firas # 70 20:18  |  Avrum 29/01/06
  96.   Mr.Benn, do you prefer dictators? 20:31  |  al 29/01/06
  97.   Supporters and votes of terror 20:34  |  Dick 29/01/06
  98.   El Birawi 20:53  |  Danite 29/01/06
  99.   Ben Gurion Shalom 20:57  |  Danite 29/01/06
  100.   Avrum needs to know 1 21:00  |  Abu Firas Al Qudsi 29/01/06
  101.   Avrum needs to know 2 21:07  |  Abu Firas Al Qudsi 29/01/06
  102.   Let the Bastards vote in Jordan 21:11  |  Dudu 29/01/06
  103.   Abu Firas- 100 & 101 21:20  |  Avrum 29/01/06
  104.   Naive thinking on Hamas victory 21:25  |  Mike 29/01/06
  105.   # 102 21:31  |  Gad 29/01/06
  106.   Danite #99; on Shalom 21:39  |  Ben Gurion 29/01/06
  107.   # 100 21:43  |  gad 29/01/06
  108.   They certainly seem to be more than ready 22:04  |  Mark Lincoln 29/01/06
  109.   Democracy vs Dictatorship 22:13  |  Mark Lincoln 29/01/06
  110.   The Meek Inherit Bubkas 22:15  |  Solomon 29/01/06
  111.   # 101 is exccellent 22:29  |  gad 29/01/06
  112.   The position of Israel 22:39  |  Colin Wright 29/01/06
  113.   Gad, is your surname Atzmon by any chance? 23:05  |  LBNAZ 29/01/06
  114.   BAD LOSERS 23:09  |  danny 29/01/06
  115.   not a cent more. 23:13  |  Danny 29/01/06
  116.   Hamas the Bad Nazi, Fatah the Good Nazi 23:21  |  Yael 29/01/06
  117.   #102 is excellent 23:29  |  Jane 29/01/06
  118.   Number 102 has got the right idea 23:30  |  Yehuda Maccabee 29/01/06
  119.   # 112 23:39  |  gad 29/01/06
  120.   what are you talking about. 23:40  |  Danny 29/01/06
  121.   #112 Collin Wrong 23:43  |  Solomon 29/01/06
  122.   ali #70 23:47  |  alan 29/01/06
  123.   # 5 Are jewish Arab? 23:51  |  gad 29/01/06
  124.   LBNAZ 23:56  |  gad 29/01/06
  125.   farah #5 00:15  |  alan 30/01/06
  126.   Sharansky & Netanyahoo 00:25  |  Shlomo from Tel Aviv 30/01/06
  127.   Avrum response # 3 00:43  |  Avrum 30/01/06
  128.   # What a civil way of tlaking to each other 00:47  |  gad 30/01/06
  129.   Re: Let the bastards vote in Jordan 00:57  |  Joel 30/01/06
  130.   Israeli Tyranny Pits it Against Palestinians 01:18  |  patrick 30/01/06
  131.   Hamas 01:21  |  Omar 30/01/06
  132.   Racism - Yoram 01:48  |  Bobb Dillon 30/01/06
  133.   Carter Iran 01:53  |  Mary 30/01/06
  134.   Carter is the best 07:26  |  Emily 30/01/06
  135.   Re: #90 Avrum 08:00  |  Mohammed 30/01/06
  136.   Cut off the money 13:12  |  Colin 30/01/06
  137.   Wave of democracy etc 20:22  |  Peter Donovan 28/09/07
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