Subscribe to Print Edition | Sun., October 05, 2008 Tishrei 6, 5769 | | Israel Time: 01:16 (EST+7)
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The path of budgetary responsibility
By Haaretz Editorial
Tags: israel news

Even though the U.S. House of Representatives will apparently pass an $800 billion economic bailout plan today, international markets refuse to calm down. Their wild oscillations continue. Wall Street opened yesterday with a drop in prices, and here, too, the trading day ended with steep losses.

It seems that the bailout plan is not a miracle cure for all of the American markets' ills. The bubbles that have burst - the credit, real estate and stock exchange bubbles - are so vast and threatening that even such a wide-ranging plan is not enough to revive faith in the markets.

The collapse is the result of the great credit spree that took place in the United States over the past seven years. The public took out loans without thinking twice to buy houses, cars, electrical appliances and stocks. And the banks encouraged them to do so. Thus all three bubbles became so inflated that they finally burst. This has hurt everyone.
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The bottom line is that the global economy is short on confidence, and that has led to a credit crunch. Money is the oil of the economy's wheels. And when the oil is used up, the wheels begin to creak - and then stop.

At the beginning of the week, despite all the pressure, Congress rejected the bailout plan, leading to a collapse on Wall Street. The following day saw share prices rise, but on Wednesday, stocks again fell into the red. Yesterday, Wall Street opened the trading day with declines yet again.

Over here, exchanges were closed for three days for the Rosh Hashanah holiday, sparing us, we believed, from the plunging prices. But no. Yesterday, the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange took a steep dive, as if to make up for time lost over the holiday.

It seems that the American emergency plan is not returning certainty to the markets, and there are fears of the United States sliding into a downturn or even recession. As the Israeli economy is tightly bound to that of the United States, there are fears of a downturn here as well. Here, too, banks are cutting back on credit, the weak dollar is hurting exports and the public feels that its wealth is diminishing. All this leads to a reduction in private consumption.

But let there be no mistake - the Israeli economy is entering this crisis in far better shape than the American one. Here, the budget deficit is negligible and the balance of payments is sound - the exact opposite of the situation in the United States. Moreover, Israel's economy is currently growing rapidly, and that, too, is a safety net. Here, bankers did not take the huge risks incurred by those on Wall Street, leaving our banks more stable, without fear that they will go under. Stanley Fischer, governor of the Bank of Israel, explicitly said as much yesterday.

Our economy is small and flexible, and highly capable of adapting; it is therefore not expected to suffer as the U.S. economy has. We are located on the margins of the crisis, not directly in the typhoon's path.

One of the key reasons for the Israeli economy's stability and growth is a responsible budget policy - namely, the government's insistence on refraining from big spending. Thus the government must now stick to this path of budgetary responsibility. That way, Israel's credit rating will not be downgraded, investments will not shrink, and the economy will be able to enter the crisis, and emerge from it, with minimal damage.
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