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Last update - 00:00 31/07/2006
ANALYSIS: Unlike '96, deaths of Qana civilians won't stop assault
By Ze'ev Schiff, Haaretz Correspondent

Even though the prime minister announced that Israel will continue its attacks against Hezbollah, even after the sad incident at Qana, and will not accept the demand for an immediate, unconditional cease-fire - he did accede to the American request to limit air-force operations in the area of Beirut. This will be done on condition that Hezbollah will not expand its attacks against other towns in Israel, as its leader, Nasrallah, has recently threatened.

In April 1996, during Operation Grapes of Wrath against Hezbollah, an error similar to the one Sunday occured at Qana and 102 Lebanese were killed, and Israel stopped its military operation. That will not happen this time. The prime minister and the defense minister, with the support of many other ministers, ordered the Israel Defense Forces to carry on pressuring Hezbollah.

The American request regarding the air force's activities in Beirut was actually made several days ago. Israel was told that this recommendation came from President Bush. Indeed, aerial operations over the Lebanese capital have slowed substantially, with no connection to the unfortunate events at Qana.
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Israel was warned that in spite the fact that it is known that in a particular quarter in Beirut (Dahiya in the south), there are tunnels, and that in the main underground command center of Hezbollah, its leaders are hiding - the fact that the city is now full of refugees should be taken into account. A single mistake in a bombing raid would be enough to injure a multitude of civilians.

After what happened in Qana it is logical that the slowdown in air-force action in the skies over Beirut will continue, except if Hezbollah tries to attack other Israeli cities with long-range missiles.

Following the erroneous attack against Qana a decade ago, a cease-fire was declared, followed by a broader deal between Hezbollah and Israel. Like now, UN secretary general Boutros-Ghali also claimed at the time that Israel had struck the UN position, where civilians had found refuge, on purpose. The UN committee of inquiry also ruled, contrary to the findings of the Israeli investigation, that Israel was responsible for everything bad that took place in Qana. The cease-fire was temporary and the deal collapsed following another Hezbollah attack.

This time Israel has called the incident a "tragedy," but it is not willing to accept the Lebanese government's call for a cease-fire. This is, in essence, a Hezbollah offer: to end the fighting without any conditions that will substantially alter the status of the movement.

U.S. Secretary of State Rice also says that the condition for a cease-fire is that both sides agree to it. Olmert's call for more time for the military operation suggests that he supports a more extensive campaign. Such a recommendation will be made to the cabinet Monday or Tuesday.

The blame for the killing of civilians at Qana will be directed by many in the international community at Israel, not at Nasrallah and his group, which has launched thousands of rockets against Israeli civilians. Some of the warheads of these rockets are full of metal pellets that are meant to cause maximum casualties.

