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U.S. President Barack Obama meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the oval office in Washington on May 18.
(Reuters)
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Last update - 21:51 22/05/2009
Yossi Melman / Obama quashed Israel military option against Iran
By Yossi Melman, Haaretz Correspondent
Tags: Barack Obama, Iran 

Israel's military option against Iran has died. The death warrant was issued courtesy of the new U.S. administration led by Barack Obama.

All the administration's senior officials, from the president to his vice president, Joe Biden, Defense Secretary Robert Gates and others are sending strong, clear hints that Israel does not have permission to strike Iran. Yet, given their familiarity with the Israeli client, they have not made do with simple hints and intimations. Washington dispatched the new CIA director, Leon Panetta, to Israel. Panetta made clear to Netanyahu, in so many words, that an Israeli attack would create "big trouble."

Perhaps Israel at one point had just a small window of opportunity to exercise the military option, or, in other words, the possibility of attacking sites in Iran to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons. This is assuming, of course, that Israel indeed has the military capability for carrying out such a mission - an assumption that raises many questions. This is a mission that requires gathering pinpoint intelligence, to identify the precise targets without harming thousands of innocent civilians.
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Simply put, one of the targets of such a strike is the uranium enrichment facility in Isfahan, which lies in the heart of a congested civilian population. A realistic military option is also contingent on fighter jets finding undetected routes, as well as carrying a sufficient payload of bombs and missiles to inflict heavy damage on the targets.

Let us assume that Israel does, indeed, have a reasonable military capability which would enable it to strike at the targets, inflict heavy damage and set Iran's nuclear program back a few years. The opportunity to realize this capability arguably presented itself to Israel a few years ago. Iran at the time was subject to an intense international offensive. Inspectors of the International Atomic Energy Agency repeatedly exposed its lies and levied sanctions against the Tehran regime.

Threats made by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to wipe Israel from the map and his insistence on denying the Holocaust aroused great sympathy for Israel. This sympathy was buttressed by the Olmert government's willingness to hold peace talks with Syria and seek an agreement with the Palestinians. Above all, this friendly international atmosphere was backed by an accommodating Republican administration and a president who was ready to support (or to turn a blind eye to) any Israeli operation. In addition, Iran's ability to respond to an attack with missiles was limited.

But all this is now in the past. The sanctions are stuck. Ahmadinejad has, for the time being, softened his bellicose rhetoric. The production of Iranian missiles has doubled.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is not ready to recognize the right of the Palestinians to a state of their own, nor does he have any intention of holding serious negotiations with Syria, regarding withdrawal from the Golan Heights. This position reduces international support for Israel. Yet, most importantly, there is a new president in Washington, one who has outlined a new policy vis-a-vis Iran. He has announced the start of negotiations with Iran, and even though he mentioned that the talks will have to be concluded by the end of this year, he did not set a clear deadline. All these factors, including the explicit statements made by administration officials, put Israel in its place.

The supreme tenet of Israeli defense policy states that Jerusalem must not launch any strategic initiative that stands in contradiction, or places in harm's way, the clear interests of the United States. This stance has underpinned every fateful decision taken by Israel relating to matters of war and peace. Israel embarked on the Six-Day War only after it was convinced that the U.S. would not oppose. In the hours leading up to the Yom Kippur War, Israel refrained from launching a preemptive strike for fear that Washington would blame it for starting the war. Israel invaded Lebanon in 1982 only after Defense Minister Ariel Sharon came under the impression that the U.S. would view the move with understanding. During the first Gulf War in 1991, the U.S. did not permit Israel to respond to Iraqi scud missiles, and Israel obliged.

If this tenet remains the cornerstone of defense policy, then Israel once again will not act against the explicit wishes of the U.S. Thus, when Israeli leaders say that "all options are open," this is nothing but a dog's bark being louder than his bite. Or, if you will, a mouse that roars. If the U.S. does not alter its policy, then Israel no longer has the military option at its disposal - if it ever had such an option at all.

