Subscribe to Print Edition | Thu., September 18, 2008 Elul 18, 5768 | | Israel Time: 02:34 (EST+7)
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The crisis is on its way here
By Haaretz Editorial
Tags: financial crisis, Business 

The financial storm befalling American markets seems from Tel Aviv to be a foreign crisis whose connection to Israel is minor compared with the drama overseas.

The diseases revealed on Wall Street stem from a financial apparatus resting on a real estate market that was inflated for years. The minute the real estate market there fell, the financial system that fed it with cheap, available cash collapsed, and the stability of enormous institutions was undermined.

The fall of old-time investment banks such as Bear Stearns, which was sold, Lehman Brothers, which went bankrupt, and Merrill Lynch, which was forced to sell itself to the Bank of America, will change the face of Wall Street and bring with it strict regulation of U.S. markets. The nationalization of the two mortgage agencies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is a defining moment for the U.S. government, which had sanctified the free market and now will have to deal with its decision for a good many years.
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Israel's financial system operates differently. It is less sophisticated and less leveraged, and therefore much less exposed to the collapses we have seen in the United States. The banks and insurance companies here are rather stable, thanks to the regulatory decisions made over the past two decades as a result of the Bejski Commission's recommendations, which have reduced most of the banks' inherent conflicts of interest.

Alongside the Israeli financial reforms, the economy has increasingly been exposed to global markets. Globalization's contribution to the Israeli economy due to the entry of foreign investors has been enormous. But as we have discovered in the past few days, there are unavoidable side effects, which show up in Israeli financial institutions' exposure to the losses on Wall Street.

Israel may be a bit player in the financial shake-up rocking America and the entire world, but as a global player, Israel's companies are clearly feeling the shock.

In the short term, the effects are losses from investments in U.S. financial instruments. The big banks, Hapoalim and Leumi, and pension funds such as Mivtachim and the Israel Electric Corporation's fund are exposed to these losses. Every business in Israel is now trying to estimate its exposure to the institutions that collapsed, or might.

In the longer term, we will feel other effects of the crisis such as a drop in foreign investment and lower trade with the United States and other countries. The reduction in such business is likely to spur further losses for Israeli firms, as well as layoffs.

It would be a mistake to view this crisis as a twist of fate that we can do nothing about. Israeli decision makers, in the government and private sector, must strive to identify our exposure to the crisis and reduce it. They must manage a responsible budgetary policy that ignores the election season's rising populism, and conduct an interest-rate policy that allows businesses to survive without allowing inflation to rear its head. The United States may be to blame for the crisis, but Israel needs to find solutions to problems it has created here.
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