Whispers from Ehud's best friends
The NIS 33 million that Bank Hapoalim (TASE: POLI) CEO Zvi Ziv received in 2005, and the NIS 23 million that the bank's chairman Shlomo Nehama took, managed to shake the Israeli public out of its apathy.
The daylight robbery of executive pay did not begin in 2005. It is a monotonous function that has been steadily rising for 20 years. What drove the Israeli public nuts is the combination of two factors: gigantic figures of a magnitude never seen before, and the fact that the payer is a big bank.
As long as the gigantic salaries were confined to companies that nobody really understands, neither what they sell nor how they make their money, the whole thing began and ended with a headline in the daily paper. But when the company in question is a big bank, every Israeli clearly sees the connection between the interest and fees he pays to the fat-cat salaries of the bank managers.
Prime Minister-designate Ehud Olmert sniffed the wind and leaped at the opportunity. Leaks over the weekend had it that Olmert is considering limiting executive pay at publicly traded companies.
Here is our prediction: The storm will die down and no caps will be clapped on executive pay at these companies. Very quickly, it will become apparent that there is no practical way to limit pay in a free market, and in any case, it's senseless to artificially distinguish between executive pay and the profits that the owners of these companies rake in.
Anybody contemplating a law limiting such pay would immediately collide with some very hard questions. Can wages and stock option allocations be limited at hi-tech companies? Probably not: they are part of the global economy. Can the law distinguish between hi-tech companies and financial ones? Almost certainly not.
Say one manages to formulate a clever law that limits pay at publicly traded companies through imposing additional tax on giant salaries. How long would it take the fat cats to organize gigantic options plans with lowered tax?
Regarding Bank Hapoalim itself, by the way, we predict that wages there will decline in the years to come, but for a far more prosaic reason. After chairman Shlomo Nehama sold his shares in Hapoalim (which he had held via Arison Investments) to Shari Arison for NIS 700-800 million, cash, his appetite for creamy salaries will be diminished.
Big money and hired help
Not only will the big money sate his appetite for checks, but it may even change his view of the world. With big money, he can invest ad own other businesses and will start thinking like a corporate owner: riches from companies should benefit their founders and investors who risk their money, not the hired help.
However, at the other banks and among most employees on salary, appetites grew keener in the last year, after they saw how much Shlomo and Zvika were making. At Bank Discount yesterday, they admitted that the impetus behind the enormous stock options plan for the top brass had been "what Eli Yones got at Bank Mizrahi".
If Olmert really wants to tackle the mechanism by which the free market massively transfers wealth from the public to a handful of fat cats, he should have a chat with some of his best friends. They will explain that the media ruckus regarding executive pay is a wonderful smoke screen behind which hide the real mechanisms shifting money from the many to the few.
Yoram Turbowicz, manager of the prime minister's staff and formerly Israel's antitrust commissioner, can explain to Ehud that the main way to grow rich in Israel is not through hi-tech, but through developing and jealously guarding a monopolistic or cartelistic business that sucks the marrow of the consumers. "If you're really concerned about social gaps in Israel, you have to double the Antitrust Authority's budget and back its efforts at investigation and aggressive enforcement," he will say.
Ram Balinkov, a close friend of Olmert's, is the CEO of the HOT cable company and formerly served as CEO of Golden Lines. Profits at both companies are highly sensitive to regulatory and structural decisions. He can tell the prime minister, "Ehud my friend, this whole story about executive pay is peanuts. Ministers and bureaucrats at the economic ministries in Jerusalem can weaken or strengthen competition in most sectors with a wave of their hand. They have the power to transfer hundreds of millions from the many to the few, or vice versa."
Eitan Raff, chairman of Leumi, is another Olmert crony. He can privately whisper what every last banker knows: "My dear Ehud, no banker could make NIS 20 million or NIS 30 million a year if Israel's governments hadn't turned the banks into gigantic, monopolistic money mills. The only way to stop the looting is through more reforms of the capital market, to weaken the monopolistic power of the banks. And if that doesn't work, you have to threaten to clap supervision over the fees they charge for services."
The Dankner family has a secret it could impart to Olmert: "Ehud, our friend and benefactor, limiting pay at the banks might cut a few millions from Dankner Dankner's pay at Bank Hapoalim, but you know perfectly well that it's nothing compared with the coupon we cut from the gigantic land rezoning that the Israel Lands Administration approved for us at Atlit and Eilat. The attorney general ruled that the rezoning was irregular, but you ignored him. And we aren't some sort of special case: each year billions worth of state assets - lands, franchises and permits pass to skilful entrepreneurs who know how to work the system and have people in the right places. So why are you picking on the millions that the banks pay to their managers?
Avraham Hirchson, Olmert's pick for finance minister, could signal his new master: "Ehud, let it go. You're meddling with the NIS 33 million that Zvi Ziv managed to extract from Jewish after climbing the ladder for 30 years and turning into Israel's No. 1 banker. That is nothing compared with the achievements of my son, Ofer. In less than three years he managed to extract double that from the banks through dubious deals, in which he lost most of the money and continues to live the life of Riley.
In short, the executive pay at the publicly traded companies is irritating, but it's like the weather. You can gripe, but you probably can't control it.
The victory that public opinion won at Bank Discount, which postponed the general assembly of shareholders supposed to approve a giant stock options plan for the management, will prove to be short-lived. If the bank's owner, Matthew Bronfman, wants, he will find a way to pass those millions to his managers.
But - the prime minister, the ministers and the other elected officials do have effective tools to handle the real robbery of the public kitty. They can fight some of the mechanisms we described above, through which the public sector, politicians and regulators transfer, through commission or omission, wealth from the many to the few. But experience shows they lack the willpower, and even when they find some, their ability proves weak.