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      1.   As it should be 01:34  |  Roo 22/05/09
      2.   What if it`s not a strike like everyone has been discussing? 01:40  |  Fortuna Benmayor 22/05/09
      3.   what`s next??? 01:52  |  Kramer 22/05/09
      4.   Ehud Olmert was the wrong prime minister at the wrong time 01:57  |  Jason 22/05/09
      5.   Israel has no future? 02:00  |  Mike Malkovitch 22/05/09
      6.   Exactly 02:10  |  JJ 22/05/09
      7.   Israel must fly over Iraq (american airspace) to reach Iran, 02:16  |  David 22/05/09
      8.   As it should be 02:17  |  Roo 22/05/09
      9.   NO need for permission 02:19  |  Brod 22/05/09
      10.   The denials that will follow this thread will be vociferous... 02:32  |  BBSNews 22/05/09
      11.   It is not late at all. 02:39  |  Frank 22/05/09
      12.   YOU DO NEED PERMISSION Re: #4 Brod, read my Post #2 02:43  |  David 22/05/09
      13.   #4 Brod 02:50  |  izi 22/05/09
      14.   Regardless of my opinions... 02:58  |  Wmr 22/05/09
      15.   You never had the option 02:59  |  binny 22/05/09
      16.   #7 David - you got the idea right, but the SOFA changed this 03:15  |  binny 22/05/09
      17.   Military options 03:16  |  Darlene 22/05/09
      18.   Lessons #1 from Israel`s latest wars 03:25  |  binny 22/05/09
      19.   Taking land as a result of fighting a defensive war is legal 03:31  |  binny 22/05/09
      20.   To the B.S. News wingut. WWIII started on 9/11/01. 03:31  |  flyingdoc57 22/05/09
      21.   US support 03:36  |  Bob 22/05/09
      22.   Now There Is Only One Option Left... 04:07  |  Yosemite 22/05/09
      23.   "...A MOUSE THAT ROARS..." 04:14  |  Ed 22/05/09
      24.   Izi 04:17  |  Brod 22/05/09
      25.   David 04:23  |  Brod 22/05/09
      26.   Don`t confuse them with their own logic Binny... 06:24  |  BBSNews 22/05/09
      27.   Fake doc, you are wrong as usual... 06:38  |  BBSNews 22/05/09
      28.   Who is in charge? 06:42  |  Hugh 22/05/09
      29.   IAF Overflight to #16 06:46  |  Scott L. Havsy 22/05/09
      30.   No Options Are off the table 06:47  |  Baruch Gold 22/05/09
      31.   #21 Bob 06:49  |  Hugh 22/05/09
      32.   To #7 the Hell with Obama and US Policy 06:50  |  Scott L. Havsy 22/05/09
      33.   Time`s up, BSNews 07:52  |  Stephen in New York 22/05/09
      34.   Darlene/Brod/Scott Havsy - Any Care for GIs? 07:54  |  Mark of Lewiston 22/05/09
      35.   Havsy, please, please attack the USAF... 08:11  |  BBSNews 22/05/09
      36.   The USA strategic nuclear self-deception. 08:14  |  Mario Sala 22/05/09
      37.   Yossi Melman omits a few important details 08:53  |  redbourn 22/05/09
      38.   Lovely to read these `table politics`... 09:16  |  Esther 22/05/09
      39.   stop complaining and stop being part of the problem 10:03  |  Michael 22/05/09
      40.   Reading the Israel bashers on this site, one thing stands out... 10:17  |  S 22/05/09
      41.   "Israel does not have permission to strike Iran" 10:18  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 22/05/09
      42.   DO IT YOURSELF MODE 10:21  |  indrajaya 22/05/09
      43.   Fortuna`s wet dreams #2 10:24  |  kiki 22/05/09
      44.   In 1956 US forced Israel to withdraw from Sinai,thus leading to 10:45  |  Absolute Sweden 22/05/09
      45.   roo "jerusalem is divided" 10:59  |  tuvia raviv 22/05/09
      46.   it is true israel has no ability to hit iran 11:07  |  harzion 22/05/09
      47.   Thus Spoke Rome 11:09  |  Michael 22/05/09
      48.   fight a covert war against iran 11:10  |  harzion 22/05/09
      49.   iran is huge.the potential for subversion is fathomless 11:14  |  harzion 22/05/09
      50.   Isreal will do whats is best for their security 11:33  |  art siatkowsky 22/05/09
      51.   Good Decision - Iran is a great country. 11:45  |  Razi 22/05/09
      52.   What if Iran strikes back? 11:55  |  Shimon 22/05/09
      53.   #9 - NO need for permission 11:59  |  Reza 22/05/09
      54.   @#9: Israel is not a colony of Amerca 12:25  |  Shimon 22/05/09
