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Last update - 09:13 06/10/2008
Aggression doesn't prove suitability
By Haaretz Editorial
Tags: Iran, Israel News 

Over the past few weeks, politicians and the media have increasingly been discussing the possibility that Israel will attack Iran's nuclear facilities, against the backdrop of the apparent failure of diplomatic efforts and sanctions aimed at halting Iran's nuclear plans.

French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner told Haaretz that Israel is already preparing such an attack and will hit Iran before the latter acquires a nuclear bomb. "Israel has always said that it will not wait for the bomb to be ready," Kouchner said. "I think that they [the Iranians] know. Everybody knows."

Kouchner is no exception. Columnists and analysts in Israel have been challenging prime-minister designate Tzipi Livni over the past few weeks with the question of whether she will be courageous and determined enough to make "crucial decisions" about Iran - a transparent euphemism meant to refer to a decision about military action.
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The political leadership, for its part, has actually been moderating its messages about the Iranian threat. Outgoing prime minister Ehud Olmert said Israel must recognize the limits of its power vis-a-vis Iran and not think it alone can succeed where the world's powers have failed. "Let's be more modest, and act within the bounds of our realistic capabilities," Olmert suggested. Livni said Israel would continue to exist alongside a nuclear Iran, saying: "Israel can live and Israel will live."

But under the circumstances, there is increasing concern that Livni will face the pressure - and the temptation - to order military action against Iran, in an effort to remove any doubts about her ability to lead the country and deal with pressure.

The main criticism Livni faced during her primary campaign related to her lack of experience in taking charge of military forces and making decisions about military actions. Even one of her associates, MK Tzachi Hanegbi, wondered during an interview with Haaretz reporter Yossi Verter whether Livni had the "mental fortitude and the resilience" possessed by several previous prime ministers. Hanegbi thinks Israel can attack Iran, if no one else does it in her stead.

If Livni manages to form a government, she should do all she can not to succumb to the temptation of a showcase military operation against Iran. After all, she stood alongside Olmert when he gave in to the temptation of waging war in Lebanon in the summer of 2006. Among his reasons was a desire to prove that despite his lack of military experience, he was brave and no less suited to lead the country than Ariel Sharon.

Decisions about Iran must be made with the maximum discretion possible, and only on the basis of the strategic situation assessment, the gist of which is: Is Israel capable of thwarting or disrupting, for an extended period, the Iranian nuclear plan on its own? And is the expected price of such an operation - rocket attacks on the home front, terror attacks and a long cycle of violence - worth the risk, even if Israel wins a tactical victory?

Considerations of prestige, public popularity or ratings should not play a role in such a crucial decision. Livni's test will not be her ability to order the Israel Air Force to take off, but the discretion she demonstrates in the face of the Iranian threat and the calls for the use of force against it.
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  1.   Iran policy serving Israel interest, Smart Israel will not attack 09:32  |  e.m Jordan is Palse 06/10/08
  2.   Haaretz and Livni 10:12  |  Ralph 06/10/08
  3.   "Prestige" is Israel getting back respect from other nations. 10:24  |  Harvey 06/10/08
  4.   If Iran nukes are taken down , The Arab League May Understand 11:04  |  Joseph.E 06/10/08
  5.   False Islamic Pride Has Emboldened Iran, The Overzealous Convert 11:23  |  Lavi 06/10/08
  6.   LIVNI IS NOT THAT STUPID. 11:55  |  Neutered Observer 06/10/08
  7.   THE LIMIT OF "PRESTIGE" IN MIDDLE EAST 12:26  |  indrajaya 06/10/08
  8.   #6 Neutered... 13:08  |  Esther 06/10/08
  9.   indrajaya No 7. Some clarification for you. 13:19  |  Harvey 06/10/08
  10.   #7 Indra: Don`t Confuse Iran`s Striving For Islamic Prestige 13:34  |  Lavi 06/10/08
  11.   Israeli empty threats=higher oil price=more $ to fund Iran`s army 14:05  |  Aounist 06/10/08
  12.   No Regard for Human life 14:10  |  Irv 06/10/08
  13.   No worries about Livni attacking Iran 14:45  |  Natallie Durson 06/10/08
  14.   no worries mate;livni will try and use Israel`s PIECE/Inheritance 15:24  |  glenna 06/10/08
  15.   I WOULD REMIND ALL POSTERS 15:52  |  victor hardman 06/10/08
  16.   Durson 13 16:03  |  Sabra 06/10/08
  17.   Checks and balances... 16:18  |  Esther 06/10/08
  18.   Israel needs a Prime Minister competent in military affairs 16:49  |  Shalom Freedman 06/10/08
  19.   I Wouldn`t Strike Iran Unless... 17:32  |  Yosemite 06/10/08
  20.   First she should do something useful, like washing her hair for 18:48  |  Andreas 06/10/08
  21.   And I would remind #15 Paul Harris/victor Hardman 19:37  |  Ari ben Yisrael 06/10/08
  22.   DEAR ESTHER 19:40  |  Neutered Observer 06/10/08
  23.   Curious 20:39  |  Mark Lincoln 06/10/08
  24.   There is no other option to stop the Mad Mullahs. 22:23  |  Chaim 06/10/08
  25.   Yosemite #19 01:49  |  Persian Kitty 07/10/08
  26.   #3 Harvey Prestige 03:08  |  Jim 07/10/08
  27.   #4 Jospeh E. 03:33  |  Jim 07/10/08
  28.   #21 ari is an optimist but is always 07:57  |  victor hardman 07/10/08
  29.   Persian Kitti # 25 08:09  |  Uri 07/10/08
  30.   #3Harvey 08:18  |  sharon 07/10/08
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