Israel must now examine itself and investigate the recent mistakes made during air-force attacks, including the recent bombing of a UN position and the killing of four observers
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  1.   to Ze`ev Schiff 03:06  |  American 31/07/06
  2.   Do As I Say Not As I Do 03:08  |  Bernard Lewis 31/07/06
  3.   Teaching the Terrorists 03:24  |  dave 31/07/06
  4.   If You Sleep With Missiles You May Not Wake Up in the Morning 03:41  |  Bernard Lewis 31/07/06
  5.   Shame on Israel for stopping attacks in Islamo-Nazis 03:43  |  Mary Morby 31/07/06
  6.   Man, those missiles hurt 03:49  |  Chris 31/07/06
  7.   A solution to end the war in Lebanon NOW 04:31  |  Joan 31/07/06
  8.   No.6 Chris 04:39  |  ze`ev 31/07/06
  9.   World outrage is rubbish 04:39  |  Donald Last 31/07/06
  10.   Israel what a bloody government 04:41  |  Rashid 31/07/06
  11.   Chris try reading your local newspapers - Hizballah to blame 04:52  |  Jabadini 31/07/06
  12.   to bernard 05:07  |  mary 31/07/06
  13.   Israel is the size of a toothpick 05:11  |  Edward 31/07/06
  14.   Ze`ev 05:15  |  Allen 31/07/06
  15.   Ze`ev - Targeting the IDF 05:17  |  Allen 31/07/06
  16.   Donald Last 05:19  |  Allen 31/07/06
  17.   No 8. Some facts 05:22  |  Chris 31/07/06
  18.   Mary - Shame indeed 05:23  |  Allen 31/07/06
  19.   Jabadini 05:25  |  Allen 31/07/06
  20.   Alqueada tactics 05:26  |  perez 31/07/06
  21.   No. 11 05:41  |  Chris 31/07/06
  22.   mary: Think Before Your Write, If You`re Capable of Thinking 05:43  |  Bernard Lewis 31/07/06
  23.   To Rashid: Re your typical Arab response 05:50  |  Mark 31/07/06
  24.   Israel is losing America 05:50  |  American 31/07/06
  25.   #3: All your imagination 05:57  |  Aramig 31/07/06
  26.   Qana:Coward revenge for the defeat of Golani brigade in BentJbeil 05:59  |  Nabil - Lebanese 31/07/06
  27.   Donald No. 9 05:59  |  American 31/07/06
  28.   Israel and "Gentiles" 06:20  |  Al 31/07/06
  29.   Ahmadi Nejad said it! 06:20  |  Nasrallah 31/07/06
  30.   Innocent Lebanese? 06:21  |  Edward 31/07/06
  31.   QANA-Israel is losing.... 06:22  |  Another American 31/07/06
  32.   To Bernard Louis 06:25  |  WB 31/07/06
  33.   #9: Why? Because it`s imagined! 06:25  |  Aramig 31/07/06
  34.   assault not to stop 06:25  |  Heddy 31/07/06
  35.   switch to ground assault 06:26  |  Harry 31/07/06
  36.   TO Israel: Thank You!!! 06:27  |  Fadi 31/07/06
  37.   TO Bernard Louis 06:28  |  WB 31/07/06
  38.   Are you joking, Ze`ev Schiff? 06:38  |  Aramig 31/07/06
  39.   to Edward#23 06:39  |  Abdallah 31/07/06
  40.   Chicken 06:42  |  Eddie 31/07/06
  41.   No 6 - second attempt to reply 06:44  |  Chris 31/07/06
  42.   #23: Who says Hezbollah is a terrorist organization? 06:46  |  Aramig 31/07/06
  43.   Freedom Fitin` & Cease Fire 06:47  |  Tom 31/07/06
  44.   Qana 06:51  |  Marilyn Shepherd 31/07/06
  45.   American No. 18 06:54  |  Tom 31/07/06
  46.   wow 06:54  |  sam i am 31/07/06
  47.   Former Schiff Admirer 06:55  |  George 31/07/06
  48.   Analysis - the second round 07:04  |  Mark Lincoln 31/07/06
  49.   Killing kids.. victory 07:08  |  RedAhh 31/07/06
  50.   The War 07:21  |  MR 31/07/06
  51.   Cease fire a Mistake, more Israeli lives will be lost 07:38  |  Bernard Ross 31/07/06
  52.   Respond to king Mark of New York 07:50  |  Mike Chatila 31/07/06
  53.   To #9 08:11  |  Jose Anton 31/07/06
  54.   Chris - look at the picture it says it all 08:12  |  Jabadini 31/07/06
  55.   Aramig - I have a friend who was there in Lebanon 08:17  |  Jabadini 31/07/06
  56.   The shrapnel says "MADE IN AMERICA"... 08:17  |  MarcCountry 31/07/06
  57.   Aramig - I have a friend who was there in Lebanon cont. 08:21  |  Jabadini 31/07/06
  58.   Remember the Children... 08:31  |  Anil 31/07/06
  59.   No. 8 Can`t reply 08:31  |  Chris 31/07/06
  60.   Sad, Jabadini, just sad 08:48  |  Chris 31/07/06
  61.   #39: Jabadani, A response 08:49  |  Aramig 31/07/06
  62.   US Missiles : Iraqi Food Market 09:27  |  Carlos 31/07/06
  63.   No 59: Apologies Haaretz 09:44  |  Chris 31/07/06
  64.   Response to Mike Chatila 10:45  |  Sleepless in America 31/07/06
  65.   Just trying to fit in, Rashid, 21:25  |  bobby 31/07/06
  66.   What is wrong with you? 19:21  |  Salomo 02/08/06
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