      55.   to BBS Israel will not Start WWIII Iran will 12:54  |  CM 22/05/09
      56.   U.S. Support 13:00  |  Arie 22/05/09
      57.   Israel put in its place. 13:18  |  Sakura One 22/05/09
      58.   melman doesn`t learn from `73 13:36  |  peter 22/05/09
      59.   Admiral Mike Mullen`s eems to be coordinating with Israel on Iran 13:40  |  Susanna/Shoshana 22/05/09
      60.   realy 13:53  |  bar kochva 22/05/09
      61.   Harzion on subversion 14:25  |  Peter Williams 22/05/09
      62.   I FEEL, ISRAEL WILL TAKE HER CHANCE TO ATTACK IRAN IN 6 MONTHS 14:26  |  Atilla Karagözoğlu 22/05/09
      63.   #45 tuvia raviv/harzion educating a mutt 14:28  |  Roo 22/05/09
      64.   OBAMA IS WORLD`S OLMERT. ONLY BRINGS TEARS AND BLOODS 14:44  |  Atilla Karagözoğlu 22/05/09
      65.   Petulent Jews 14:53  |  Sick of the whining 22/05/09
      66.   #61 Sure Peter, stir up more BS 15:00  |  ballistic 22/05/09
      67.   Smoke and Mirrors 15:16  |  Jay 22/05/09
      68.   #62#64 Atilla 15:21  |  Enrico 22/05/09
      69.   critic 15:28  |  oz 22/05/09
      70.   indrajaya 15:31  |  ehud 22/05/09
      71.   Israel MUST survive the aleged Iranian Holocaust 16:09  |  Mimi 22/05/09
      72.   Brod #24 16:22  |  Izi 22/05/09
      73.   Oh, yeah? 16:30  |  Bart 22/05/09
      74.   #41 Say Cipora 16:41  |  ballistic 22/05/09
      75.   for Brod, #9 19:28  |  john 22/05/09
      76.   PREDICTION IF ISRAEL ATTACKS 19:30  |  Soothsayer 22/05/09
      77.   Truth be known 19:30  |  Chris Linthwaite 22/05/09
      78.   Brod. # 9 19:31  |  Joel 22/05/09
      79.   Michael - Wrong Analogy 19:34  |  Historian 22/05/09
      80.   #32 Scott the Havsy 19:35  |  Harold 22/05/09
      81.   obama is a snake 19:36  |  joe 22/05/09
      82.   Shimon # 52 19:41  |  Scott 22/05/09
      83.   #61 Peter Williams who wants more subversion 19:42  |  Roo 22/05/09
      84.   Peter Williams in Brisbane 19:43  |  Jack 22/05/09
      85.   Flyimg Doctor #21 19:47  |  Stacy 22/05/09
      86.   #65 It was all jewish land in the first place 19:48  |  RME 22/05/09
      87.   296,000,000 Jews in America? Nonsense! 19:54  |  Kirk Douglas 22/05/09
      88.   Israel doesn`t need America`s permission to destroy Iran`s nukes. 20:43  |  Chaim 22/05/09
      89.   Cipora # 41 You are right Israel does not need permission 20:48  |  American in NY 22/05/09
      90.   #61 Peter Williams who wants more subversion 21:09  |  Roo 22/05/09
      91.   Israel doesn`t need permission 21:24  |  Truth 22/05/09
      92.   He did not say that 21:17  |  Marilyn 22/05/09
      93.   balistic tea no milk some choclate cake please. 21:18  |  goldwater 22/05/09
      94.   roo and divided london 21:23  |  tuvia raviv 22/05/09
      95.   Razi - nuclear deterrent 21:25  |  We are coming!!! 22/05/09
      96.   roo "educating a mutt" 21:25  |  haim erez 22/05/09
      97.   When it happens, be sure it will surprise... 21:29  |  Jewish Tao 22/05/09
      98.   Bush Stopped Israel From Attackin Iran Too 21:59  |  Yona 22/05/09
      99.   Billions for defence, nothing for a home in Uganda? 22:05  |  Philip 22/05/09
      100.   @11 frank `it`s not late at all` 22:08  |  neil 22/05/09
      101.   permission 22:26  |  oz 22/05/09
      102.   The only way to do it is to use a small nuclear bomb over Teheran 22:26  |  Ron 22/05/09
      103.   melman finally got something right 22:28  |  good one 22/05/09
      104.   So Israel Started the 6-day War? 22:34  |  Arik Silverman 22/05/09
      105.   #61 Peter Williams who wants more subversion 22:34  |  Roo 22/05/09
      106.   #61 Peter Williams who wants more subversion 22:48  |  Roo 22/05/09
      107.   Brod .. He who lives by the sword ... 23:07  |  American 22/05/09
      108.   ISRAELIS NEED TO PERSUADE AMERICANS TO OUST DEMOCRATS IN 2010 23:11  |  ConstantineXI 22/05/09
      109.   #61 Peter Williams who wants more subversion 23:18  |  Roo 22/05/09
      110.   Boo hoo. Can`t attack 23:37  |  ALASKA 22/05/09
