Subscribe to Print Edition | Thu., January 08, 2009 Tevet 12, 5769 | | Israel Time: 02:02 (EST+7)
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Israel stocks join world markets in rally
By TheMarker Correspondent and Staff , By Nathan Sheva

Tel Aviv shares roared north yesterday for the seventh straight day of trading, despite the drag of the battles raging in the south. Traders who can't actually explain the rebound on the basis of any concrete developments generally ascribe the surge to the "January effect," referring to an oft-believed yet empirically impure assumption that share prices rise in January. Sometimes they do, sometimes they don't.

This January, stocks have been rising even as Israeli ground forces roll deeper into the Gaza Strip.
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Back in Tel Aviv, blue chips rose strongly yesterday, gaining more than 3% on fairly brisk trading, relative to the thin turnovers posted in recent weeks.

"The mood in the market was good today," said one investment manager. "The positive sentiment even led institutional investors" - which means big investment funds and insurance companies - "to move from the safe harbor of government bonds to riskier vehicles such as corporate bonds and shares."

Whence the cheer, given that nobody thinks the global economic crisis is over yet or even turning a corner? Good question, but the fact is that foreign markets have also been rallying strongly. Oil prices have too, but yesterday the price per barrel slipped below $50 again, on more weak U.S. economic data and as traders took profits following a one-month high hit earlier in the day.

London and other European indexes closed higher yesterday, for the sixth trading day in a row. Tokyo's benchmark Nikkei index ended with mild gain. Hong Kong ended a three-day rally because of a rout among Chinese telecoms stocks.

Here in Israel, morale among investors is high because the fighting in the south is going as planned, says the investment manager. "Also, there's optimism over [U.S. president-elect Barack] Obama's move into the White House later this month."

Obama's no magician

He for one doesn't believe the upward run will continue much longer, though. "At some point the market is going to understand that Obama is not a magician," he said. "The trouble isn't over yet."

The benchmark TA-25 index gained 3.4%, to end yesterday at 702 points, and the broader TA-100 index rose 4%, to 618 points. The TelTech-15 ended the day 5.5% higher and the Real Estate-15 index jumped 8.3% yesterday, bringing its total gain this year to 18%. That's some rebound in less than a week, and brings sorely needed relief to investors in the sector in which heavyweight stocks lost 80% and more last year. Israeli property [prices hadn't been considered to be in bubble territory, but many large real estate companies invested heavily abroad.

Total turnover crept up to NIS 1.3 billion.

The session was characterized by strong gains among several heavyweights, including Israel Chemicals and Makhteshim Agan, which have been favorites among foreign investors for years.

Shares of Israel Chemicals soared 10%, on robust turnover of NIS 200 million, thanks to a strong rally by fertilizer stocks in world markets. A modest increase was also seen in seed prices.

Makhteshim Agan Industries, which makes pesticides, gained a whopping 9.8%, sending the share price of its holding company Koor Industries soaring 13%.

Africa Israel did a star turn on the spiraling Real Estate-15 index yesterday, leaping 10.2%.

After months of rumors, Yali Shefi, chief executive of the Phoenix assurance company, announced his resignation after a four-year tenure. Investors seemed undismayed and sent Phoenix stock soaring 12%.

The price of Delek Automotive shares regained 2.9%, after two days deep in the doghouse, during which time the Mazda and Ford importer's stock lost 10%, following press reports of dreadful sales in December. For more on the impending fortunes of car importers, see Page 11.

Ormat Industries leaped 10.6% on news that the Swiss investment bank UBS had upgraded its rating for subsidiary Ormat Technologies to Buy. The analysts set Ormat Tech a 12-month price target of NIS 33, which is 28% above market.

Another stock in the spotlight was Aladdin Knowledge Systems, which leaped 43%, on reports that the firm is, after all, going to be sold, possibly for as much as $160 million. That's double its market cap, before yesterday's jump.
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