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Pollsters admit: We failed to predict Kadima primary results
By Haaretz Service
Tags: Israel, Tzipi Livni 

Israel's pollsters have admitted their failure in correctly predicting Wednesday's Kadima primary results.

The polls that were published ahead of the vote guaranteed a resounding victory to Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni by over a 10-percent margin, while the actual results indicated an extremely narrow win.

In fact, Livni secured 43.1 percent of the vote while Transportation Minister Shaul Mofaz fetched 42 percent - a difference of only 1.1 percent.
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Pollsters then tried to offer explanations to their miscalculated insistence on a landslide victory for Livni.

Channel 10 pollster Prof. Camil Fuchs said, "We rightly predicted the identity of the winner, as well as the fact that victory will already be secured in the first round."

However, Fuchs added, "the statistical error was massive - much larger than any incidental margin of error. There was clearly a deviation of votes."

Channel 2 pollster Mina Tzemach excused the miscalculation by saying "a large percentage of voters refused to say who they will be voting for." She added that "the weight of this percentage was especially high among Arab voters."

"We formulated ways to decipher people's voting patterns," Tzemach said. "I guess it worked in the Jewish sector, but failed in the Arab sector."
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More Headlines
23:48 Day after losing Kadima race, Mofaz announces 'time out from politics'
00:03 Netanyahu: Israel's citizens, not Kadima voters, must choose PM
01:48 Mofaz supporters blame disqualified Rahat votes for loss to Livni
01:10 UN official urges next Israeli government to stop settlement expansion
00:24 Tutu: World doesn't criticize Israel because of the Holocaust
00:23 Pope Benedict: Pius XII 'spared no effort' to help Jews during WWII
20:39 Danish T-shirt company convicted of supporting Palestinian terror group
23:14 General Assembly chief: UN must adopt 1947 resolution on partition of Palestine
22:55 Condoleezza Rice, Hillary Clinton congratulate Livni on Kadima victory
21:04 ANALYSIS / Tzipi Livni is Israel's Barack Obama
17:38 Police, IDF complete evacuation of illegal outpost of Yad Yair
18:31 500 Palestinian security force members head to Jordan for U.S.-funded training
18:58 Ahmadinejad: Israel won't survive in any shape or form
17:04 'Friends of Gilad Shalit' to hold Rosh Hashanah dinner across from Livni's house
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