      111.   Two questions: Why can`t Iran defend itself, and 23:46  |  Alaska 22/05/09
      112.   War is not the solution...Peace is possible 23:53  |  Issa Dadoush 22/05/09
      113.   #61 Peter Williams who wants more subversion 23:56  |  Roo 22/05/09
      114.   Havsy #29 23:58  |  Mike from Boston 22/05/09
      115.   Window Opened & Closed in the Summer of 2006 00:04  |  C-Low 23/05/09
      116.   roo has gone over to your jew hating camp 01:04  |  haim erez 23/05/09
      117.   Yes ConstantineXI aipac are on to it 01:05  |  Roo 23/05/09
      118.   roo has a great deal of time on his hands 01:07  |  eliyahu 23/05/09
      119.   roo"jerusalem is divided" 01:46  |  tuvia raviv 23/05/09
      120.   not as much time as eliyahu does #88 01:49  |  amuel seer/gad 23/05/09
      121.   haim erez/harzion/eliyahu 86 01:51  |  yirmiyahu 23/05/09
      122.   eliyahu-harzion-haim erez are you having trouble 01:52  |  zevelun 23/05/09
      123.   eliyahu haim erez harzion samuel seer 01:58  |  T.edium 23/05/09
      124.   @86 `the kurds and the jews are friends` harzion/ haim erez 02:01  |  L. Otsofnames 23/05/09
      125.   eliyahu -------who art though? 02:04  |  L.OtsofNames 23/05/09
      126.   Mr. Melman`s ignorance 02:13  |  Mark Lincoln 23/05/09
      127.   #76 Yes Yona, Bush wanted to save you 02:14  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      128.   88 and 86 48 49 45 4 different names 02:15  |  nursey 23/05/09
      129.   Constantine XI - your record 02:18  |  Mark Lincoln 23/05/09
      130.   Sound like Ezekiel 38 and 39? 02:19  |  Martha 23/05/09
      131.   #96 haven`t you noticed, Mark? 02:29  |  Mark B. 23/05/09
      132.   #109, Mark B 02:57  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 23/05/09
      133.   We`ll Keep Obama 03:08  |  Oberon 23/05/09
      134.   Ballistic #66 03:08  |  Peter Williams 23/05/09
      135.   As it should be 03:14  |  LisaV 23/05/09
      136.   Roo the impatient one. 03:23  |  Peter Williams 23/05/09
      137.   #108 Say Martha 03:29  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      138.   Martha hasn`t a clue to whom israel is or gog or magog 03:59  |  torah 23/05/09
      139.   Havsy #16 04:16  |  Dana 23/05/09
      140.   Peter Williams # 118 I have no problem with Freedom Fighters 04:27  |  American in NY 23/05/09
      141.   #118 No Peter, a hypocrite is someone 04:44  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      142.   #116 Yes, Yes, Ms Cipora 04:51  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      143.   #117 Oberon "Yes We Can" and 04:52  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      144.   #120 Say Peter, what is wrong with you? 04:56  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      145.   For kiki # 43, who doesn`t get sarcasm. 05:08  |  Fortuna Benmayor 23/05/09
      146.   #127, ANY and his "freedom fighters" 05:28  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 23/05/09
      147.   #1, Roo and his dog 05:30  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 23/05/09
      148.   Mark B - no, I had not noticed 05:50  |  Mark Lincoln 23/05/09
      149.   Torah - the perils of reading the book 05:51  |  Mark Lincoln 23/05/09
      150.   America in NY - `freedom fighters`? 06:00  |  Mark Lincoln 23/05/09
      151.   the "alleged" threat to wipe israel off the map never happened 06:00  |  eric 23/05/09
      152.   Correct Fortuna Benmayor 06:06  |  Mark Lincoln 23/05/09
      153.   Fortuna, Kiki, and the Intel problem 06:12  |  Mark Lincoln 23/05/09
      154.   ANY: Freedom Fighters 06:12  |  Peter Williams 23/05/09
      155.   Genesis 10 06:24  |  martha 23/05/09
      156.   it`s not a matter of "you will NOT"; it`s one of "WE will NOT"! 06:27  |  eric 23/05/09
      157.   Ballistic 06:30  |  Peter Williams 23/05/09
      158.   The Formula - Part I 06:40  |  Formidable Eagle 23/05/09
      159.   Peter - ANY freddom fighters? 08:38  |  Mark Lincoln 23/05/09
      160.   It appears 08:50  |  Mark Lincoln 23/05/09
      161.   Mark Lincoln on Intelligence 11:04  |  Peter Williams 23/05/09
      162.   new land owner 11:33  |  oz 23/05/09
      163.   Thank you Mark Lincoln #150 2nd try 12:11  |  S 23/05/09
      164.   #147 An analogy too far CJK 12:59  |  Roo 23/05/09
      165.   Peter Williams #136 13:31  |  Roo 23/05/09
      166.   To Brod, #9 14:18  |  Joan 23/05/09
      167.   roo on dogs 14:55  |  eliyahu 23/05/09
      168.   Iran is not only looking to dominate the ME but the western 15:49  |  ks 23/05/09
      169.   Roo exposed 16:06  |  Peter Williams 23/05/09
      170.   #148 Mark Lincoln, please read my posts a bit better 16:28  |  Mark B. 23/05/09
      171.   Thank you Mark Lincoln #150 3rd try (revised) 16:44  |  S 23/05/09
      172.   Ah `hypocrites` ! Peter Williams #164 16:59  |  Roo 23/05/09
      173.   #151 Hi Five to Eric 17:46  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      174.   ballistic 19:06  |  The Teacher/Instruct 23/05/09
      175.   #9 - Big Talk, Brod 19:18  |  Boyd 23/05/09
      176.   To Mark Lincoln@142,EVEN A NEEDLE IN HAYSTACK CAN STILL BE FOUND. 19:33  |  Whiskey/Bravo 23/05/09
      177.   #169 Say Kath, as soon as 19:38  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      178.   Cipora Khon read the news. 19:39  |  American in NY 23/05/09
      179.   #157 Peter Williams, 2nd try 19:43  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      180.   ks #163 you are in big trouble-no time to waste 19:59  |  thomas cook 23/05/09
      181.   #172 Amer in NY, 20:01  |  ballistic 23/05/09
      182.   To Stacy (#85). Sorry to disappoint you, but... 20:08  |  flyingdoc57 23/05/09
      183.   american in ny 20:13  |  yair 23/05/09
      184.   american in ny 20:16  |  eliyahu 23/05/09
      185.   american in ny "read the news" 20:19  |  aviezer 23/05/09
      186.   To ks@163...Obama`s presidency,and Iran?? 20:22  |  Whiskey/Bravo 23/05/09
      187.   Stop lying about being "wiped off the map" 20:54  |  tokugawa 23/05/09
      188.   #151- eric`s "alleged" morality 21:45  |  peter 23/05/09
      189.   # 172 tea-walla, balllistic ! 23:59  |  The Teacher/Instruct 23/05/09
      190.   You watch 24 and believe it`s true WB? 00:37  |  Mark Lincoln 24/05/09
      191.   Obviously desired by Israelis. 00:51  |  Josh 24/05/09
      192.   Israel could fly over Iraq with no problems 00:55  |  Shem 24/05/09
      193.   To eric@168,...How is Obama doing? 01:20  |  Whiskey/Bravo 24/05/09
      194.   To Peter Wiliams@164, ..re:Roo and his long wafling posts. 01:27  |  Whiskey/Bravo 24/05/09
      195.   # 168 hi there ballistic, it HAS been a long time! 01:42  |  eric 24/05/09
      196.   Israel has a future 03:04  |  Truth 24/05/09
      197.   Mark Lincoln # 150 You supply the name 03:34  |  American in NY 24/05/09
      198.   S # 166 Irgun and Stern were what? freedom Fighters? 03:43  |  American in NY 24/05/09
      199.   # 168 hi there ballistic, it HAS been a long time! (3rd try) 09:47  |  eric 24/05/09
      200.   Roo misses the tuna while chasing red herrings 2nd try 13:48  |  Peter Williams 24/05/09
      201.   Mark Lincoln # 150 You supply the name 13:53  |  American in NY 24/05/09
      202.   S # 166 Irgun and Stern were what? freedom Fighters? 13:54  |  American in NY 24/05/09
      203.   Israel must be ready 15:11  |  anneriza yon 24/05/09
      204.   To eric@175 ,...Your friend`s needing assurances. 15:36  |  Whiskey/Bravo 24/05/09
      205.   #183 Hey Eric/Whiskey 18:05  |  ballistic 24/05/09
      206.   #183 Whiskey re "Obama is not of your tribe" 18:11  |  ballistic 24/05/09
      207.   #178 Eric 18:38  |  ballistic 24/05/09
      208.   Haaretz,is this forum still running.or not?My Post to @206 PutOUT 20:58  |  Whiskey/Bravo 25/05/09
      209.   And to eric@204 An Addendum .. 21:14  |  Whiskey/Bravo 25/05/09
      210.   Obama quashed Israel military option against Iran 12:45  |  shaool 29/11/09
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